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    COMBINED RATIO ANALYSIS

    Go Digit stock likely to face pressure amid elevated combined ratio

    After gaining over 24% within three weeks since listing on bourses on May 23, the stock of Go Digit General Insurance has remained range bound following weak performance in the March quarter, which was declared on June 11.

    This ratio helps in avoiding mirage of value in bullish time: 5 stocks from different sectors for long-term investors

    Given the high probability that bulls will be soon seen all over the street. It would be better to just be a bit more cautious while taking incremental exposure. One thing which investors need to take into consideration is that there is a big difference in what is value and what looks cheap due to one financial ratio, more often than not, relying on PE may lead to wrong investment decisions. When looking for long term investment, it is better to use PEG ratio, though finding the right ratio is itself a challenge. PEG ratio is much better compared to the commonly used P/E ratio. It helps in avoiding stocks which might appear cheap but actually are not value buys. Also in sectors which are cyclical in nature, looking at the price earning matrix may lead to wrong decisions.

    Elections still on for them? But macro structure has changed for good: 5 sugar stocks with upside potential of up to 27%

    In a sector, where government policies have a major impact, the risk of any change in policy impacting the players is always present. That is the reason why the valuations of these stocks from such sectors don't cross a certain threshold. Probably the sugar sector tops the lists of such sectors and the reason is because both the central and state governments have some say in the policy making. While the general elections are over, there are many states which have exposure to the sugar sector and state elections are going to be held there over the next couple of quarters. So a narrative might get built against the sugar stocks. What needs to be done, make a distinction between the reality that the balance sheets of these companies are much stronger than what they were, their business model is not just about sugar, but about part of the clean energy which is something which is going to grow.

    Stocks with tailwinds called advantage India: 5 largecap stocks from 3 different sectors with an upside potential of upto 36 %

    In terms of valuations and sentiment we are not far from the place where we were in the last quarter of 2023 or early part of this year. When it was not possible to find stocks which can be called as “fairly valued” forget “undervalued”, and the sentiment was very bullish. The only difference between then and now is that we have election results which are coming up. Surely a confirmation on 4th June that continuity in the policy making is a big factor. But there is another thing which long term investors need to look at before investing. Whether the company or the sector has an advantage due to India as a country. A well known example, which has been present for decades is that of the IT industry. India as a country is a factory of software engineers, and that is our strength. So when investing for the long term, look at sectors where we have some strong tailwinds due to our human capital.

    Factor ETFs: Why you should invest for long-term returns

    Historical data suggests portfolios constructed on quality, value, growth, alpha, momentum, volatility were able to reward investors with better returns than that offered by market-cap based indices. Mutual fund houses are keen to launch ETFs that track the performance of the factor indices.

    2 sectoral bets from Ganeshram Jayaraman for next 2 years

    ​This has led to a very positive capex cycle, likely to start private sector capex cycle. This very good profit growth also led to strong government capex because tax collections were buoyant. So, it was a very strong demand, supply, earnings and valuations cycle.

    • Stocks to buy: Use Altman Z-score to select solid stocks; here are 5 stocks with upside potential of up to 34%

      The Altman Z-score is derived from a blend of financial ratios extracted from a company’s balance sheet and income statement. Its formula incorporates variables like working capital, retained earnings, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), market value of equity, and total assets. Essentially, this tool amalgamates diverse financial ratios to assess the company’s operational strength, liquidity, solvency, profitability, and leverage. For a comprehensive financial stability evaluation, experts recommend using the Altman Z-score. Read here to find out.

      Higher ability to withstand sudden headwinds: 5 largecap stocks with right mix of RoE & RoCE

      There are two kinds of risk in equity markets, first the overall market or asset class risk. Second is individual risk. First risk is not under control of anyone, because it can hit the market due to any reason, right from any geopolitical uncertainty to any monetary event in any part of the world. Probably the first kind of risk got played recently with the flip flop of the US and development in the middle east. The second risk which is individual risk is about the choice of the stock which one buys. In equities after a point of time it is more important to manage individual risk than to take risk. In equities the risk is more in the short term, over longer term, it is not very high. One way to manage risk is that when valuations are high, move to companies which have strong and large balance sheets and have seen many economic cycles and have survived the slowdowns in the past.

      For all seasons & good reasons: 5 largecap stocks from different sectors for long-term investors

      When it comes to the word “ largecap” a large part of the street still associates it with stocks which form part of Nifty or others which remain in news very often. But there are not so well known largecap names which have outperformed the markets both in bearish and bullish phases. The only common thread is the track record of business going through both good and bad phases and still being able to stand out. As bulls make a comeback, these stocks may get more attention and when bears come they may be able to hold their ground better.

