GDP SURGE
Crude prices to average at $83-88 in FY25, may increase govt fiscal burden: CRISIL
Crisil reports average crude oil prices are expected to rise to $83-$88 per barrel in fiscal 2025 from $83 in the previous year. This increase may strain India’s fiscal budget, given its reliance on crude imports. The report also projects India's real GDP growth at 6.8% for FY 2024-25 and anticipates a softened consumer price inflation at 4.5%. Despite challenges, a positive rural economic outlook is forecasted, buoyed by an expected above-normal monsoon.
Dollar drops, yen surges as consumer prices fall in June
June's U.S. CPI drop led the dollar to fall, sparking yen intervention speculation. Japan's Ministry of Finance to confirm. Masato Kanda discussed yen fundamentals. Fed may cut rates in September. Euro, pound rose; British GDP exceeded expectations. Analysts from Bank of America and Standard Chartered noted inflation impacts. Long dollar/yen trades corrected. Bitcoin rose to $57,821.
Keep the foot on infra pedal: Tata Steel's message to FM Sitharaman for Union Budget 2024
BUDGET 2024: Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman should maintain the focus on capital expenditure in the Union Budget 2024 to benefit the steel industry, says Tata Steel CEO & MD TV Narendran. Continued investment in infrastructure and addressing unfairly priced steel imports from China are crucial for sustaining industry profitability and growth.
FMCG sector poised for hiring surge as consumer spending hits $6 trillion
FMCG sector in India set to boom with consumer spending projected to hit $6 trillion by 2030. Urban demand drives growth despite challenges. Organic and health products gain popularity. High turnover rates impact delivery schedules. Top roles in demand: Sales, Marketing, and IT. Attrition rates highest in metros. Report suggests strategies for hiring and retention.
Sectors linked to electrical, green energy, and railways may see a disproportionate increase in business: Vinayak Chatterjee
“There is a consensus, officially, that India's aspirational target is 8% GCFI, gross capital formation, and infrastructure, as a percentage of GDP, so that is my starting point. If in this budget year, you are going to try and reach that aspirational target of 8% GCFI, you need to spend Rs 13.5 lakh crore,” says Vinayak Chatterjee
US Fed hopeful of achieving 2 per cent inflation target soon
The U.S. Federal Reserve noted a lack of significant progress towards its 2 percent inflation target in its latest meeting. Despite this, there have been modest improvements in recent months. This conclusion was shared in the Fed policy minutes released on Wednesday.
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UK economy grew 0.7% in first quarter of 2024
Britain's economy grew by 0.7% in the first quarter of this year compared to the previous quarter, surpassing an initial estimate of 0.6% growth, according to official figures released on Friday. This data arrives just days before a national election where opinion polls suggest Labour Party leader Keir Starmer may replace Conservative Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.
Savings down, financial liabilities up: RBI says household debt warrants close monitoring
The Reserve Bank of India highlighted rising household financial liabilities post-Covid, with overall savings dropping to 18.4% of GDP in FY23 from an average of 20% between 2013-22. Household debt, driven by increased retail loans, is mostly held by prime credit quality borrowers. Savings are now shifting towards physical assets and non-bank investments.
Fall in Household Financial Savings actually a worry
The Reserve Bank of India has warned that household debt needs close monitoring due to a decline in overall household savings to 18.4% of GDP in FY2022-23, and an increasing trend in financial liabilities. The share of net financial savings in total household savings has been declining, with 28.5 per cent in 2022-23.
AIF & PMS Conclave 2.0: Saurabh Mukherjea on five big themes in India where investors stand to benefit
Market veteran Saurabh Mukherjea on Wednesday said five big themes that have contributed to a rise of new elite in India can make their way into the portfolios of investors looking for consistent returns.
Big plate of supply-side up: Why economies can’t redistribute their way to prosperity
The tried-and-tested approach to growing an economy, lifting per-capita incomes and alleviating poverty sustainably, is to focus on supply-side reforms to lift public and private investment. This approach has worked in many East Asian economies and India's historical context. By helping boost investment, supply-side reforms help accelerate productivity, job creation and income growth, reducing poverty effectively over the medium term.
Sensex hits fresh all-time high, surges 1,619 points; rate-sensitive stocks surge up to 9% post RBI policy decision
The market capitalisation of all listed companies on BSE surged by Rs 7.38 lakh crore to Rs 423.27 lakh crore. Post RBI policy decision, realty indices surged up to 9.5%, with Sunteck Realty, Sobha, Brigade, and Lodha rising between 3% and 9.5%. Nifty Bank stocks such as Bandhan Bank, SBI, Axis Bank, AU Small Finance Bank, and Kotak Bank rose by 1-2%.
RBI MPC Meeting: Das & Co may look at food bills to keep its stance, rate unchanged
RBI Policy Meeting: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to maintain the repo rate at 6.5% with a focus on withdrawing accommodation, marking the eighth consecutive time it remains unchanged. Economists predict the unchanged stance, citing persistent inflation in food prices and global commodity price risks. RBI Governor's decision is crucial post-elections.
