California's 47th Congressional District election, 2024

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California's 47th Congressional District
Top-two primary General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 8, 2023
Primary: March 5, 2024 General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in California
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic DDHQ and The Hill: Likely Democratic Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
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Scott Baugh (R) and Dave Min (D) are running in the general election for California's 47th Congressional District on November 5, 2024. Incumbent Katie Porter (D) ran for the U.S. Senate. Porter was re-elected in 2022 after defeating Baugh 52%-48% in the general election. She was first elected in 2018, defeating Republican incumbent Mimi Walters 52%-48%.

Politico said this race "could very well determine the balance of power in the House" in 2024. Both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) and the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) listed the race as one of their top priorities in the 2024 election cycle.

Baugh is an attorney and former California Assembly member who served as the chairman of the Orange County Republican Party from 2004 to 2015. Federal spending and debt are key issues for Baugh, who says he would "find solutions to bring down spending and reign in our national debt." Baugh also says Min is too progressive to represent the 47th district. "[Min's] progressive policies are wrong for Orange County and voters will remember come November."

Min was elected to the California Senate in 2020 and previously worked as an attorney and as a senior economic advisor to U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.). Min's campaign has focused on abortion, gun violence, and climate change. Min said that as a state senator, he “passed 28 bills, including eight protecting domestic violence survivors” and “[took] on the gun lobby, Big Oil, and anti-choice MAGA extremists.” The California Democratic Party and Porter endorsed Min.

Based on Q2 2024 reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Min raised $3.6 million and spent $2.0 million and Baugh raised $1.9 million and spent $0.2 million. To review all the campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.

As of September 4, 2024, Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the election a Toss-up, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rated it Tilt Democratic, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter rated it Lean Democratic, and Decision Desk HQ and The Hill rated it Likely Democratic.

The United Democracy Project (UDP) is a super PAC affiliated with the pro-Israel lobbying group the American Israel Public Affairs Commission (AIPAC). UDP has contributed satellite spending in California's 47th Congressional District election in 2024 . To learn more about how influencers, including activists, lobbyists, and philanthropists influence elections, click here.

All 435 U.S. House seats are up for election in 2024. Republicans have a 220 to 211 majority with four vacancies. As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 51.7%-48.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 54.5%-43.4%.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 47

Dave Min and Scott Baugh are running in the general election for U.S. House California District 47 on November 5, 2024.

		Candidate
		Dave Min (D)
		Scott Baugh (R)

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	There are no incumbents in this race.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 47

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 47 on March 5, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Scott Baugh (R)	32.1	57,517
✔		Dave Min (D)	25.9	46,393
		Joanna Weiss (D)	19.4	34,802
		Max Ukropina (R)	14.8	26,585
		Long Pham (R)	2.7	4,862
		Terry Crandall (No party preference)	1.6	2,878
		Boyd Roberts (D)	1.4	2,570
		Tom McGrath (No party preference)	0.9	1,611
		Bill Smith (No party preference)	0.6	1,062
		Shariq Zaidi (D)	0.4	788

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 179,068
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Andrew Goffe (D)
• Weiming Chu (R)
• Harley Rouda (D)
• Julia Hashemieh (R)
• Steven Cotton (R)
• James Griffin (R)
• Mike Schaefer (D)
• Brian Burley (R)
• Lori Kirkland Baker (D)
• Dom Jones (D)

Voting information

See also: Voting in California

Election information in California: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What is the voter registration deadline?

• In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
• By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 21, 2024
• Online: Oct. 21, 2024

Is absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

• In-person: N/A
• By mail: N/A by N/A
• Online: N/A

What is the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

• In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
• By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 5, 2024

Is early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What are the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 7, 2024 to Nov. 5, 2024

Are all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, is a photo or non-photo ID required?

K.A.

