GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS
How India can leverage its cultural riches to stimulate its economy
India's cultural heritage is being recognized as a potential driver for economic growth, with efforts being made to leverage traditional industries and tourism. Government initiatives, like the redevelopment of Ayodhya and Kashi Vishwanath Temple, are yielding positive results in terms of increased visitors and revenue. Prime Minister Modi's focus on promoting Indian culture globally through initiatives like Tamil Cultural Centers and showcasing heritage on the G20 platform is notable. The goal of developing a comprehensive Cultural Economic Model to propel India's economy towards development by 2047 is being emphasized, with the potential to serve as a blueprint for other countries.
SCO Summit adopts 25 strategic documents in energy, security & trade
The 24th SCO summit concluded with the adoption of the Astana Declaration and approval of 25 strategic documents. Member states emphasized the organization's role in global peace and security. Resolutions covered areas such as terrorism, energy cooperation, and environmental protection.
Britain’s economy isn’t seeing growth anywhere near India’s 7% GDP rise — this has caused fewer differences between the Conservatives and Labour: Jaideep Prabhu
The UK election landscape is marked by economic uncertainties post-Brexit, minimal policy distinctions between parties, and environmental concerns driving voter engagement. Influential figures like Farage, Johnson, and Sunak shape political narratives, while climate change discussions underscore the urgency for sustainable solutions amidst global warming threats.
SCO fosters regional stability & multilateral coop: Kazakhstan
The SCO Summit in Astana, Kazakhstan, represents a significant event for over 3 billion people. Kazakhstan, as a founding member, prioritizes the SCO's development within its balanced foreign policy. Deputy Foreign Minister Roman Vassilenko emphasized the summit's role in mutual respect and consensus-building. Under Kazakhstan's presidency, over 150 events focused on energy, digitalization, and environmental protection. President Tokayev's "World Unity for Just Peace and Harmony" initiative highlights Kazakhstan's influence. Kazakhstan's strategic location, rich resources, and strong economic growth make it a key player in global diplomacy and trade.
Has the global economic environment turned favourable for equities?
Global economy's resilience amidst crises led to surprising growth stability and inflation control. Potential trade war threats loom, while equity markets soar to record highs, indicating positive economic outlook.
Economic benefits of investing in WASH for corporates
A noteworthy fact in the CSR spends of the past 5 years is the growing emphasis on healthcare, WASH and environment sustainability (JICA Report). This bodes well for achieving India’s net zero goals by 2070.
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India central bank policymakers divided over rate-growth debate
Internal members maintain hawkish stance on inflation, with Governor Das cautioning against hasty actions for fear of worsening the situation
"We should expand our horizon": Bangladesh PM's adviser on economic cooperation with India
Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's Private Industry and Investment Adviser, Salman F Rehman, emphasized expanding economic cooperation with India to strengthen bilateral ties. During Hasina's two-day state visit to India, Rehman highlighted interest in various sectors including energy, healthcare, FMCG, IT, and agriculture. He also noted the Confederation of Indian Industry's proposal for Bangladeshi businesses to explore opportunities beyond northeastern India. Both nations aim to enhance their economic collaboration, reinforcing the strong bond under Prime Ministers Modi's "Neighbourhood First" policy and Hasina's regional focus.
Russian economy has withstood what even China could not have achieved: Prof. Alexander Dynkin
Prof. Alexander Dynkin discussed the significance of the Primakov Readings International Forum and the role of BRICS in shaping global economic trends. He emphasized India's pivotal role in BRICS and highlighted the growth potential in Russia-India ties. Dynkin provided insights into the Russian economy, foreign policy priorities, and commitments towards fostering regional stability and collaboration, especially in Africa. His analysis underscored Russia's resilience and strategic positioning in the evolving global landscape.
Fitch raises FY25 India GDP growth forecast to 7.2 per cent
In its Global Economic Outlook (GEO) released Monday, it raised its forecast for world growth in 2024 to 2.6% from 2.4% estimated earlier. India's economy grew 8.2% in FY24. "We expect the Indian economy to expand by a strong 7.2% in FY25 (an upward revision of 0.2pp from the March GEO)," Fitch Ratings said, adding that investment will continue to rise but more slowly than in recent quarters, while consumer spending will recover with elevated consumer confidence. Purchasing managers survey data point to continued growth at the start of the current financial year.
G7 Summit commits to promoting India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor
At the G7 Summit, the Group of Seven industrialized nations committed to promoting infrastructure projects such as the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), reaffirming a commitment to a "free and open Indo-Pacific." Prime Minister Narendra Modi attended the summit at the invitation of Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni.
World Bank upgrades global growth outlook on resilient US economy
The World Bank raised its global growth outlook due to resilient consumer spending in the US, but warned of weak growth by historical standards.
How India's new brain power adds to its economic brawn
India is transitioning from being the telemarketing voice of MNCs to their intellectual hub with the rise of GCCs. These fully owned and integrated hubs are driving growth, innovation, and value creation by leveraging India's talent pool. With a projected doubling of GDP share by 2030, GCCs are transforming India's economy and IT landscape, attracting global companies seeking tech talent and cost efficiency.
Asian earnings growth to outpace US and Europe, India's growth momentum strong: Report
The analysis by CLSA, citing Bloomberg's projections, forecasts that Asian earnings growth will surpass that of the US and Europe for both this year and the next. This positive outlook is in line with the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) prediction of a robust 7.2 per cent growth rate for India in fiscal year 2025.
