SUPPLY RISKS
Trade routes in turmoil: Why Indian exports are piling up in Colombo and Singapore
About 75% of India's transshipped cargo is handled at ports outside India, and the major trade routes connecting India to various destinations, including Colombo, Singapore, and Port Klang, are currently experiencing strain.
Oil prices edge higher as supply risks mount
Oil prices responded to geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions, with concerns over fuel demand dynamics. The market saw gains in Brent and WTI futures amidst heightened uncertainties, while attention remained on the impact of geopolitical conflicts on oil supply. Anticipation of increased gasoline consumption over the July 4th weekend offered some relief amid persisting demand challenges.
US, Japan, South Korea vow strategic cooperation to boost security, economies
Commerce and trade ministers from the U.S., Japan, and South Korea agreed to cooperate on AI safety, export controls, clean energy, and semiconductor supply chains. U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo emphasized the importance of collaboration for global security. Japanese Minister Ken Saito and South Korean Minister Ahn Duk-geun also attended the inaugural meeting, initiated at a Camp David summit. The ministers aim to strengthen supply chain resilience, particularly in semiconductors and critical minerals, and enhance cooperation in cybersecurity and technical standards to counter China's dominance in critical mineral supply chains.
Oil up on firming demand, Mideast tensions underpin risk premium
Oil prices rose on Tuesday due to a stronger demand outlook and investor confidence in OPEC+ producers. Global benchmark Brent crude futures and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up, closing at their highest since April.
Credit growth in India healthy; deflation risks persist in China: Chetan Ahya
But the challenge we feel is that the structural issue of slowdown in demand because of property sector is still exerting deflationary pressures and in that environment as they are trying to support real growth with more manufacturing investments, it is resulting into excess capacities and continuing to have that inflation in a weaker trajectory.
Is the world running out of water supplies? These cities have acute drinking water crises.
The water crisis is being caused due to outdated supply infrastructure and mismanagement. Solutions are needed that leverage technology.
Political noise is temporary in the end it's about GDP growth; 6 logistics companies with upside potential of up to 39%
It will take some more time for the street to get out of the political noise and analysis and stocks may witness some more correction. But these are all short term issues, in the end markets are keen about two things, overall economic growth and earnings of the company. In the recent political noise what has been probably getting missed is the fact that GDP numbers were better than expected. It is very likely that we are going to see continued growth in the GDP numbers, yes, there would be voices which would say that focus consumption would increase and all other things, but in the end the biggest beneficiary of the continued higher growth is the logistics sector. The reason is simple, if the economy is doing well, more goods will be produced and they will have to be transported and that is why in large developed economies, logistic companies form part of a very important transportation index. Also another big factor, these companies have gone through a restructuring and have come out after facing many challenges.
SAP aims to double embedded AI use cases to 100 by year-end: SAP CEO
Klein was speaking at SAP’s annual conference Sapphire, where the company unveiled generative AI innovations and partnerships. Klein was speaking at SAP’s annual conference Sapphire, where the company unveiled generative AI innovations and partnerships.
TSMC says it has discussed moving fabs out of Taiwan, but such a move impossible
TSMC, a Taiwanese chipmaker, discussed moving its fabrication plants off the island amid tensions with China, but deemed it impossible due to 80-90% production capacity in Taiwan.
Pill for China plus one
Indian pharma CEOs met senior officials in FDA and other key agencies to start a conversation. Even if a little late, given the looming presidential election, the proposal deserves attention. The basic idea is to capitalise on India's expertise and infra for manufacturing through financial incentives, tech sharing, collaborative research and tech transfers to expand production in both countries. Pursue onshoring in America and friendshoring in India to reduce dependence on China. And aggregate US, Indian and European demand for certain drugs, as IPA secretary general Sudarshan Jain told me.
Strong demand tailwinds are for all the players: 5 small and midcap real-estate stocks with upside potential of up to 34%
Four years ago, the real estate industry was defined by excess inventory, over leveraged balance sheets and weak demand. Today, a housing project getting launched is getting sold within a few days. The average prices on a per square ft basis have inched upward very sharply in the last one year and still there is no dearth of demand. Now the question is whether this kind of sharp rise in demand is having an impact only on large players or also on mid-sized companies which are focussed in a region only. The fact is that in the case of sectors like real estate, when the tide of demand changes, it changes for every player, be it large or medium. Yes, when it comes to medium-sized players it would be important to look at the players where they have a track record of implementing projects on time. Delivering the project on time is key metrics which determines whether the company which is mid-sized today will become large or not in years to come. As the large ones have seen a sharp rise in the valuations, the focus of the street is now also on mid-sized by well managed companies.
Staying with stronger ones is always better option: 5 Midcap stocks from different sectors with upside potential of upto 42%
In its lifetime every midcap company sees some headwinds. There are many examples from history which show the difference between the companies which have been able to survive and grow even after all the trouble is that of the parent company. A company belonging to a strong industrial group which has a track record of handling many economic cycles in the past has a higher probability of surviving a bad phase and coming back on a growth path as compared to a company in the same line of business which does not have the backing of a strong parent. The reasons are simple, when that midcap company of a large group will see a tough time, at a group level there is management bandwidth in terms of both financial and human resources to help it over bad times. Look over the last two decades at how companies like Voltas, Tata chemicals, which at one point if time were mid sized companies because large and stable business. So, if one is looking at investing in mid-cap, surely have a look if it has the back of a large and strong industrial house.
International Energy Agency warns of key energy mineral shortage risk
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has reported a sharp drop in prices for minerals essential for the green energy transition, indicating a shortage due to inadequate investment. The agency noted that prices for minerals key for electric vehicles, wind turbines, and solar panels fell back to pre-pandemic levels as supplies caught up with and surpassed demand. The IEA expressed concern that this may deter investment needed to meet demand, which is set to soar as many nations phase out sales of new internal combustion engine cars in the next decade.
Make farmers better informed about risk
Then it's expected to trend down sharply because of the high base during last year's scattered and inadequate monsoon. Dependence of retail inflation on the weather is becoming more volatile with the rising frequency of extreme events. Supply responses like export bans and stocking limits don't address rising volatility, and with it headline inflation that serves as a key macro target.
Half of all copper mining is at drought risk with climate change
Copper has rallied in recent months to surpass $10,000 a metric ton, fueled by bets on looming shortages as mines struggle to meet rising demand from electric vehicles, grid infrastructure and data centers.
Morgan Stanley lifts Q3 Brent crude oil forecast to $94 on geopolitical risk
Morgan Stanley has raised its Brent crude oil price forecast for the third quarter of this year by $4 per barrel to $94, citing geopolitical risks.
BofA hikes 2024 oil forecasts on tighter supply, geopolitical risks
Bank of America (BofA) Global Research has raised its 2024 Brent and WTI oil price forecasts, citing escalating geopolitical tensions and the OPEC+ producer group maintaining supply curbs.
Oil gains as market buffeted by supply worries
Brent futures for June delivery rose 20 cents, or 0.22%, to $89.12 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for May climbed 17 cents, or about 0.2%, to $85.32 a barrel, at 0015 GMT.
Oil prices rise on tighter supply, geopolitical risks
Brent crude oil futures for May delivery inched up 3 cents to USD 85.37 a barrel by 0045 GMT. The April contract for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 10 cents to USD 81.14.
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