RAJASTHAN CVOTER PREDICTION
After Lok Sabha exit polls overestimated NDA victory, public apologies and calls for probe follow
Highly inaccurate exit polls predicting a sweeping election victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party have led to dramatic public apologies from polling companies this week and calls for an investigation into possible manipulation. Nearly all the exit polls released on June 1 predicted that Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its allies would secure over 350 seats in the lower house of parliament. However, the final results, announced three days later, showed the coalition winning only 293 seats.
Exit polls see Modi hattrick: Predict NDA victory with stellar show in South & East; opposition left far behind
Exit polls on Saturday evening predicted a landslide victory for the ruling BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the general election, potentially exceeding its 2019 performance. Some polls projected the NDA could reach around 400 seats, a key target for Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The Lok Sabha, with 545 members, concluded its election held in seven phases from April 19 to June 1.
Lok Sabha Elections 2024 Exit Polls Result Live Updates: NDA alliance to come out on top in UP, MP and Gujarat; to make big gains in Bengal
The 2024 Lok Sabha elections exit poll forecasts reveal BJP's potential gains in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal, with NDA alliance predicted to win over 350 seats. The showdown between NDA and Congress-led INDIA bloc intensifies as both aim for victory.
Budget 2024: Has BJP's state election wins dimmed mega sop chances in interim budget?
Union Budget: Prime Minister Narendra Modi's BJP secured significant victories in key states, indicating possibilities of keeping the government away from lavish welfare schemes in the upcoming interim budget. Modi's vision for India's future may lead to a budget prioritizing fiscal prudence over excessive spending.
Opinion poll predicts return of Modi govt in 2024
According to an opinion poll by ABP News and C-Voter, the Modi-led NDA is predicted to return in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections with 295-335 seats, while the opposition Congress and its allies in INDIA bloc may secure 165-205 seats. The poll suggests that the NDA is comfortably ahead in BJP-ruled states, including Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Rajasthan.
Why exit poll results should be read with a disclaimer and pinch of salt
Mixed and contradictory projections by exit poll predictions have left the public confused. Most agencies favor a BJP triumph in Rajasthan, while Madhya Pradesh remains evenly split between BJP and Congress victories. Chhattisgarh and Telangana may lean towards Congress, and Mizoram may see a split verdict. Here's why these exit polls predictions may go wrong.
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Exit Poll Results: Five times when these surveys went totally wrong
The impending results of the recent state elections prompt reflection on historical disparities between exit polls and actual outcomes. Notable instances, such as the 2004 Lok Sabha and 2014 elections, underscore the unpredictability of these forecasts. Despite exit polls favoring the BJP-led NDA, actual results often diverged significantly. As the nation awaits the latest results, these past discrepancies serve as a reminder of the inherent uncertainty in electoral predictions, leaving the outcome of the current elections shrouded in anticipation.
Exit poll results: Big win for BJP in Rajasthan, close contest in MP & Chhattisgarh; cliffhanger in Telangana & Mizoram
Kalvakuntla Chandrasekhar Rao (KCR) may not be able to retain power for a third successive term as the chief minister of Telangana. In Mizoram, the ruling Mizo National Front (MNF) is facing a big challenge from Zoram People's Movement (ZPM). Once again, anti-incumbency will play a crucial role in Rajasthan, and the BJP is projected to return to power with the CNN-News18 forecasting that BJP will form the government this time with a victory on 111 seats, the Congress is predicted to win 74 seats and others 24.
Rajasthan Exit Poll Results 2023: Most surveys predict a win for BJP
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is seen getting more than 100 seats in the just concluded assembly election. Polls for 199 assembly seats out of 200 Rajasthan assembly seats were held earlier this November 25, 2023. Results will be declared on December 3. However, on several occasions, the exit poll predictions have proved wrong.
Exit Poll highlights: Most polls predict majority to BJP-led NDA
Most exit polls are predicting majority to the BJP government with nearly 300 seats.
Before Congress gloats over victory, it should remember 2003
In 2003, Vajpayee and the BJP had to pay a huge price for misreading poll outcomes in these states.
Rajasthan exit polls predict Congress may storm desert state
Times Now- CNX exit poll has predicted Congress is winning 105 seats, and BJP is winning 85 with the rest for others out of 199 seats in Rajasthan.
Chhattisgarh exit polls divided, most give slight edge to Congress
Chhattisgarh voted in two phases this time - 18 seats on Nov 12 , and the remaining 72 on Nov 20.
Exit poll highlights: Congress sees a lot of hope in 3 states
Most exit polls have predicted a close contest between the ruling BJP and Congress in MP and Chhattisgarh.
Exit polls predict reality check for BJP, hope for Congress
The trend, if confirmed by the final results on December 11, shows strong anti-incumbency against BJP in the three states of MP, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan.
Confused with exit poll results? Here are five times when they were way off the mark
There have been several instances in the past when exit polls have been way off the mark. The most popular being the 2004 Lok Sabha polls.
Rajasthan Election results: All you need to know
Since 1993, power has alternated between Congress and BJP every five years. Despite a series of by-poll losses, Vasundhara Raje is banking on several welfare schemes to deliver political dividends.
Rajasthan Elections: Opinion polls give thumping majority to Congress
The predictions does not auger too well for incumbent chief minister Vasundhara Raje who is looking to defy history to become the CM for two consecutive terms.
Mayawati is now the country’s most sought-after politician
As the election year approaches, Mayawati is gradually striking one-on-one deals with smaller, regional outfits to strengthen her position and improve her bargaining power
Opinion polls predict victory for Congress in Rajasthan Assembly polls
Surveys carried out by ABP News-CVoter and C fore have given the Congress almost 50 per cent of the vote share and 142 and 124-138 seats respectively in the 200-member Rajasthan Assembly.
National poll projection promising for Modi, worrisome for Congress
Riding on Narendra Modi’s popularity, BJP set to win record number of seats in upcoming Lok Sabha polls.
Easy victory for BJP in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh: Times NOW
Sheila Dikshit’s ratings have taken a hit with Kejriwal rising in the leadership stakes — 34% of voters favoured him for the top job over Dikshit.
Congress clear loser, but BJP still far from victory: Poll
We could end up with a Lok Sabha in which, for the first time, the single largest party has less than one-fourth of the 543 seats and no front has even a third.
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