A 1°C rise in global temperature causes a 12% decline in world GDP: Adrien Bilal
Adrien Bilal discusses the macroeconomic impacts of global temperature rises in the Anthropocene with Srijana Mitra Das at Harvard University.
India set for first current account surplus in 10 quarters by Q4FY24: Ind-Ra
India's current account balance (CAB) is projected to reach a surplus of approximately USD 6 billion in Q4 2024, marking the first surplus since Q1 2022. However, the overall CAB for FY24 is expected to remain in deficit at 0.6% of GDP, the lowest since FY17. The global economic environment is showing signs of improvement for 2024, with easing inflationary pressures and robust economic growth in the US and emerging markets.
New govt to inherit strong economy, focus on making India developed nation by 2047
India's record-breaking economic growth rate and strong tax revenues provide a foundation for future reforms aimed at transforming the country into a developed nation by 2047. The new government must address challenges such as unemployment and rural distress, while also focusing on controlling inflation. Despite potential obstacles, experts expect continued infrastructure-led growth, investor-friendly policies, and reforms to maintain India's economic momentum and attract investment.
China's manufacturing surges, Caixin PMI shows, but global risks grow
To counter soft domestic demand and a years-long property crisis, China has boosted infrastructure investment and ploughed funds into high-tech manufacturing to bolster the broader economy this year.
India's fiscal numbers, growth to be monitored for upgrade in next 24 months, says S&P
"India's very fast growth rate is an extremely important factor in the ratings and supports our economic assessment. It's also giving us more confidence that, despite the elevated fiscal deficits, in comparison to peers, the debt level of the government is going to stabilise relative to GDP and probably moderately fall over time," said Andrew Wood, director, sovereign & international public finance ratings, Asia-Pacific, S&P Global Ratings.
India's fast economic growth lays firm ground for next government
India's economy grew at a faster-than-expected 7.8% year-on-year in the first three months of 2024, driven by strong performance in the manufacturing sector. This growth pace is expected to support Prime Minister Narendra Modi's economic record, who is hoping to win a rare third term in the national election. The Reserve Bank of India's record surplus transfer of 2.11 trillion rupees ($25.3 billion) will help the next government increase state spending to boost growth.
Moody's projects 6.8 per cent GDP expansion in 2024 on strong growth, post-election policy continuity
Moody's Ratings projected India's growth at 6.8% in 2024, followed by 6.5% in 2025. The prediction was driven by economic expansion and post-election policy continuity. The real GDP grew by 7.7% in 2023, with strong government spending and manufacturing activity. High-frequency indicators suggest sustained momentum in the economy. Moody's expects 6-7% annual GDP growth with policy continuity and increased capital expenditure. Private investment outlook is positive, despite inflation volatility.
India's growth set to get more broad-based, says Morgan Stanley; pegs 6.8% for 2024
India's strong growth, driven by consumer and business spending, is expected to become more broad-based, according to Morgan Stanley. The global investment bank forecasts 6.8% growth in 2024, attributing it to global offshoring, digitalization, and energy transition. Retail inflation is at 4.83%, within RBI's comfort zone. S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on India to positive, citing robust economic growth and fiscal policies.
India’s economic momentum to remain strong post-election: S&P Global Market Intelligence
India's post-election economic momentum is expected to be driven by capital spending, private consumption, and investment. S&P Global Market Intelligence highlights strategic sectors like renewables, electronics, and logistics. Inflation is projected to ease, and if the NDA secures a two-thirds majority, the focus will be on economic growth and fiscal deficit reduction. Technology integration and social welfare are key considerations depending on the election outcome.
India seen to emerge as an economic superpower in impending problem-ridden global financial landscape
Global recession risks have diminished, but inflation concerns threaten financial stability. The IMF, World Bank, and rating agencies forecast a slowdown in global growth, citing Middle East conflicts, financial stress, persistent inflation, and reduced international trade as key risks. The IMF's Global Debt Monitor reveals global debt at $235 trillion, or 238% of global GDP, raising fears of a debt crisis. Fiscal prudence may suffer as many nations face elections this year.
$215 trillion to save the planet is a bargain
By 2100, the permanent loss from additional warming under a “business as usual” scenario would rise to 52%, representing trillions of dollars in economic destruction.
UN revises India's 2024 growth forecast to 6.9%
“India’s economy is forecast to expand by 6.9 per cent in 2024 and 6.6 per cent in 2025,29 mainly driven by strong public investment and resilient private consumption,” the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs said.
UN upgrades India's 2024 growth forecast to 6.9% from 6.2%
The World Economic Situation and Prospects as of mid-2024, released Thursday, said, "India's economy is forecast to expand by 6.9 per cent in 2024 and 6.6 per cent in 2025, mainly driven by strong public investment and resilient private consumption. Although subdued external demand will continue to weigh on merchandise export growth, pharmaceuticals and chemicals exports are expected to expand strongly."
India eyes more Chabahar-like pacts: Ports Minister Sarbananda Sonowal
Sarbananda Sonowal, Union Minister of Ports, Shipping, and Waterways, stated that India aims to replicate the Chabahar port model in other strategic locations in the region to acquire additional assets. In an interview with ET, he emphasized that India is actively investigating opportunities to bolster its maritime presence and trade connectivity.
Charting the global economy: European growth exceeds projections
Euro zone and US show mixed economic signals. Euro zone exits recession with strong GDP growth, while US faces moderating labour demand. Global economy sees fluctuations in factory output and industrial growth amid inflation concerns.
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