When are polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Dave Min

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: California State Senate - District 37 (Elected: 2020)

Submitted Biography:  "I am a native Californian, son of Korean immigrants, husband, father of three children in public schools, and former UC Irvine School of Law Professor running for Congress to protect our Democracy, defend our basic rights, and give everyone a fair shot at the American Dream. I have been endorsed by the California Democratic Party, Congresswoman Katie Porter, Teachers, Police, gun violence prevention groups, organized labor, and over 60 local leaders. I have 100% ratings from Planned Parenthood and Sierra Club, and an ‘F’ rating from the NRA. I began my career holding Wall Street accountable by prosecuting corporate fraud at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. I have testified six times before Congress and led efforts to expand economic opportunity. As a California State Senator, I’ve passed 28 bills, including eight protecting domestic violence survivors, and I’ve taken on the gun lobby, Big Oil, and anti-choice MAGA extremists. I’ve been a champion for: - Reproductive freedom, authoring a proposition to add abortion and contraception access to the California Constitution. 100% rating from Planned Parenthood. - Ending gun violence, passing bills prohibiting gun shows on all state property. F rating from the NRA - Climate rescue, authoring legislation to end offshore oil drilling and end our reliance on fossil fuels. 100% rating from Sierra Club"

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Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

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Abortion and contraception access

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Gun violence prevention

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Taking bold action to address the climate crisis

Scott Baugh

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

California Assembly - District 67 (1995-2000)

Biography:  Baugh earned a bachelor's degree in Business Administration from Liberty University in 1984 and a law degree from the University of the Pacific in 1987. At the time of the election, Baugh's career experience included owning Scott Baugh & Associates, a business law firm. Baugh also served as the chairman of GRIP (Gang Reduction Intervention Partnership), a board member of the George T. Pfleger Foundation, a founding board member of Angel Force USA, a founding trustee of Pacifica Christian High School, and the founding chairman of the OC Marathon Foundation. Baugh also served as chairman of the Orange County Republican Party from 2004 to 2015.

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Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

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On border security, Baugh said he "believe[d] in tall fences and wide gates." Baugh said the government's focus should "be stopping the flood of illegal immigration and addressing the growing fentanyl crisis" and said immigration laws should be revamped "to allow more immigration with work visas where identified jobs can be filled."

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Baugh said, "The last three years of economic downfall have not only caused the prices of food and utilities to rise, but also the prices of homes. Thanks to Biden, every aspect of the day-to-day life of working Americans has completely changed, and not for the better. The country needs better leaders if we are going to protect the American Dream." 

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Baugh highlighted crime as a key issue, saying "The Rule of Law has weakened under Democratic Leadership." 

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Show sources

Sources: Facebook, "Scott Baugh," January 19, 2024; Facebook, "Scott Baugh," January 18, 2024; Facebook, "Scott Baugh," October 24, 2023; Facebook,'' "Scott Baugh," September 21, 2023; LinkedIn, Scott Baugh, accessed January 22, 2024; Scott Baugh for Congress, ''About,'' accessed January 22, 2024

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Please list below 3 key messages of your campaign. What are the main points you want voters to remember about your goals for your time in office?

Dave Min (D)

Abortion and contraception access

Gun violence prevention

Taking bold action to address the climate crisis

What areas of public policy are you personally passionate about?

Dave Min (D)

Aside from the priorities listed above, I am also uniquely concerned with expanding the rights of domestic violence survivors. In partnership with my spouse, Jane Soever–who is the Director of the UCI Domestic Violence Clinic and the UCI Initiative to End Family Violence–we have passed eight first-in-the-nation bills which work to protect and expand the autonomy of survivors. I am also focused on halting the rising trend of hate in our country, of all sorts: anti-Asian, anti-Black, anti-LGBTQ+, anti-trans, anti-Jewish, anti-Muslim, and all forms of marginalization. I felt compelled to run for office back in 2018, after bullying became the official policy platform of the Republican Party. As a man of color, I understand what it’s like to be pushed to the periphery. In Congress, I will be a vocal proponent of equity, unity, and a sense of welcome.

Do you believe that it's beneficial for representatives to have previous experience in government or politics?

Dave Min (D)

I do. It’s one thing for candidates to speak to certain values–it’s another to put political capital on the line for a tough vote. With a 100% from Planned Parenthood and Sierra Club, recognition as a Labor Champion with the CA Labor Federation, and an ‘F’ from the NRA, I’ve done more than talk the talk. I have passed 28 bills into law in the California State Senate, and have the requisite experience to be an effective legislator in US Congress.

What do you perceive to be the United States’ greatest challenges as a nation over the next decade?

Dave Min (D)

Maintaining and expanding abortion and contraceptive access, preventing gun violence, and halting the impacts of the climate crisis.

What organizations or individuals have endorsed your campaign?

Dave Min (D)

The California Democratic Party

The California Labor Federation CA State Attorney General Rob Bonta CA State Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara CA State Lt. Governor Eleni Kounalakis CA State Superintendent Of Public Instruction Tony Thurmond CA State Treasurer Fiona Ma Former CA State Treasurer John Chiang Congressmember Judy Chu, CA-28 Congressmember Andy Kim, NJ-03 Congressmember Grace Meng, NY-06 Congressmember Kevin Mullin, CA-15 Congressmember Scott Peters, CA-50 Congressmember Katie Porter, CA-47 Congressmember Mark Takano, CA-41 Former Congressmember Howard Berman, CA-28 AAPI Victory Fund Asian American Action Fund Asian American Forward Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders Rising and Empowering (ASPIRE) PAC Association for Los Angeles Deputy Sheriffs (ALADS) California School Employees Association (CSEA) California Federation of Teachers (CFT) Communications Workers of America (CWA) Local 9510 Democrats Serve Equality California International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) Local 47 International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) Local 441 International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42 International Union of Painters and Allied Trades (IUPAT) District Council 36 Laborers' International Union of North America (LiUNA) Los Angeles Police Protective League (LAPPL) National Union of Healthcare Workers (NUHW) NeverAgain California Orange County Employees Association (OCEA) Orange County Labor Federation (OCLF) Police Officers Research Association of California (PORAC) Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Southern California Armenian Democrats (SCAD) United Association (UA - Plumbers & Pipefitters) Local 582 United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW) Local 324 Democrats of Greater Irvine Irvine Democratic Club Central Orange County Democratic Club Newport Beach Women's Democratic Club Laguna Woods Democratic Club Costa Mesa Democratic Club Senate President Pro Tempore Toni Atkins Senate Majority Leader Mike McGuire Senator Ben Allen Senator Bob Archuleta Senator Angelique Ashby Senator Josh Becker Senator Catherine Blakespear Senator Anna Caballero Senator Dave Cortese Senator Bill Dodd Senator Maria Elena Durazo Senator Steve Glazer Senator Lena Gonzalez Senator Melissa Hurtado Senator John Laird Senator Monique Limon Senator Josh Newman Senator Steve Padilla Senator Richard Roth Senator Susan Rubio Senator Henry Stern Senator Tom Umberg Senator Aisha Wahab Senator Scott Wiener Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon Assembly Speaker Designate Robert Rivas Assembly Majority Leader Eloise Gomez Reyes Assemblymember David Alvarez Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains Assemblymember Steve Bennett Assemblymember Marc Berman Assemblymember Tasha Boerner-Horvath Assemblymember Mia Bonta Assemblymember Isaac Bryan Assemblymember Lisa Calderon Assemblymember Mike Fong Assemblymember Jesse Gabriel Assemblymember Mike Gipson Assemblymember Matt Haney Assemblymember Chris Holden Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin Assemblymember Ash Kalra Assemblymember Alex Lee Assemblymember Evan Low Assemblymember Josh Lowenthal Assemblymember Brian Maienschein Assemblymember Kevin McCarty Assemblymember Stephanie Nguyen Assemblymember Sharon Quirk-Silva Assemblymember Luz Rivas Assemblymember Miguel Santiago Assemblymember Pilar Schiavo Assemblymember Phil Ting Assemblymember Chris Ward Assemblymember Buffy Wicks Assemblymember Lori Wilson Assemblymember Jim Wood Assemblymember Rick Chavez Zbur Aliso Viejo Mayor Richard Hurt Aliso Viejo Councilwoman Tiffany Ackley Aliso Viejo Councilman Ross Chun Anaheim Union High School District Superintendent Michael Matsuda Former Anaheim Councilman Dr. Jose Moreno Buena Park Councilman Connor Traut Buena Park Councilman Jose Trinidad Castaneda Costa Mesa Mayor Pro-Tem Jeff Harlan* Costa Mesa Councilwoman Andrea Marr* Costa Mesa Councilman Loren Gameros* Costa Mesa Councilman Manuel Chavez* Former Cupertino Mayor Gilbert Wong Fullerton Mayor Fred Jung Fullerton Councilwoman Shana Charles Fullerton Councilman Ahmad Zahra Garden Grove Councilwoman Kim Bernice Nguyen Former Garden Grove Mayor Diedre Thu-Ha Nguyen Glendale Councilman Ardy Kassakhian Huntington Beach Councilwoman Rhonda Bolton* Huntington Beach Councilman Dan Kalmick* Huntington Beach Councilwoman Natalie Moser* Former Huntington Beach Mayor Kim Carr* Irvine Vice-Mayor Tammy Kim* Irvine Councilwoman Kathleen Treseder* Former Irvine Councilwoman MaryAnn Gaido* Laguna Beach Councilman Alex Rounaghi* Laguna Beach Mayor Bob Whalen* Laguna Woods Councilwoman Shari Horne* Former Newport Beach Councilwoman Joy Brenner* San Clemente Councilman Chris Duncan Santa Ana Mayor Valerie Amezcua Santa Ana Councilman David Penaloza Santa Ana Councilwoman Thai Viet Phan Santa Monica College Trustee Dr. Sion Roy Seal Beach Mayor Joe Kalmick* Tustin Councilwoman Letitia Clark* Tustin Councilwoman Beckie Gomez* Coast Community College Board Trustee Elizabeth Dorn Parker* Irvine Unified School District Trustee Paul Bokota* Irvine Unified School District Trustee Lauren Brooks* Irvine Unified School District Trustee Jeff Kim* Irvine Unified School District Trustee Katie McEwen* Irvine Unified School District Trustee Cyril Yu* Newport-Mesa Unified School District Trustee Leah Ersoylu* Newport-Mesa Unified School District Trustee Michelle Murphy* Orange Unified School District Trustee Kris Erickson Orange Unified School District Trustee Ana Page Orange Unified School District Trustee Andrea Yamasaki Former Orange Unified School District Trustee Kathy Moffat South Orange County Community College District Trustee Carolyn Inmon* Tustin Unified School District Allyson Damikolas Saddleback Valley Unified School District Trustee Barbara Schulman* Saddleback Valley Unified School District Trustee Suzie Swartz* South Orange County Community College District Trustee Ryan Dack* Municipal Water District of OC Director Randall Crane* Costa Mesa Parks Commissioner Cassius Rutherford* Costa Mesa Parks Commissioner Dr. Kelly Anne Brown* Costa Mesa Planning Commission Chair Dr. Adam C. Ereth* Irvine Community Services Commissioner Naz Hamid* Irvine Green Ribbon Environmental Committee Vice Chair Dr. Steven Allison* Irvine Planning Commissioner Jong Limb* Irvine Transportation Commission Vice Chair Scott Hansen* Irvine Transportation Commissioner Mari Fujii*

• Denotes in District CA-47

You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:

• Scott Baugh

Campaign ads

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Scott Baugh

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Scott Baugh while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Dave Min

January 2, 2024

View more ads here:

• YouTube
• Facebook

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. We will regularly check for polling aggregation for this race from those sites and add polls here once available. To notify us of polls available on either outlet for this race, please email us.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

• Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
• Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
• Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.
• Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.

Race ratings: California's 47th Congressional District election, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	September 10, 2024	September 3, 2024	August 27, 2024	August 20, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Lean Democratic	Lean Democratic	Lean Democratic	Lean Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Tilt Democratic	Tilt Democratic	Tilt Democratic	Tilt Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

• Scott Baugh
• David Min

Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election. It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees. Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Bericht	Close of books	Filing deadline
Year-end 2021	12/31/2021	1/31/2022
April quarterly	3/31/2022	4/15/2022
July quarterly	6/30/2022	7/15/2022
October quarterly	9/30/2022	10/15/2022
Pre-general	10/19/2022	10/27/2022
Post-general	11/28/2022	12/08/2022
Year-end 2022	12/31/2022	1/31/2023

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Dave Min	Democratic Party	$3,614,901	$2,089,245	$1,525,657	As of June 30, 2024
Scott Baugh	Republican Party	$1,933,119	$220,644	$1,725,981	As of December 31, 2023
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." ** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.

If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.

Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

By candidate	By election
Scott Baugh David Min	Open Secrets Federal Election Commission

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

• District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
• Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
• Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
• State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

• District map
• Competitiveness
• Presidential elections
• State party control

Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in California.

