ECONOMIES
Economy on strong wicket after fiscal first quarter
India's economy showed strong first-quarter performance with surging manufacturing activity, robust GST collections, and record-high Sensex, alongside a rise in passenger car sales and new export orders from overseas markets, as highlighted by industry experts and economic indicators.
FMCG is “passe”: Indian economy has a new definition of defensive stocks: 8 stocks from 2 sectors with upside scope of up to 37%
On the day of election results were announced and the whole stock market melted, stocks from one sector were able to gain, that was FMCG. Many theories were floated about why they are doing well. Right from them being defensive stocks to that focus would not shift from investment to consumption. But close to a month down the line, all those stocks are once again in the under performance mode. The fact is before deciding on whether the stocks are defensive or not, some questions need to be asked. A stock which was a defensive stock in 1994 when the Indian economy was just opening is still a defensive stock even in 2024 when we are a whole different economy with different needs and consumption patterns.
Charting the global economy: Inflation ebbs in US, France, Spain
With inflation settling down in many European economies, there are signs that central banks in the areas could reduce interest rates.
Has the global economic environment turned favourable for equities?
Global economy's resilience amidst crises led to surprising growth stability and inflation control. Potential trade war threats loom, while equity markets soar to record highs, indicating positive economic outlook.
Sector-wise fundamental analysis of Indian stocks after elections
Investing in quality companies and adopting a long-term SIP approach can maximize benefits in India's growth journey towards a $10 trillion economy through essential infrastructure development.
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Fed's Daly: inflation not the only risk, policy must 'exhibit care'
San Francisco Fed President Daly emphasizes caution in addressing inflation control and rising unemployment risks, highlighting the need to restore price stability without harming the economy.
Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside potential of up to 43%
While the indices might be witnessing correction on intra intra-basis, the broader markets are still very much under the control of the bulls. There is greater likelihood of bullish sentiment continuing, so be bullish but more than anything else in the long term what matters for a stock is earnings and valuation. So be selective, avoid impulsive investing, and keep reviewing one’s portfolio and stay away from penny stocks especially. It is very likely that some of the penny stocks will fly and be distributed amongst retail investors. We look at stocks which have witnessed a continuous rise in their score in the last one month. These selected stocks depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score which is based on five key pillars i.e. earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.
Eurozone business activity slows on French vote risk
Euro-area private-sector business activity lost momentum as France's snap election outcome weighs on firms. S&P Global's PMI fell to 50.8 in June, disappointing analysts. Europe's economy, recovering from last year's recession, faces challenges.
Knowledge economy, not silly conformity
The fact that 'unpleasantness' is perceived as a criterion for textbook excision tells a sad story about NCERT's understanding of pedagogy and knowledge. If fake facts for our young are to join the trough of fake news to maintain some skewed notion of national 'pleasantness', we'll be entering pamphleteering territory of 'Mao's Little Red Book' variety instead of one that encourages critical thinking and disparate ideas, and prepares our young to engage and navigate the difficult questions of life and society.
Japan's Nikkei dips below key 38,000 mark; Toyota drops
Equities strategist Kazuo Kamitani from Nomura Securities projected a Nikkei correction to 37,500. Suzuki Motor's stock dropped by 3.6%.
Goldman Sachs boosts S&P 500 target on upbeat profit outlook
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raises S&P 500 year-end target to 5,600, reflecting optimism for earnings growth and the US economy.
5 world market themes for the week ahead
Central bank decisions in Britain, Switzerland, and Norway will show the rate cutting trend, while retail sales data from the US and China will indicate consumer health. