INDIAN STOCK OVERVALUATION
ETMarkets Smart Talk: There might be a renewed focus on social expenditure in final Budget 2024: Arun Kumar Poddar
While we strive to reduce our reliance on FIIs, our Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) contributions are reaching record highs, reflecting growing confidence in the Indian markets.
Heat wave over! AC stocks face rain-test after rallying 76% in 6 months
AC stocks surge post heatwave, showing robust growth amidst cyclicality risks. Price hikes fuel expectations of strong growth momentum and secondary sales. Market growth relies on cooler penetration driven by purchasing power, not just rising temperatures.
2 top stock recommendations from Aditya Arora
Mahanagar Gas did give good rally in last two days. But if we look on the very short-term timeframe, then 1700 is the resistance mark for the stock. 1680 to 1700 is the supply zone. Until that is not taken out, excess supply is not absorbed, stock would face hurdle and hiccups in giving a one-way rally.
FPIs invest Rs 26,565 crore in Indian equities in Jun
After two months of net outflow, foreign investors turned buyers in June, infusing Rs 26,565 crore in Indian equities, driven by political stability and a sharp rebound in markets.
FIIs end up buying Indian stocks worth over Rs 26,000 crore in June, all eyes now on Budget
After being net sellers in the last two months, a U-turn by FIIs comes amid expectations that reforms will continue after the elections. Improved GDP growth forecast and solid earnings by India Inc has also increased the appeal for FIIs, analysts say.
Midcaps stocks for long term investors: 5 stocks from different sectors with right financial & growth matrix and upside potential of up to 49%
Buying quality stocks should be one of the basic principles while investing in markets. But when one is buying mid-cap stocks this principle becomes even more important for multiple reasons. At this point of time, when valuations are high and small corrections can lead to strong negative reactions in stock prices. So, while capital gains is the objective, never lose the perspective of protecting capital from sudden shocks. Now how does one do it? Look at the underlying business which is best understood by going through its annual report and look at a certain basic ratio in order to figure out how much return that underlying business can generate in best and worst case.
- Go To Page 1
Bernstein India Strategy: Navigating the disconnect between earnings and stock price movements
Caution is advised for investors as earnings performance is crucial for market progress, highlighting the risk of overvaluation. Informed investment decisions are necessary, considering the disparities in sectors like Metals and Industrials and the modest gains in financials amidst overall stagnation.
Exide has surged 80% but still not overvalued? Sudip Bandyopadhyay explains why
Transition from IC to electric vehicle is giving a significant opportunity to the battery manufacturers. And remember, in IC, the battery used to be one component, whereas in EV that is going to be the most important component. The opportunity size for the battery manufacturer in the automobile ecosystem is going up many-many fold, says Sudip Bandyopadhyay
Monday blues! Heavyweights drag Sensex 400 points lower; Nifty below 23,400
The weakness was led by selling pressure in banks and metal stocks, while FMCG and consumer durables saw some buying amid sectoral rotation. IndusInd Bank fell around 3% and was the top loser in the Nifty pack, followed by 2% plus declines in Cipla, Tata Steel, and Adani Ports. On the other hand, defensives from pharma, FMCG, and IT - Sun Pharma, ITC, Nestle, TCS, and HUL - saw buying action.
Ajay Bagga on where to look for next market trigger and pockets to avoid now
Ajay Bagga says railways and defence sectors have already run up much and multi-year order books have been factored in. Now it is the execution challenge. So, have the investors already eaten the pie for railways and defence? Not fully, but right now there might be one more move up like we saw in railway stocks today.
Why investors are favouring FMCG stocks after elections
One key reason behind FMCG becoming a preferred choice in today’s time was this year’s general election. It was the most expensive affair with an estimated campaign cost incurred by political parties reaching a record Rs 1.35 lakh crore. A significant share of this pie moves into the pockets of rural India.
How to plan for a future stock market correction?
Investors are moving investments to safer options like fixed deposits, bonds, and cash. There are many who are waiting for a stock market crash. Market corrections are temporary and unpredictable, so staying invested is key, says.
Are fears and panic around PSUs overblown? Sandip Sabharwal answers
Ideally, they should not be able to because like you rightly said, it is more commoditised. In fact, you look at the reason why did HDFC merge into HDFC Bank, because they realised that the margins are going to get squeezed and if they do not have a low-cost deposit franchise which supports the margin squeeze, that will become tougher.So, many of these housing finance companies sustain higher margins to develop financing, loan against property, etc, which are higher margin, but then also carry higher risk.
Is it time to book profits in 'Modi stocks'? Sandip Sabharwal answers
If you have been always wanting to sell something and you could not get the opportunity, that is always the case, you should always do that. But I think it is foolish to unnecessarily increase cash in the assumption that you will want to buy cheaper at this point of time because if the strength of the mandate is as strong as what it reflects, then I think there will be continuity, there will be strong economic growth over the next few years.
Sensex jumps 3,700 points in 9 days. Why is no one waiting till election results?
In the near term, market analysts believe the chances of the market going up further are less given that it has already touched record-high levels, and in case the political equation changes, the market can fall as much as 15% on June 4.
ETMarkets AIF Talk: Fund Manager with Rs 1,000 cr portfolio nearly doubles wealth in a year; holds 10% cash amid election uncertainty
Arun Chulani, Co-Founder of First Water Capital, discusses the fund's impressive performance, achieving over 90% growth in the last year and 40% CAGR in 3 years. The fund has consistently ranked no.1 on BarclayHedge's Top 10 equity funds. he says: "Our performance is a reflection of our core philosophy, which starts with value, concentration, and betting on a country with long-term tailwinds—that of India."
