GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH
Pharma sector: Turnaround for good, 6 small and mid cap pharma stocks with upside potential of up to 32%
While it might not have been making it headline, the pharmaceutical sector or commonly called as pharma has come through a tough period due to US FDA and other factors. It has been witnessing a turnaround of sorts which has been slow but more companies are showing improvement in their performance. Also there is a process of re-rating which is quietly going on in the sector. It was large players which got the attention of tend to gain first and then it is smaller and mid sized. If one looks at the corporate announcement about approval of drugs by the US FDA or other drug regulator or any entry into new markets, a number of them are coming from mid and small companies. Given the lesson which the Indian pharma industry has learnt after its reckless approach between 2005 to 2015, there is a high probability that the sector may gain attention.
India's economic growth masks deepening income inequality & sectoral disparities
The Indian economy is experiencing robust GDP growth, macroeconomic stability, and significant foreign capital inflows. However, there is a stark disparity in growth rates between the top 20% and the rest of the population. Despite a GDP growth rate of 8% for FY24, domestic consumption growth remains sluggish at 4%, highlighting income inequality as the wealthiest 20% accumulate 92% of the country's savings.
Union Budget 2024-25: Extension of concessional tax regime for India’s manufacturing sector
BUDGET EXPECTATIONS: India's upcoming Union Budget for FY 2024-25 is anticipated to extend the 15% concessional tax rate for new manufacturing companies, boosting investor confidence in the sector. This measure aligns with India's "Make in India" initiative, promoting self-reliance and economic growth. The move aims to sustain GDP growth, projected at 6.9% in 2024, and position India as a competitive global manufacturing hub.
Climate Change: Emerging variable in monetary policy
The late monsoon arrival and heat waves have led to a projected 5% year-on-year inflation in June, driven by rising food and fuel prices. Central banks worldwide are incorporating climate risks into their models, as supply shocks from climate change present challenges in achieving price stability and economic growth.
Saurabh Mukherjea gives 3 themes that can create new opportunities for Indian investors
Saurabh Mukherjea of Marcellus Investment Managers emphasizes India's transformative investment themes: democratized opportunities, the $300 billion China +1 chance, and women's empowerment. India outperforms China in consistent compounder returns. Government policies attract global investments. Entrepreneurs, empowered urban women, and sectors like smartphones, APIs, and medical devices, aided by rising education levels and women-centric consumption, drive growth.
SCO fosters regional stability & multilateral coop: Kazakhstan
The SCO Summit in Astana, Kazakhstan, represents a significant event for over 3 billion people. Kazakhstan, as a founding member, prioritizes the SCO's development within its balanced foreign policy. Deputy Foreign Minister Roman Vassilenko emphasized the summit's role in mutual respect and consensus-building. Under Kazakhstan's presidency, over 150 events focused on energy, digitalization, and environmental protection. President Tokayev's "World Unity for Just Peace and Harmony" initiative highlights Kazakhstan's influence. Kazakhstan's strategic location, rich resources, and strong economic growth make it a key player in global diplomacy and trade.
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India's rating upgrade possible in next 24 months if fiscal deficit falls to 4%: S&P
India could receive a sovereign rating upgrade in the next 24 months if the central government manages its finances prudently and reduces the fiscal deficit to 4% of GDP. The trigger for the upgrade would be a general government deficit falling below 7% of the GDP, with a significant portion driven by the central government. The central government estimates a fiscal deficit of 5.1% of GDP in the current fiscal, down from 5.63% in 2023-24.
Economic cracks are getting exposed in the 2024 market bounty
Dispiriting trends that have been visible for months now alongside the frenzy for megacap tech stocks and private credit – are on display yet again. Companies with dicey balance sheets have underperformed anew in June. Equal-weighted stock benchmarks where disruptive AI market leaders have the same weighting as industrial bellwethers have lagged yet again.
Has the global economic environment turned favourable for equities?
Global economy's resilience amidst crises led to surprising growth stability and inflation control. Potential trade war threats loom, while equity markets soar to record highs, indicating positive economic outlook.
India set for more global attention as bond inclusion begins
India's government bonds enter JPMorgan's index, attracting billions in inflows, driven by positive economic indicators, high yields, and market performance, positioning India as a top choice for global investors.
India central bank policymakers divided over rate-growth debate
Internal members maintain hawkish stance on inflation, with Governor Das cautioning against hasty actions for fear of worsening the situation
NRIs of the world, keep on depositing
Non-resident deposits in India are growing steadily due to various positive factors, including the impact of the pandemic on savings patterns and stable remittances. Factors such as interest rates and exchange rates have made NRI deposits more rewarding.
See policy continuity even with coalition government: Gokul Laroia, CEO, Morgan Stanley Asia
Morgan Stanley's Asia CEO Gokul Laroia discussed Indian elections, markets, and risks with Nishanth Vasudevan before an investor conference.
Inflation, Fed meeting to give clues for US market direction
Investors await next week's inflation data and Fed meeting for signals on stock market trajectory amid conflicting economic signals. S&P 500's 12% YTD rise hinges on Fed's ability to manage inflation without hampering growth.
Asian earnings growth to outpace US and Europe, India's growth momentum strong: Report
The analysis by CLSA, citing Bloomberg's projections, forecasts that Asian earnings growth will surpass that of the US and Europe for both this year and the next. This positive outlook is in line with the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) prediction of a robust 7.2 per cent growth rate for India in fiscal year 2025.
Modi premium for Indian stocks gets a hard look after elections
With the leader now navigating coalition politics after a weaker-than-expected mandate in this week’s national election, the so-called Modi premium is under scrutiny. Investors are looking for proof that Modi can continue his reforms with the same vigor, while balancing the demands of alliance partners and avoiding populist measures to regain public support.
Wall St Week Ahead-Inflation, Fed meeting to give clues for US market direction
Political uncertainty may impact market stability. Early presidential debate raises concerns about 2024 election influence. Market attention shifts from economic data to political landscape.
A 1°C rise in global temperature causes a 12% decline in world GDP: Adrien Bilal
Adrien Bilal discusses the macroeconomic impacts of global temperature rises in the Anthropocene with Srijana Mitra Das at Harvard University.
Modi’s election setback only a blip for some global stock funds
“The first thing I did was message my portfolio managers who invest in India to say if Nifty banks are down because of a lower-than-expected mandate for Modi, it’s a buying opportunity,” Sai said in an interview on Tuesday.
Political, market volatility spice markets up
Investor sentiment is fragile in Asian markets amid concerns over U.S. and global economic growth. Indian assets have been volatile due to the country's general election result.
New govt to inherit strong economy, focus on making India developed nation by 2047
India's record-breaking economic growth rate and strong tax revenues provide a foundation for future reforms aimed at transforming the country into a developed nation by 2047. The new government must address challenges such as unemployment and rural distress, while also focusing on controlling inflation. Despite potential obstacles, experts expect continued infrastructure-led growth, investor-friendly policies, and reforms to maintain India's economic momentum and attract investment.
China's manufacturing surges, Caixin PMI shows, but global risks grow
To counter soft domestic demand and a years-long property crisis, China has boosted infrastructure investment and ploughed funds into high-tech manufacturing to bolster the broader economy this year.
Trans-Europe express: How Indian businesses can sustain and grow in Europe
India's recent free trade agreement with the European Free Trade Association presents significant trade opportunities with the EU. However, Indian businesses must comply with new EU supply chain laws to sustain and grow in Europe. Key legislative changes include deforestation regulation, corporate sustainability and due diligence directive, and forced labor regulation.
China's factory activity growth hits 2-year high, Caixin PMI shows
The Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI rose to 51.7 in May from 51.4 the previous month, marking the fastest pace since June 2022 and beating analysts' forecasts of 51.5. The 50-point mark separates growth from contraction.
India's growth set to get more broad-based, says Morgan Stanley; pegs 6.8% for 2024
India's strong growth, driven by consumer and business spending, is expected to become more broad-based, according to Morgan Stanley. The global investment bank forecasts 6.8% growth in 2024, attributing it to global offshoring, digitalization, and energy transition. Retail inflation is at 4.83%, within RBI's comfort zone. S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on India to positive, citing robust economic growth and fiscal policies.
How results of Lok Sabha polls will impact sensex, Nifty
According to a Bloomberg News survey of market participants, Indian stocks require Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party to secure more than 303 seats in the general election to continue their unprecedented rally. The survey, which included 32 asset managers, strategists, and dealers, suggests that a reduced majority for the ruling BJP could result in a 2% decline in the NSE Nifty 50 Index, along with potential losses in the rupee and sovereign bonds.
India’s equity rally hinges on Modi bettering 303-seat tally
Indian stocks' performance is closely tied to the Bharatiya Janata Party's election success. A Bloomberg News survey suggests that if the party wins over 303 seats, stocks could rally; otherwise, a drop is expected.
RBI MPC meeting next week: What investors should expect
The RBI's upcoming MPC meeting on June 7, 2024, is expected to maintain interest rates amidst a stable inflation scenario post Lok Sabha election results. The focus will be on global and domestic factors impacting the economy.
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