      For medium to long term investors: 4 midcap stocks with right ratio matrix and upside potential of up to 30%

      It is never easy to find a good stock. Not for any other reason, but the fact of “ good stock” is an open ended term. For some consideration of calling something a “good stock” is largely how the price of the stock behaves in different market conditions. Like does it fall less in bearish markets and moves up faster in bullish markets. For some a stock which is available at cheaper valuations, could be a good stock. So, each to its own. But when it comes to business and management , there is only one thing “good business” and “ good management” which has no open ended interpretation. A business which generates good cash flows and has large market size to grow and for management a clean balance sheet and good corporate governance.

      For moderate risk takers: 5 midcap stocks from different sectors with right ratio matrix and upside potential of up to 29%

      March was a month where mid-cap were beaten down badly. April till now has shaped up better. Now this flip flop of performance has led to a situation where there is a high probability of investors getting confused about what they should do at this point of time, should one avoid mid-cap space or increase exposure. While it should always be the principle, in times of lack of clarity, buying quality stocks should be basic principles which should guide one's decision. Especially when one is buying mid-cap stocks. The reason, when valuations are not cheap then small corrections in broader can lead to strong negative reaction in stock prices. Now how does one do it? Look at the underlying business which is best understood by going through its annual report and look at a certain basic ratio in order to figure out how much return that underlying business can generate in best and worst case.

      First indications of a comeback: 4 smallcaps from different sectors with the right combination of numbers

      Relative performance is normally a concept that is used more in price action-based trading. However, sometimes, these concepts are equally useful when trying to gauge the mood of the market for a segment of stock. There cannot be a doubt about how the market has been hit by global headwinds, but if one compares the relative performance of small caps in the last four trading sessions and the one it witnessed in March 2024, there is clear evidence that at this point of time, there is no tearing hurry to sell. While it might be a bit early to say, the way things are panning out at this point in time, the probability of small caps making a comeback cannot be ruled out. The only thing that needs to be watched is how the market reacts to their Q4 earnings, if the initial reaction to results is positive that means liquidity is still chasing the smallcap and why to fight liquidity.

      What drives the sector is key to long term investments: 5 large cap stocks from different sectors with upside potential up to 19%

      There are some sectors where the macro structure is such that for one or the other reasons the overall growth is higher. This is not to say that growth comes without phases of slowdown, but when tailwinds come they are able to take care of all the slowdown and over a period of time, growth is much better. The growth over a period of time ensures that in bearish markets the stocks are able to perform relatively well and when bulls are back they again are able to inch higher.

      For risk takers with a long term perspective? 5 midcap stocks from different sectors with the right matrix of critical ratios

      The correction of March on Dalal Street should serve as a warning to all those who tend to buy stocks without bothering to look at what is the business of the company. The way correction panned out, there is a high probability that going forward that an upward movement in mid-cap space would be more stocks or sector specific rather than being a broad brush up move in which every stocks is moving upward with any rhyme or reason, One thing which long term investors who are taking exposure to the mid-cap should focus on individual companies and their underlying business. Also it is time to rejig the portfolio and go with better quality stocks in even the mid cap space. At the same time, because overall valuations are high, be ready for underperformance for some time and focus on the long term.

      Dividend yield is more than just passive income: 6 PSU stocks with 4.14-5.67% yield

      Stock price and dividend yields have an inverse relationship but before this inverse relationship kicks in there is a level of equilibrium. Now this level of equilibrium is a subjective level which moves according to risk free interest rate level which FD provides. But there is another equilibrium level which mathematical equations don't solve. Stocks with reasonable probability of outperforming in a bearish market. The use of the word reasonable brings in the element of subjectivity.

      Own midcaps? It's neither a sin, nor a crime, just a mistake that can be rectified with checks and balances

      A few weeks back, not owning a midcap stocks appeared to sin, but the way markets and specially the mid and smallcap stocks have declined, owning them would appear to be a crime today. But the fact is that neither it was a sin then, nor is it a crime today, it is just a mistake of getting focussed on narrative when the bulls are ruling the Street and getting absorbed in the post facto explanations which come when bears can be seen roaming on the Atreet. The solution probably lies in going back to the basics of investing.

      Learn with ETMarkets: How to decode movement in gold, silver through technical, fundamental analysis

      Global economic conditions: Economic growth, inflation, and interest rates significantly influence the demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

      As S&P 500 breaches 5,000, its valuation hits lofty levels as well

      As the S&P 500 continues to hit fresh milestones with a first-ever break above the 5,000 level, its valuation is reaching new heights as well.

