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    INDIA ECONOMIC POTENTIAL

    India Ratings’ Devendra Pant on how water shortage can impact economic growth

    Devendra Pant, Chief Economist at India Ratings, highlights the long-term impact of water scarcity in India on agriculture, manufacturing, and hydroelectricity production. He emphasizes the need for immediate action by policymakers and citizens to address this critical issue. Pant says water scarcity is going to have an impact. and not only in agriculture, unless we develop or have those seeds and crops that can withstand extreme weather conditions.

    J-K on verge of becoming success story among Indian states: LG Manoj Sinha

    Lt Governor Manoj Sinha highlighted Jammu and Kashmir's potential as a key success story in India and a socio-economic global model. Meeting Eliska Zigova, Czech Republic's Ambassador to India, at Raj Bhawan, they discussed investment opportunities in sectors like industries, tourism, start-ups, handloom, handicrafts, food processing, agriculture, and allied areas. Sinha emphasized 'historic and transformative changes' under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership, inviting Czech trade and business leaders to explore these opportunities.

    Criminals not born out but made: Supreme Court

    The Supreme Court in India has acknowledged the various factors that contribute to criminals committing crimes, stating that they are not born out but made. The court emphasized that human potential is good and that no criminal is beyond redemption. The court also noted that every saint has a past and every sinner a future. The court granted bail to an accused in connection with a counterfeit currency case, challenging the Bombay High Court order that declined to release the accused on bail.

    Kaya shares surge 10% after it announces collaboration with Marico

    Shares of Kaya rose 10% to Rs 501.45 on BSE after announcing a collaboration with Marico, whose shares traded flat at Rs 608.15. The collaboration aims to market 75+ science-based personal care products, leveraging channels for wider reach. CEOs Rajiv Suri and Saugata Gupta emphasize growth, market expansion, and long-term consumer satisfaction.

    Don't be afraid to be bullish, just a bit of hard work and a pinch of patience: 4 smallcap stocks for long term investors

    Given how nifty and sensex are moving and market breadth is panning out, it is very likely that we are soon going to enter a phase, where the desire to own small caps would come in the category of “highest”. Another side of the story, when that happens, what will get ignored is that “risks” are also at the highest when bulls are controlling the small cap segment. For all those who still want to take exposure to them, in such times, it would be better to be cautious in selecting the stocks, better to go with buying in smaller quantities and buy stocks where the underlying business has good macro fundamentals. Refinitiv’s Stock Report Plus which lists stocks with high upside potential over the next 12 months, having an average recommendation rating of “buy” or "strong buy".

    Potential for huge NRI money coming into India via GIFT city: Bhavin Shah

    “We have investments in large private sector banks, some regional private sector banks, NBFCs, MFI, microfinance, wealth management, life insurance, so pretty much across the board. We continue to find a large number of stocks that are still reasonably valued. We also are overweight on aviation,” says Bhavin Shah

    • Integrating climate finance into India's economic blueprint

      Pradeep S. Mehta, Secretary-General of CUTS International, suggested that India's 2024-25 Budget should include dedicated climate finance institutions through public-private partnerships during a webinar on accelerating private investment in climate finance. Mehta stressed the importance of private sector involvement for a sustainable and resilient future, highlighting the need for collaboration, innovation, and commitment.

      Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside potential of up to 29%

      The bullish mode and mood of the market, which is already in place on the street as the nifty touched new high, is likely to get a boost as the first indication of return of FPI comes to markets. The budget and the narrative which gets built post that is going to play an important role in that. Maintaining fiscal discipline and announcing continuing policy push for key sectors would be key for that. We look at stocks which have witnessed a continuous rise in their score in the last one month. These selected stocks depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score which is based on five key pillars i.e. earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.

      Kotak Equities initiates coverage on JB Chemicals with a target price of Rs 2,025

      “Having primarily grown organically until FY2022 and later on aided by benefits from acquired brands, JB has handsomely outperformed the IPM in the past decade by ~600 bps and currently ranks 22 in the IPM,” said Alankar Garude, Analyst at Kotak Equities.