California U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office	Districts/ offices	Seats	Open seats	Candidates	Possible primaries	Contested top-two primaries	% of contested primaries	Incumbents in contested primaries	% of incumbents in contested primaries
2024	52	52	7	241	52	42	80.8%	45	100.0%
2022	52	52	5	272	52	52	100.0%	47	100.0%
2020	53	53	4	262	53	47	88.7%	32	65.3%
2018	53	53	2	244	53	41	77.4%	39	76.5%
2016	53	53	4	202	53	40	75.5%	36	73.5%
2014	53	53	6	209	53	38	71.7%	32	68.1%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in California in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/16/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Two-hundred forty-one candidates filed to run for California's 52 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 125 Democrats, 88 Republicans, and 28 independent or minor party candidates. That’s 4.63 candidates per district. In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in California decreased from 53 to 52 following the 2020 census, 5.2 candidates filed per district. In 2020, when the state still had 53 Congressional districts, 4.94 candidates filed per district. In 2018, 4.6 candidates filed.

The 241 candidates who ran in California in 2024 were the fewest total number of candidates since 2016, when 202 candidates ran. Forty-five incumbents—34 Democrats and 11 Republicans—ran for re-election. That was fewer than in 2022, when 47 incumbents ran. Six districts were open, one more than in 2022, and the most since 2014, when six districts were also open.

Incumbents Barbara Lee (D-12th), Adam Schiff (D-30th), and Katie Porter (D-47th) ran for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Incumbent Sen. Laphonza Butler (D) didn't run for re-election. Incumbents Grace Napolitano (D-31st), Tony Cárdenas (D-29th), and Anna Eshoo (D-16th) retired from public office. One incumbent—Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-20th)—left Congress before the end of his term. A special election was held to fill his seat before the general election.

Fifteen candidates—12 Democrats, two Republicans, and one nonpartisan—ran in the open 30th district, the most candidates running for a seat in 2024.

Forty-two primaries were contested, the fewest since 2018, when 41 were contested. All 52 primaries were contested in 2022, and 47 were in 2020. In California, which uses a top-two primary system, a primary is contested if more than two candidates file to run.

Incumbents ran in 35 of the 42 contested primaries. That’s lower than 2022, when 47 incumbents ran in contested primaries, but higher than every other year since 2014. In 2020, 32 incumbents faced contested primaries. Thirty-nine incumbents did so in 2018, 36 in 2016, and 32 in 2014.

Democratic candidates ran in every district. Republican candidates ran in every district except one—the 37th. Two Democrats, including incumbent Sydney Kamlage-Dove, one nonpartisan candidate, and one Peace and Freedom Party member ran in that district.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is D+3. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 47th the 181st most Democratic district nationally.

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in California's 47th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
54.5%	43.4%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district. The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
50.9	48.7	D+2.2

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in California, 2020

California presidential election results (1900-2020)

• 15 Democratic wins
• 15 Republican wins
• 1 other win

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	R	R	R	P	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D

See also: Party control of California state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of California's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from California
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	2	40	42
Republican	0	12	12
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	52	54

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in California's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in California, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Gavin Newsom
Lieutenant Governor	Eleni Kounalakis
Secretary of State	Shirley Weber
Attorney General	Rob Bonta

State legislature

California State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	32
	Republican Party	8
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		40

California State Assembly

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	62
	Republican Party	18
	Independent	1
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		80

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.

California Party Control: 1992-2024
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
Senate	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
Assembly	D	D	D	S	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in California in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in California, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
California	U.S. House	All candidates	40-60	$1,740.00	12/8/2023	Source

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: California's 47th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 47

Incumbent Katie Porter defeated Scott Baugh in the general election for U.S. House California District 47 on November 8, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Katie Porter (D)	51.7	137,374
		Scott Baugh (R)	48.3	128,261

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 265,635
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 47

Incumbent Katie Porter and Scott Baugh defeated Amy Phan West, Brian Burley, and Errol Webber in the primary for U.S. House California District 47 on June 7, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Katie Porter (D)	51.7	86,742
✔		Scott Baugh (R)	30.9	51,776
		Amy Phan West (R)	8.3	13,949
		Brian Burley (R)	7.1	11,952
		Errol Webber (R)	2.0	3,342