      For long term investors: 5 large cap stocks with right matrix of critical financial ratios

      When the street is under absolute control of bulls, one of the things which they throw out of the window is the “sense of risk”. There are two kinds of risk in equity markets, first the overall market or asset class risk and second is individual risk. First risk is not under control of anyone, because it can hit the market due to any reason, right from any geopolitical uncertainty to any monetary event in any part of the world. But the second risk which is individual risk is about the choice of the stock which one buys

      For risk takers with a long-term perspective? 6 midcap stocks from different sectors with the right ratio matrix

      This week there was a sharp correction in the mid-cap index, and market breadth was also weak. This should serve as a warning to all those who are buying stocks without bothering to look at what is the business of the company. The way correction panned out, there is higher probability of a correction in mid-cap space continuing if there is more trouble with Nifty. But rather than bothering about what will happen to nifty in the next few weeks or quarters, long term investors looking to take exposure to the mid-cap should focus on individual companies and their underlying business. At the same time, because overall valuations are high, be ready for underperformance for some time and focus on the long term.

      Sectoral tailwinds and stronger balance sheets: 5 largecap stocks with right mix of two important ratios

      There are some sectors where large players have an edge, because the nature of the business is such that there are phases where ability to stay in the game and cash on the balance sheet matter most. When the tide turns in favor of that sector, these large companies are able to make most of it. One sector which has gone through a phase of realignment of business and readjustment of valuations for many years and has once again come in limelight is the pharma space. Right from ability to deal with USFDA, not rely just on product segment to how to deal with uncertainty of supply chain which is dependent on China, Indian pharma companies have come a long way.

      Sandeep Tandon on taking the right call to sell banks and how to navigate the difficult phase of bull market

      Sandeep Tandon says: “In the next 30 years, the relevance of leveraged economy as a concept will decline. The concept of real economy will come back. Banks are the biggest beneficiary of this thesis of the leveraged economy and the US. Why we are so bearish on the US in the long term is this thesis.”

      Long-term outlook: 5 largecap stocks from different sectors with up to 24% upside potential

      In the last one year, there has been a big addition to largecap stocks. Their market capitalization has moved higher and they can now be largecap. Some of these stocks are from sectors which are getting discovered or getting re-rated as if they are midcap stocks. Having exposure to them might appear to be risky, but the possibility of reward is higher. There are two stocks which are well discovered and have created wealth for investors. But as they go through a phase of valuation adjustment, they provide an opportunity to investors with a long-term perspective.

      Fed pivot will dominate year of rate cuts in turn of global cycle

      The US Federal Reserve will lead the pivot for richer countries after its policy makers signaled 75 basis points of cuts for the year, marking an abrupt shift from previous warnings that rates could still go higher through much of 2024.

      Nifty Auto index stocks: Time for some cool down?

      It is the sector which has led the rally which the market has witnessed in the last eight months and rightly so. If one looks at the history, the rallies which are led by the transportation and auto sector are more durable as sales of LCV and certain other auto segments is an indication of the economic situation on the ground. But given the fact too much liquidity is floating in the markets, some of the stocks have seen a sharp run with valuations moving upward sharply. That is probably the reason why analysts, while being bullish, are more cautious. So at a time when the desire to own stocks and invest is very high, it would be worthwhile to be slightly more watchful.

      Nifty Auto index stocks: Next winner might come earlier than expected

      There has been a lot of talk about startups taking the space in the EV, but the fact is the old companies have also been working towards their EV plans. Given the amount of cash they are sitting with in their balance sheet, there is high probability that they will be able to launch a number of models out of which some would be successful and become the cash cows and deliver growth. So, don't write off the ability of big players, especially in two wheeler space as they might be close to getting their mojo back.

      Learn With ETMarkets: Track commodity market trends with 2 powerful technical analysis tools

      However, with the help of technical and fundamental analysis, one can predict the market to a great extent. Here, we will discuss the methods and how to use them to analyze the commodity market.

      Looking for possible wealth creators? Keep an eye on the PEG ratio

      The issue with the PE ratio is that it creates a problem in terms of buying as well as selling. Because the P/E of a company is high, it often leads to selling wealth creators early, and then regretting or buying them at a point when they are expensive in real terms. Although it has its own limitations, it would still be better to use PEG ratio.

      It’s PEG ratio, not P/E, that matters. 5 stocks that could be possible wealth creators

      As the market corrects, some stocks may start to look cheap judged on the basis of price earning (PE) ratio. But they may not be as cheap as they might appear to be. This may lead to wrong investment decisions given the huge difference in what is value and what looks cheap due to one financial ratio. PEG ratio is a better indicator than many other ratios especially P/E which is followed by the majority. The selected list applies different algorithms for BSE and NSE stocks. For the purpose of this article, we have taken only NSE stocks into consideration.

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