      IT stocks: A comeback which just needs a bit more confirmation; 7 stocks with an upside potential of up to 23%

      Just before the expiry of the June series contract, bulls were seen in a segment of the market which has been long ignored by them — IT stocks. Because the upward movement was taking place at the end of expiry, one could not rule out the element of short covering. If one looks a bit deeper in the trend in IT stocks, two things have become clear. That while the news and opinion has been negative, the price action has not been so bad as has been painted. Now let's look at what happened in the IT sector and why there could be a case for contrarian buying. Yes, the sector has some headwinds which not many had thought would appear two years back. But the bigger question is whether this phase of underperformance is about to get over or not. It might be time to shed the bias of negativity around large IT players.

      Midcaps stocks for long term investors: 5 stocks from different sectors with right financial & growth matrix and upside potential of up to 49%

      Buying quality stocks should be one of the basic principles while investing in markets. But when one is buying mid-cap stocks this principle becomes even more important for multiple reasons. At this point of time, when valuations are high and small corrections can lead to strong negative reactions in stock prices. So, while capital gains is the objective, never lose the perspective of protecting capital from sudden shocks. Now how does one do it? Look at the underlying business which is best understood by going through its annual report and look at a certain basic ratio in order to figure out how much return that underlying business can generate in best and worst case.

      Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside potential of up to 25%

      Every now and then the nifty keeps witnessing volatile movement, the difference this week was amidst all the intraday volatility because the bias of volatility has changed, nifty was able to touch a new high. Also because market breadth was positive, the trend for the majority would be bullish. Given the fact that macros are shaping for good, it appears that there is no reason for bulls to leave their control any time soon. While being bullish, be ready for a phase of volatility. In such times, if one is taking fresh exposure to equity, ensure that there is some level of quality as far as the business and fundamentals are concerned. These selected stocks depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score which is based on five key pillars i.e. earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.

      Being bullish & being cautious are not antonyms: 4 largecap stocks from different sectors with upside potential of up to 41%

      There are a number of times when one hears on the street, that indices and stocks have gone so high, how much higher it can go, so forget it. Essentially the underlying feeling is that just because the nifty and sensex has moved up now it will not move so let's not invest. That is probably the worst mistake one makes because at every level, this narrative comes. When nifty was 20,000 this argument could have been made, now at 24,000 also this argument can be made and when nifty is much higher, the same argument will be made. One needs to look at the broader picture, there is no reason why one should not be bullish about India, but that does mean one should not be cautious in terms of selecting the stocks. so , continue to be bullish, also be cautious and invest in a manner that short term profit booking moves don't make you anxious.

      Auto stocks: Time for some cool down and also an opportunity? 6 auto stocks with upside potential of upto 28%

      It is the sector which has led the rally which the market has witnessed in the last 14 months and rightly so. If one looks at the history, the rallies which are led by the transportation and auto sector are more durable as sales of LCV and certain other auto segments is an indication of the economic situation on the ground. But there is another fact, which is that with a mad rush for stocks a number of them have seen sharp run with valuations moving upward sharply. There is no doubt that the Indian auto sector is going through a transformation and Indian companies are adjusting to it very well. So there is a situation, while the fundamentals are good and improving, valuations have seen a run up. So, there is a likelihood that we might see some cooling off, but that would bring an opportunity for investors who have missed the bus.

      JM Financial initiates coverage on MapmyIndia, sees upside potential of 28%

      MapmyIndia, backed by JM Financial, aims for substantial revenue growth driven by new geospatial policies and diverse revenue streams.

