Incumbents defeated in 2012's state legislative elections
Incumbents Defeated in Legislative Elections | |
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2016 Election Results | |
2014・2012・2010 | |
Historically, incumbents who run for re-election rarely lose in the primary—around 12 percent. Generally, another 8 percent of the remaining incumbents will be defeated in the general election. This page details the number of incumbents who were defeated in the 2012 state legislative elections.
Click here to navigate to candidate lists and election analysis for each state »
There were 194 incumbents defeated in primary elections. That includes:
In the general election, there were 294 incumbents defeated. That includes:
66 Democrats
224 Republicans
4 Third party[1]
State | Total in primary election | Total in general election | Total in 2012 |
---|---|---|---|
Alaska | 2 | 9 | 11 |
Arizona | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Arkansas | 2 | 6 | 8 |
California | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Colorado | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Connecticut | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Delaware | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Florida | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Georgien | 12 | 3 | 15 |
Hawaii | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Idaho | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Illinois | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Indiana | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Iowa | 3 | 9 | 12 |
Kansas | 20 | 10 | 30 |
Kentucky | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Maine | 0 | 19 | 19 |
Massachusetts | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Michigan | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Minnesota | 1 | 17 | 18 |
Missouri | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Montana | 4 | 8 | 12 |
Nebraska | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Nevada | 2 | 1 | 3 |
New Hampshire | 22 | 79 | 101 |
New Mexico | 5 | 8 | 13 |
New York | 1 | 7 | 8 |
North Carolina | 7 | 6 | 13 |
North Dakota | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Ohio | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Oklahoma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Oregon | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Pennsylvania | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Rhode Island | 6 | 5 | 11 |
South Carolina | 6 | 1 | 7 |
South Dakota | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Tennessee | 12 | 2 | 14 |
Texas | 11 | 3 | 14 |
Utah | 8 | 2 | 10 |
Vermont | 0 | 6 | 6 |
Washington | 0 | 4 | 4 |
West Virginia | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Wisconsin | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Wyoming | 3 | 1 | 4 |
TOTALS | 194 | 294 | 488 |
Preliminary study
On July 26, 2012, Ballotpedia released a preliminary study, Primary Change: Anti-Incumbency Voting Patterns in State Legislative Primaries, which looked at the results of primaries through the first few months of 2012 elections. The study concluded that with nearly 50 percent of primaries completed, the rate of success for challengers against incumbents in contested primaries was nearly double that of 2010. Through July 26, 76 incumbents had fallen to challengers in 513 contested races -- a rate of 14.8 percent.
Updates to study
- September 13 Primary: New York
- September 11 Primary: Delaware, New Hampshire, Rhode Island
- September 6 Primary: Massachusetts
- August 28 Primary: Alaska, Arizona, Vermont, and Oklahoma (runoff)
- August 21 Primary: Georgia Runoff, Wyoming
- August 14 Primary: Connecticut, Florida, Minnesota, Wisconsin
- August 11 Primary: Hawaii
- August 7 Primary: Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Washington
- August 2 Primary: Tennessee
- July 31 Primary: Georgia, Texas runoff
Prior years
2011
Incumbents who lost in 2011 Elections
There were eight incumbents defeated in primary election. That includes:
In the general election, there were 20 incumbents defeated. That includes:
State | Total in primary election | Total in general election | Total in 2011 |
---|---|---|---|
Louisiana | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Mississippi | 8 | 11 | 19 |
New Jersey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Virginia | 0 | 4 | 4 |
TOTALS | 8 | 20 | 28 |
2010
Incumbents who lost in 2010 Elections
There were 112 incumbents defeated in primary election. That includes:
In the general election, there were 502 incumbents defeated. That includes:
482 Democrats
14 Republicans
14 Third party[1]
State | Total in primary election | Total in general election | Total in 2010 |
---|---|---|---|
Nationwide | 116 | 495 | 611 |
Alabama | 6 | 22 | 28 |
Alaska | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Arizona | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Arkansas | 1 | 6 | 7 |
California | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Colorado | 0 | 7 | 7 |
Connecticut | 1 | 13 | 14 |
Delaware | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Florida | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Georgien | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Hawaii | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Idaho | 6 | 2 | 8 |
Illinois | 1 | 7 | 8 |
Indiana | 2 | 10 | 12 |
Iowa | 2 | 18 | 20 |
Kansas | 5 | 13 | 18 |
Kentucky | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Maine | 1 | 20 | 21 |
Maryland | 11 | 3 | 14 |
Massachusetts | 1 | 10 | 11 |
Michigan | 0 | 9 | 9 |
Minnesota | 2 | 34 | 36 |
Missouri | 3 | 12 | 15 |
Montana | 2 | 10 | 12 |
Nebraska | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Nevada | 1 | 2 | 3 |
New Hampshire | 11 | 88 | 99 |
New Mexico | 2 | 7 | 9 |
New York | 4 | 11 | 15 |
North Carolina | 5 | 20 | 25 |
North Dakota | 0 | 12 | 12 |
Ohio | 1 | 13 | 14 |
Oklahoma | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Oregon | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Pennsylvania | 1 | 9 | 10 |
Rhode Island | 10 | 4 | 14 |
South Carolina | 5 | 3 | 8 |
South Dakota | 1 | 9 | 10 |
Tennessee | 2 | 13 | 15 |
Texas | 7 | 21 | 28 |
Utah | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Vermont | 0 | 6 | 6 |
Washington | 1 | 9 | 10 |
West Virginia | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Wisconsin | 1 | 13 | 14 |
Wyoming | 0 | 7 | 7 |
See also
Footnotes
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