INFLOW OF FOREIGN FUNDS
US rate cuts can spur inflows into Indian debt: Citi Exec
Global interest in Indian debt is set to surge, potentially exceeding the expected $2 billion monthly inflow from JP Morgan's bond index inclusion. Citi's Aditya Bagree forecasts a boost as the US Federal Reserve eyes rate cuts, likely triggering EM bond fund inflows. He highlights India's sovereign debt as a top volatility-adjusted carry trade in the region. Despite recent inflows totaling $32 billion, passive investments and India's economic resilience could drive more robust foreign participation. The rupee's stability and favorable economic indicators further bolster investor confidence in Indian assets.
Rupee falls 4 paise to 83.55 against US dollar in early trade
Rupee fell 4 paise to 83.55 against the US dollar due to strong American currency and high crude prices. Forex traders and RBI measures, including foreign fund inflows and high FX reserves, partially restrained the fall. Brent crude at $85.14, dollar index 104.21, weak US CPI data, inflows, and record-high FX reserves noted.
FII buying in June crosses Rs 15,000 crore. Will IT results attract more inflow?
While domestic investors, led by mutual funds, have been sustained buyers in all months of calendar year 2024 so far, FIIs have alternated between buying and selling.
IMF says emerging market capital inflows recover to 2018 levels
The IMF's External Sector Report indicated gross capital inflows into emerging markets, excluding China, hit $110 billion or 0.6% of GDP last year, the highest since 2018, amidst high U.S. interest rates. These markets showed resilience. China faced net outflows and negative FDI. Net portfolio inflows dipped; FDI held steady. (David Lawder; Franklin Paul)
Rupee rises 5 paise to 83.44 against US dollar in early trade
The Indian rupee appreciated 5 paise against the US dollar, supported by a retreat in crude oil prices and foreign fund inflows. Analysts predict a broad trading range for the rupee amid positive economic indicators.
PE investment in real estate hits $2.5 bn in Q2, a 3-year high
Institutional investments in India's real estate sector surged to a three-year high of $2.5 billion in the June quarter, primarily driven by robust activity in the industrial and warehousing, and residential segments, according to Colliers. The industrial and warehousing segment attracted the majority of investments at $1.5 billion, marking an 11-fold increase from Q2 2023, while the residential segment also experienced significant growth. Conversely, investments in the office sector plummeted 83%. Foreign investors, particularly from the US and UAE, were prominent contributors in the market, indicating a positive outlook for the industry.
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Rupee falls 5 paise to 83.54 against US dollar in early trade
The rupee depreciated 5 paise to 83.54 against the dollar due to high crude prices, starting at 83.52. Positive equities, foreign fund inflows supported. Amit Pabari noted pressures like crude at USD 87. S&P's YeeFarn Phua mentioned fiscal deficit reduction need. NSE Nifty, Sensex surged; FIIs buying shares. Dollar index at 105.36, US yields at 4.35%.
FII stake in HDFC Bank falls below 55%, ADRs rally on likely inflows
HDFC Bank's shares surged, attracting billions, with FIIs reducing stakes. Analysts predict a significant increase in the MSCI index weight, potentially doubling inflows. The bank's NSE shares closed higher, reflecting positive investor sentiment.
HDFC’s potential weight gain in MSCI index may bring $4-b inflows
HDFC Bank shines with a 16% rally, surpassing Sensex performance. Market awaits MSCI EM Index rebalancing news on August 13, fueling anticipatory speculation.
No Friday blockbuster for bonds on JPM index
Indian bonds debuted in JP Morgan's GBI-EM global index suite on Friday, with the country expected to reach a maximum weight of 10% in the GBI-EM Global Diversified Index over a 10-month period. JP Morgan's analysts expect foreign investment worth $20-25 billion to flow to the local bond market from the move.
007 Effect! JPMorgan bond inclusion can attract $2-3 billion monthly FII inflows into India
Since October 2023, non-residents have invested nearly $15 billion in Indian government bonds, including $5 billion through USD-settled, INR-denominated supranational bonds. Starting from Friday, passive fund inclusion will begin at a rate of 1% per month, leading to total inflows of $25-30 billion by the time full weightage is reached.
Rupee rises 8 paise to 83.37 against US dollar in early trade
Market anticipates US inflation data, oil supply issues from Russia and the Middle East drive prices. The rupee strengthens against the dollar amidst market optimism and increased foreign investments.
India inclusion in JP Morgan Bond index from today, $25-30 bn flow expected. What it means
India, which has been on index watch since October 21, upon its inclusion will have the single highest duration across the index at 7.03 years, with an above average yield-to-maturity at 7.09%, a JP Morgan note said.
Foreigners buy Indian debt on eve of JPMorgan index inclusion, indicators signal
Currency market reacts to India's JPMorgan index inclusion with increased foreign buying and dollar transactions by large banks. Traders anticipate passive inflows despite the rupee's limited appreciation. RBI expected to manage the market dynamics prudently.
Funds circling India debt risk being tripped Up by red tape
China's tax exemptions on bond investments set a precedent for India's sovereign debt market, likely attracting more foreign investors. The hurdles faced by outsiders in accessing the market include lengthy documentation, tax treaty variances impacting returns, and the need for registration via custodian banks for trading in certain bonds.
Industrials strong, but be careful about valuations: Hiren Dasani of Goldman Sachs Asset Mgmt
"Emerging market equities, as an asset class, are not seeing inflows. They have seen outflows. The US is doing much better than the broader emerging market. The other dynamic is there is also a very strong AI (artificial intelligence)-driven theme that is driving the markets like Taiwan, which is a global supply chain for the entire AI-related and semiconductor segments"
Oil & gas, construction and IT head FPI sell list; realty gets most inflows
Overseas investors, FPIs, NSDL data show ₹12,519 crore sold in 11 sectors between June 1-15. Oil & gas, construction, IT, metals & mining saw money shift. Oil & gas had largest selling at ₹3,683 crore in June's first fortnight.
How mutual fund flows are making Dalal Street Aatmanirbhar
FIIs impact Indian capital markets, with mutual funds gaining prominence. SEBI's actions on P-Notes and rise of SIPs stabilize market. Prof Ghalke and Aditya Bharambe contribute to market insights.
FPIs’ G-Sec purchases cross $10-billion mark
Nine months after JP Morgan announced the inclusion of Indian government debt in its emerging markets index, foreign portfolio investors have increased their ownership of sovereign bonds by over $10 billion. The influx of funds is expected to continue as India's index weightage grows.
RBI to face problem of plenty: Prepare for bond sales
The RBI's challenge for the year may not be inflation but liquidity. Government spending resumption and overseas fund flows complicate monetary policy effectiveness.
What investors expect from India's election outcome
India's six-week long national election, the world's largest, is nearing its conclusion with the final vote count on June 4. Investors are anticipating Prime Minister Narendra Modi's expected third term in office.
GIFT Nifty down 40 points; here's the trading setup for today's session
The rupee appreciated 13 paise to close at 83.37 against the US dollar on Friday, tracking positive sentiment in domestic equity markets and fresh foreign fund inflows.
FPIs aggressively selling India stocks, offloaded over Rs 28,000 crore with 10 days to go in May
The selling spree in Indian stock markets by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) turned aggressive in May, partly attributable to a strong US dollar, sticky inflation particularly in the food segment, and poll outcome-related anxieties.
Suzlon Energy to get $14 million FII boost from MSCI rejig after 386% returns in one year
Suzlon Energy's shares are poised to receive a $14 million boost from passive inflows due to increased weightage in the MSCI global standard index, as per Nuvama report.
Pakistan shares hit fresh record on rate cut hopes, IMF talks
Pakistan's benchmark share index touched a lifetime high on Wednesday, breaching the key level of 75,000, on hopes that easing inflation could pave the way for interest rate cuts as early as June.
JPMorgan says India index inclusion on track, most clients ready
“Based on the annual Index Governance Consultation process, market feedback so far has been largely positive, with the majority of our index clients already set up to trade in the IGB market,” managing director Gloria Kim said in an emailed reply to questions.
Indian government bonds outperform corporates on index boost
Fixed income in the world’s most populous country is in demand ahead of its addition into JPMorgan’s emerging markets debt gauge in late June. The accession is expected to attract tens of billions of dollars of inflows into a market historically shielded from foreigners.
Rupee trades in narrow range against US dollar in early trade
At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 82.74 against the dollar, but soon pared the losses and touched 82.64 against the greenback in initial trade, higher by 3 paise from its previous close.
Rupee rises 4 paise to 82.87 against US dollar in early trade
At the interbank foreign exchange, the domestic currency opened at 82.86 and slipped further to trade at 82.87 against the greenback, registering a gain of 4 paise from its previous close.
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