      Better to own a set of stocks from the digital ecosystem rather than betting on one stock? 15 stocks with upside potential of upto 48%

      Few day’s back there was an issue with the telecom provider and the services stopped for some time. Now which would be the companies which got impacted the most, the telecom service provider, the answer is no. As a customer one would not get any reduction in the monthly billing because services were down for some time. The companies which may have got impacted would be a platform company on which one orders food, such as a swiggy or zomato. The reason, in the peak time of demand, a customer is not able to order food online due to internet service being down, that demand will not come back when the internet is back. But the other platform company which sells insurance was also not impacted. The reason is, if one was planning to buy an insurance policy and there is no internet, the demand will get postponed not get extinguished. The digital ecosystem is making things simple but it is yet complicated when it comes to investing.

      Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside potential of up to 43%

      While the indices might be witnessing correction on intra intra-basis, the broader markets are still very much under the control of the bulls. There is greater likelihood of bullish sentiment continuing, so be bullish but more than anything else in the long term what matters for a stock is earnings and valuation. So be selective, avoid impulsive investing, and keep reviewing one’s portfolio and stay away from penny stocks especially. It is very likely that some of the penny stocks will fly and be distributed amongst retail investors. We look at stocks which have witnessed a continuous rise in their score in the last one month. These selected stocks depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score which is based on five key pillars i.e. earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.

      India major potential partner for Europe, potential in high tech, digital services: Estonia

      Estonia sees India as a major potential partner for Europe, focusing on high technology, digital services, and cyber security. Jonatan Vseviov, Secretary General of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, highlighted the growing collaboration between the two nations. Tiit Riisalo, Minister of Economic Affairs and Information Technology, emphasized the importance of cyber security cooperation.

      One District One Product scheme is catalysing UP's export potential, says Alok Kumar, Principal Secretary, MSME and Export Promotion, UP Govt

      The One District One Product (ODOP) scheme has made a big difference in many industrial segments across UP, and it has also been a significant catalyst for the country's economic growth, according to Alok Kumar, Principal Secretary, MSME and Export Promotion, UP Government.

      Stocks to buy after Lok Sabha Elections Results 2024: 5 stocks with up to 23.2% upside potential

      While the 4 June crash eroded investor wealth, it may have eased stretched valuations. Experts believe the BJP-NDA government’s economic agenda will largely remain unchanged, though some priorities will be adjusted. Even before the election-induced jolts, the markets had been witnessing volatility. To counter the near-term shocks, invest in companies that have shown stability in the past.

      Own midcaps? Do a check & balance exercise to avoid decision of haste: 7 midcaps from different sectors with an upside potential of upto 49%

      Every now and then the market goes through phases, where it prefers a certain set of stocks, not based on sector but based on the overall market cap. So, sometimes it is large caps, at other mid-caps. Now this partially happens, due to the flows which are coming to markets. For example, if more flows are coming to mid-cap or multicap schemes there is bound to be out performance in the mid-cap space. Now what it does is that it tends to create a sudden surge in mid-cap. Similarly when there is an outflow like the kind of one which we saw in March this year, midcap stocks tend to decline sharply. Essentially, it is the flows which impact the broader matrix of how midcaps behave. So there are phases not owning a midcap stocks appeared to sin and then there phase, where owning them appears to be sin. But if one focuses on the underlying business and some critical parameters, there is a possibility of getting rid of these phases of anxiety which keep coming to the street and create long term wealth.

      First to indicate good or bad about economy, as it stays strong, ignore noises about politics: 6 auto stocks with upside potential of upto 34 %

      Unlike the US and some other western countries, where there is a separate transportation index which also has an element of logistic companies in it and is watched very closely, in India we don't have a very popular transportation index. The reason why transportation index numbers are extremely important is because there is enough historical evidence to show that auto industry numbers lead indicators of what is happening in the economy. That is why if one looks at the history of the stock market, the rallies which are led by the transportation and auto sector are more durable rallies. Especially the ones which are led by large commercial vehicles. Demand for large commercial vehicles would only increase when there is higher economic growth as more goods get moved from one place to another when the economy is doing well. At this point and in near term there will be noises about political instability, but better ignore it.