Indian HNIs swell by 12.2% YoY in 2023, wealth surges 12.4% on booming markets, economy: Report
The number of high net-worth individuals (HNIs) in India increased by 12.2% in 2023, reaching 35.89 lakh individuals. Their financial wealth also rose by 12.4% to $1,445.7 billion, driven by a strong economy and the performance of domestic equity markets.
Macro policy choices unclear, but work cut out on reforms agenda
In FY24, nominal GDP grew 9.6%, CPI inflation recorded 5.4%, and real GDP growth was estimated at 8.2%.
Rupee surges 38 paise to 83.04 against US dollar in early trade
The rupee strengthened to a three-month high of 83.04 against the US dollar on Monday, supported by positive sentiment in domestic equity markets fueled by strong macroeconomic data and exit poll results favoring PM Narendra Modi's government.
Economy expands 7.8% in Q4, lifting FY24 growth to 8.2%
This is the highest annual growth since FY17, excluding the 9.7% post-Covid rebound in gross domestic product (GDP) in FY22 after the 5.8% contraction in FY21. The advance estimate released in February had pegged FY24 growth at 7.6%. Economists and government expect the high growth to continue though tepid private consumption remains a concern.
Bulls back in action! Sensex rises after 5-day hiatus, surges 500 points; Nifty above 22,600
Indian benchmark equity indices opened higher on Friday. Investors await exit polls post-elections and GDP data release. India's fourth-domestic quarter GDP data is due later in the day.
US economic growth last quarter is revised down from 1.6% rate to 1.3%, but consumers kept spending
The US economy grew less than initially estimated in the first quarter of this year, the government reported Thursday, due to weaker consumer spending. Overall, GDP growth in the first quarter was supported by consumer spending, business investment and government spending.
India's growth set to get more broad-based, says Morgan Stanley; pegs 6.8% for 2024
India's strong growth, driven by consumer and business spending, is expected to become more broad-based, according to Morgan Stanley. The global investment bank forecasts 6.8% growth in 2024, attributing it to global offshoring, digitalization, and energy transition. Retail inflation is at 4.83%, within RBI's comfort zone. S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on India to positive, citing robust economic growth and fiscal policies.
India's growth outlook: Economy to get a blockbuster release this Friday? But that's too late to stream in poll campaigns
GDP Q4: As the country buzzes with election excitement, India is set to release its GDP growth numbers for the fourth quarter of FY24 this Friday, alongside the full fiscal year figures. Analysts are eagerly awaiting to see if the January to March quarter numbers surpass expectations, fueling hopes of a surprising uptick in growth.
Dividend income fuels surge in personal income tax: Motilal Oswal report
The transition from corporation-based dividend taxes to personal income taxes has been a major driver of the increased PIT in recent years. This shift has not only changed the tax dynamics but also underscored the substantial contribution of high-income earners to the tax pool through their dividend receipts.
India's market-cap crosses $5-trillion milestone
At the close of Thursday's trading, the market-cap of all BSE-listed companies stood at $5.05 trillion (or ₹420.22 lakh crore). India is the fifth country after the US, China, Japan, and Hong Kong whose market capitalisations have crossed the $5-trillion mark.
India achieves $5 trillion market capitalization milestone, triples in a decade of economic progress
India's market capitalisation crossed $5 tn, tripling in a decade. Domestic ownership increased as foreign institutional ownership fell. GDP is expected to reach $5 tn in 3 years, $7 tn by 2030.
Indian economy likely grew at a 4-quarter low in Q4: ICRA
Economists predict India's economy to grow at a four-quarter low of 6.7% in Q4FY24. The growth in 3 FY24 was 8.4%. Agricultural GVA is likely to contract for 2nd straight quarter, amid rabi output concerns. Overall GVA growth expected to ease to 5.7% in Q4, driven by industrial and services sectors. ICRA forecasts FY2024 GDP and GVA growth at 7.8% and 7.0%, respectively.
UN raises India's 2024 growth forecast to 6.9%
The revision by the UN follows similar moves by other multilateral agencies following India's strong economic performance last fiscal.
UN revises India's 2024 growth forecast to 6.9%
“India’s economy is forecast to expand by 6.9 per cent in 2024 and 6.6 per cent in 2025,29 mainly driven by strong public investment and resilient private consumption,” the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs said.
All in a day! Gold sees sharp decline on Friday, but ends with weekly gains
The metal lost buying momentum after hitting a fresh record high of $2431 to settle lower. The yellow metal closed with a loss of 1.37% at $2344 Friday.
India's economic growth sparks optimism as corporates anticipate profit surge
Fitch Ratings predicts a significant boost in the profitability of Indian corporates in FY25, driven by robust economic growth despite challenges in overseas markets. With a projected GDP growth of 6.5% in FY25, India is poised to be among the fastest-growing sovereigns, fueling demand across sectors. Fitch anticipates a 290 basis points improvement in profitability compared to FY23, providing corporates with rating headroom.
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