Creating short positions in the market; expect 1,000-4,000 pts correction post election: Aditya Arora
Aditya Arora of Adlytick foresees Nifty correction post-election due to market overvaluation. He says a short-term spike is possible and suggests caution and waiting for trading opportunities. Arora says: "Whatever is the top for the market, from there we see a correction of 1,000 to 4,000 points." He further recommends a Britannia buy for potential outperformance in choppy market conditions.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: History suggests that Indian markets have done well in the first year following election: Anshul Arzare
Anshul Arzare advises investors to focus on economic growth, fundamentals, and investor confidence, and not get swayed by short-term volatility. Indian markets show positive trends with rising domestic investments and GDP expected to grow at 7% in FY25. Arzare says: "Empirically research suggests that in the long-term, ‘buying the dip’ is a good strategy when stock market corrections are caused by sentimental or geopolitical concerns."
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Interesting opportunities in long-term government bonds market: Amit Goel
Amit Goel says Indian stocks are one of the greatest bubbles ever in the history of global capital markets. He anticipates that over the next 3-4 years, huge downsides are going to open up in Indian equities. Goel advises diversifying from Indian equities to other asset classes amid market volatility. He recommends a macro top-down strategy for better protection and returns.
This is a bull market with legs, we are not in a bubble; stay invested: Rajesh Bhatia
Rajesh Bhatia advises caution in the bull market, emphasizing India's growth potential and the positive market color. He discusses the impact of global commodities, real estate market trends, and the promising outlook for private banks amidst incremental deposit growth. Bhatia says: "So many sectors have done well, which is really the colour of a bull market. "
Process of overvaluations getting readjusted over? 4 stocks from diagnostics sector with upside potential of 18-23%
There are some businesses whose underlying nature is such that they don't have any sudden spike in their profits. However at the same time, there is constant growth. The growth could be because of many reasons, it may be because of the fact that penetration of that good or service is very low and over a period of time as it improves, both top and bottom line keep moving upward. In some cases, it could be because of the movement of business from the unorganized sector to the organized sector. It could also be because of the fact that the need is such that if required spending on it cannot be postponed. In the case of diagnostic business, it is all the three. But there is another side to it, how the street is treating these businesses when it comes to valuations. In case of diagnostics, from dizzy heights of valuation in 2021 to today where it is being seen as a sector where there is nothing worth looking at this point of time due to multiple issues. Yes, there are real issues with the business, but not a bad time to get them on watchlist at least.
Selling good quality midcaps just because they are overvalued not a good strategy: Dipan Mehta
Dipan Mehta of Elixir Equities advises remaining invested in quality stocks even if they are overvalued. He highlights the BAT stake sale in ITC and the slow growth in its tobacco and FMCG businesses. He also discusses the preference for large private sector banks and positive outlook on the IT sector.
74 BSE500 stocks gave double-digit returns in February; can gains sustain?
In February, 74 stocks on the BSE 500 gained double-digit returns of up to 32%. Hindustan Petroleum Corporation, CONCOR, Bharat Electronics, and others were among the top performers. Anish Tawakley of ICICI Prudential AMC has turned cautious on PSU stocks.
The current economic cycle is yet to end: Anish Tawakley, ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund
ICICI Prudential AMC's Deputy CIO - Equity, Anish Tawakley, advises caution on PSU stocks due to valuation concerns. The team focuses on domestic cyclical sectors and has thrived by spotting the recovery in the real estate cycle and early homebuilding activity. They monitor capacity utilization, earnings expectations, and manufacturing performance.
Macro, mania and Modi may support overvalued Indian stock market: Kotak Equities
Kotak said it finds most sectors and stocks quite overvalued in the context of historical valuations coupled with the Street’s high assumptions for profitability in the short term, which may not sustain and weak business models and/or emerging risks to even hitherto strong business models in the medium term.
Sitting on top of a sharp rally, market tends to be fragile; buying overvalued stocks a risk now: Seshadri Sen
The market is falling on its own weight due to the fragility caused by the rally in Q4 of CY23. Specific companies that do not deliver are being severely punished. Bad earnings are getting challenged and not seeing follow-through. Manufacturing numbers are expected to hold up well, and festival demand has been decent. Private banks, such as HDFC, LTI Mindtree, and Asian Paints, have been hit by poor earnings. The fear is that other private banks may also display disappointment in asset quality, liquidity, and loan growth.
90% of the market overvalued except very largecap stocks: Sanjeev Prasad
Sanjeev Prasad says: “Probably 90% of the market is overvalued. While the very largecap names seem to be more reasonably valued, as we go down the market cap quality and risk curve, the extent of overvaluation keeps on increasing and you cannot even understand what is happening in some of the midcap and smallcap stocks.”
Nifty overvalued by 20%, says Kotak Equities, picks Britannia, NTPC for its All-Season portfolio
"As per our ‘Nifty fair value’ model, the index is now close to 20% overvalued. Thus, we do not anticipate a large upside to the index from this point. The most likely outcome for the index in the next 6-9 month period seems to be a time correction," Kotak said in a note.
India m-cap to GDP indicates overvaluation: Kenneth Andrade
Asset manager Old Bridge Capital said that India’s market capitalisation to GDP ratio is at an all-time high of over 100% which indicates overvaluation and the need to exercise caution as the market may have priced itself ahead of the curve.
Load More