      Political noise is temporary in the end it's about GDP growth; 6 logistics companies with upside potential of up to 39%

      It will take some more time for the street to get out of the political noise and analysis and stocks may witness some more correction. But these are all short term issues, in the end markets are keen about two things, overall economic growth and earnings of the company. In the recent political noise what has been probably getting missed is the fact that GDP numbers were better than expected. It is very likely that we are going to see continued growth in the GDP numbers, yes, there would be voices which would say that focus consumption would increase and all other things, but in the end the biggest beneficiary of the continued higher growth is the logistics sector. The reason is simple, if the economy is doing well, more goods will be produced and they will have to be transported and that is why in large developed economies, logistic companies form part of a very important transportation index. Also another big factor, these companies have gone through a restructuring and have come out after facing many challenges.

      India has made huge strides, but the new govt still has a lot to do

      The past decade in India has seen significant transformations in infrastructure, economic reforms, and digitization, laying the groundwork for sustained growth. The challenge for the new government is to maintain an 8%-plus growth rate and increase per capita income. To achieve this, private investment must drive growth, with investments rising to 32-35% of GDP. Scaling up manufacturing, outcome-oriented skill development, supporting women and youth entrepreneurs, reforming municipal governance, realizing tourism potential, accelerating R&D, and addressing urban challenges are key areas for action.

      HUL shares rally over 16% in 2 days amid defensive buying; Jefferies sees upside potential of 10%

      HUL surges 16% over 2 days due to defensive stock reallocation and Jefferies' upgrade. FMCG index outperforms amidst market volatility. Axis Securities recommends HUL and Nestle for 12-18 months amid uncertain political outlook and preference for quality, low-volatility stocks.

      Power stocks: Both PSUs and pvt ones got re-rated. Ready for another round in Modi 3.0? 6 stocks with upside potential of up to 37%

      The summer heat leads to high power consumption is a well known fact. What has been the difference in the headlines this year and last two or three years? The news about massive power cuts and the possibility of power plants running out of coal is missing. The news which is dominating is that power demand is high and is being met. This change is the result of many things, right from optimism at one point of time to absolute despair at another. Finally policy push and discipline and integrated approach toward solving the issue of the sector, whether it for thermal, solar, wind or hydro. This led to a certain level of re-rating in Modi 2.0 which is likely to get pace in Modi 3.0. One thing which goes unnoticed is the fact that the power sector moving out of the trouble not only means good news for power companies but also the banks, because after metal, power companies topped the list of NPA of the banks.

      Hospitality beyond the usual hotspots

      India's hospitality industry is expanding its tourism portfolio, despite limited availability in urban areas. The country's geographical diversity has limited tourism potential, putting strain on existing infrastructure and leaving many areas underserved. The industry is now focusing on newer, riskier locations to meet service quality expectations of a growing number of travelers. The scale of the sector allows for distribution outreach with local government support, easing the financial burden on states.

      India’s strong institutional mechanism to prevent potential dumping of Chinese goods: Official

      As per a report of economic think-tank GTRI, the escalation of the trade war between the US and China may push Beijing to dump goods in the Indian markets.

      These largecaps have ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos and upside potential of more than 20%

      Just because the nifty has been trading in the red for the last few trading sessions, the word correction might be heard on the street. but the fact is that for the last many weeks, there has been a correction which has been taking place on the street. It is a sectoral correction which is taking place. The good part is that such kind of sectoral corrections are indicative of underlying bullishness and these corrections are part of any bull run. Though for all this will hold true only with a condition of policy continuity after elections. The only thing any investor needs to make sure is that in any corrective phase, bias when making fresh investment should be toward large cap stocks as there is a possibility that they would see less damage in corrections which are stronger in nature due to global or macro developments. ET screener powered by Refinitiv’s Stock Report Plus lists down quality stocks with high upside potential over the next 12 months, having an average recommendation rating of “buy” or "strong buy". The screener applies different algorithms for all BSE and NSE stocks.

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