CSDS

Punjab Exit Polls 2024 Live Updates: Congress expected to lead in Punjab, BJP to gain seats

Exit Polls 2024 Punjab News Live: The final phase of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections in India concluded on June 1, with Punjab playing a crucial role as voters cast their votes across the state's 13 parliamentary constituencies. This year's election in Punjab is marked by a fierce competition among the Bhartiya Janta Party (BJP), Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), Congress, and Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD). Key contests include Amritsar, where the BJP has fielded former Indian Ambassador to the US, Taranjeet Singh Sandhu, and Patiala, with Preneet Kaur of the BJP competing against candidates from Congress and AAP.

Lok Sabha Elections 2024: How exit polls predict results using voter data

Despite strict regulations to prevent misinformation, exit polls remain a significant part of India's electoral process. These surveys, conducted outside polling stations, offer immediate insights into voter behaviour. Challenges in methodology and the need for accurate representation highlight the complexities of these polls. Innovations and compliance with the EC's guidelines ensure ethical reporting and transparency.

Exit polls result 2024: Axis, C-Voter, VMR, CSDS, or Chanakya? Whose predictions were close in 2019 & 2014

After the completion of the 18th Lok Sabha elections, attention will shift to exit poll predictions across 57 constituencies in eight states and Union Territories. Various agencies forecast outcomes based on voter surveys. Notable past predictions include India Today-Axis My India's 2019 forecast of 339-365 seats for NDA and 77-108 for UPA. Actual results in 2019 showed NDA winning 353 seats, closely aligning with some predictions. In 2014, NDA's strong performance was accurately indicated by most exit polls.

With two INDIA bloc suitors, which way will Muslim votes go in Bengal?

Religious polarisation in Bengal intensifies with the surge of Hindutva, Ram Navami processions, and Hanuman temples. Trinamool gains Muslim support through political messaging. Indian Secular Front's role in key constituencies grows. Mamata Banerjee's stance on the CAANRC issue and NRC-CAA controversy shapes the narrative. Challenges from separatist forces and Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury's impact on Muslim votes are crucial.

Climate change hardly a burning issue for Indian voters

Unprecedented climate change disasters are impacting India, but political parties and voters are largely overlooking the issue during the elections. Only regional party DMK has concrete climate change plans. In contrast, Europe prioritizes climate action in elections. Indian voters are more focused on traditional issues like unemployment and inflation.

Varun Beverages Q1 Results: PAT jumps 25% YoY to Rs 548 crore; revenue rises 11%

Varun Beverages Q1 Results: Co reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 548 crore, rising 5% year-on-year (YoY) for the quarter ended March 31, 2024; revenue from ops stood at Rs 4,398 crore

View: Not-too-Swachh a Bharat? Majority of voters in a pre-poll survey think corruption is up from the last poll

Whom do voters blame for rising corruption? The central or state governments? They blame the central government (25%) a bit more than state governments (18%). But no less than 56% of voters say 'both'.

Debutant's poll: What do the first-time voters of Election 2024, who have come of age in the Modi regime, want?

A recent analysis found that while there are 1.8 crore new young voters, they represent less than 40% of those eligible to vote in this age group. Even among young voters who are keen to exercise their franchise, there is confusion about how to go about it logistically, says Shevika M, founder and director of Kuviraa, a Mumbai-based nonprofit that works with young girls to increase their knowledge of and engagement in politics.

BJP, under Modi Bhaijaan, is carving out two new vote banks: Muslims and Christians

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) under Prime Minister Narendra Modi is making strategic efforts to win over India's religious minorities, Muslims and Christians, despite its Hindutva agenda. With a focus on outreach and development, the BJP aims to secure votes from diverse communities, targeting specific regions and addressing concerns through various campaigns.

Educated and unemployed: India's angry young voters

The World Bank warned this month that India -- like other South Asian nations -- was "not creating enough jobs to keep pace with its rapidly increasing working-age population". South Asia is failing "to fully capitalise on its demographic dividend", said Franziska Ohnsorge, the bank's regional chief economist, calling it a "missed opportunity".

The vote worthy: How are political parties planning to connect with millions of first-time voters in 2024 elections?

Political parties including BJP and Congress have extensively utilised social media influencers to spread their messages since the beginning of 2023. During his Bharat Jodo Yatra, Rahul Gandhi gave exclusive interviews to YouTubers. A July report by News Laundry says BJP had meet-ups with influencers in at least 18 states as part of its initiative to engage with young voters during the ‘Nine Years of Modi’ campaign and in the run-up to the 2024 polls.

How state polls will decide the fate of regional satraps like Gehlot, Shivraj, KCR & Baghel

The exit polls have belied the general buzz- created courtesy the media and disparate voices from the ground- on which party is winning in which state. If they go right, the impact of these Assembly elections- which have already been declared the semi-finals to the Lok Sabha polls by the political pundits- will be greater than anticipated.

Exit Poll Results: Five times when these surveys went totally wrong

The impending results of the recent state elections prompt reflection on historical disparities between exit polls and actual outcomes. Notable instances, such as the 2004 Lok Sabha and 2014 elections, underscore the unpredictability of these forecasts. Despite exit polls favoring the BJP-led NDA, actual results often diverged significantly. As the nation awaits the latest results, these past discrepancies serve as a reminder of the inherent uncertainty in electoral predictions, leaving the outcome of the current elections shrouded in anticipation.

Gehlot Fights Alone As Some Party Legislators Face Anti-incumbency

Rajasthan's chief minister, Ashok Gehlot, is battling against the trend of voting out governments by using beneficiary schemes often used by the BJP. Posters with the slogan "my vote is for scheme x" have filled the streets, offering free cooking gas, health insurance, smartphones, rations, and seven guarantees.

General polls 2024: Companies seek surveys and data to firm up investment decisions and biz strategies

From crystal gazing the current government and understanding the fate of those in the states headed for polls to what the future holds for the newly formed opposition alliance and understanding how Indians across different sections cast their ballot, the C-suite executives of India Inc desire to know it all, pollsters and poll pandits said.

Your gut plays a key role in how you handle stress: Study

More people support internet shutdown; sizeable number favour surveillance, says Lokniti-CSDS survey

Among all respondents, 36 per cent were in support of the idea of internet shut down for law and order purposes, while 26 per cent found it wrong, and 38 per cent expressed no opinion. A similar sentiment was found about government surveillance in the survey, while it was acknowledged, it was not considered immoral by many.

ICSSR and research bodies cross swords on performance standards

Social science council says compliance below par; some institutes say quality under threat.

Delhi polls 2015: Aam Aadmi Party may win most of the Muslim concentrated seats, says CSDS survey

This tentative shift of Muslim votes towards AAP in 2014 could well intensify and become more definite in the upcoming assembly elections.

Quitter tag haunts Aam Aadmi Party ahead of Lok Sabha polls

As AAP campaigns hard for the seven Lok Sabha in the Capital, its candidates are constantly being haunted by questions from critics and supporters.

Lok Sabha polls 2014: BJP and allies to get 42-50 seats in Uttar Pradesh, survey predicts

Congress-RLD alliance is likely to get four to eight seats. BJP is likely to get 36% of the votes in UP, while SP will get 22%, according to the poll projection.

AAP tactics may lose battle: Kejriwal's dharna hasn't gone down well with police officers, analysts

Kejriwal has left former police officers and analysts, mostly fans of the Aam Aadmi Party leader, stumped with his plan to sit on a dharna.