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 167,761
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Michelle Lyons (R)
• William Griffith (D)

2020

See also: California's 47th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 47

Incumbent Alan Lowenthal defeated John Briscoe in the general election for U.S. House California District 47 on November 3, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Alan Lowenthal (D)	63.3	197,028
		John Briscoe (R)	36.7	114,371

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 311,399
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 47

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 47 on March 3, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Alan Lowenthal (D)	45.4	72,759
✔		John Briscoe (R)	16.8	27,004
		Amy Phan West (R)	14.5	23,175
		Peter Mathews (D)	11.0	17,616
		Jalen McLeod (D)	8.7	13,955
		Sou Moua (R)	3.7	5,866

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 160,375
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Josef Vernon Hodgkins (D)
• Shawn Roshan (D)

2018

See also: California's 47th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 47

Incumbent Alan Lowenthal defeated John Briscoe in the general election for U.S. House California District 47 on November 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Alan Lowenthal (D)	64.9	143,354
		John Briscoe (R)	35.1	77,682

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 221,036 (100.00% precincts reporting)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 47

Incumbent Alan Lowenthal and John Briscoe defeated David Clifford in the primary for U.S. House California District 47 on June 5, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Alan Lowenthal (D)	60.6	70,539
✔		John Briscoe (R)	21.6	25,122
		David Clifford (R)	17.8	20,687

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.	Total votes: 116,348
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2024 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This is a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections include:

• City elections in Tallahassee, Florida (2024)
• Illinois' 7th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 19 Democratic primary)
• United States Senate election in Michigan, 2024

See also

California	2024 primaries	2024 U.S. Congress elections
California congressional delegation Voting in California California elections: 2024 • 2023 • 2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018	Democratic primary battlegrounds Republican primary battlegrounds U.S. Senate Democratic primaries U.S. Senate Republican primaries U.S. House Democratic primaries U.S. House Republican primaries	U.S. Congress elections U.S. Senate elections U.S. House elections Special elections Ballot access

External links

• Search Google News for this topic

Footnotes

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California's current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

Laphonza Butler (D)

Alex Padilla (D)

Representatives

District 1

Doug LaMalfa (R)

District 2

Jared Huffman (D)

District 3

Kevin Kiley (R)

District 4

Mike Thompson (D)

District 5

Tom McClintock (R)

District 6

Ami Bera (D)

District 7

Doris Matsui (D)

District 8

John Garamendi (D)

District 9

Josh Harder (D)

District 10

Mark DeSaulnier (D)

District 11

Nancy Pelosi (D)

District 12

Barbara Lee (D)

District 13

John Duarte (R)

District 14

Eric Swalwell (D)

District 15

Kevin Mullin (D)

District 16

Anna Eshoo (D)

District 17

Ro Khanna (D)

District 18

Zoe Lofgren (D)

District 19

Jimmy Panetta (D)

District 20

Vince Fong (R)

District 21

Jim Costa (D)

District 22

David Valadao (R)

District 23

Jay Obernolte (R)

District 24

Salud Carbajal (D)

District 25

Raul Ruiz (D)

District 26

Julia Brownley (D)

District 27

Mike Garcia (R)

District 28

Judy Chu (D)

District 29

Tony Cárdenas (D)

District 30

Adam Schiff (D)

District 31

Grace Napolitano (D)

District 32

Brad Sherman (D)

District 33

Pete Aguilar (D)

District 34

Jimmy Gomez (D)

District 35

Norma Torres (D)

District 36

Ted Lieu (D)

District 37

Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D)

District 38

Linda Sánchez (D)

District 39

Mark Takano (D)

District 40

Young Kim (R)

District 41

Ken Calvert (R)

District 42

Robert Garcia (D)

District 43

Maxine Waters (D)

District 44

Nanette Barragán (D)

District 45

Michelle Steel (R)

District 46

Lou Correa (D)

District 47

Katie Porter (D)

District 48

Darrell Issa (R)

District 49

Mike Levin (D)

District 50

Scott Peters (D)

District 51

Sara Jacobs (D)

District 52

Juan Vargas (D)

Democratic Party (42)

Republican Party (12)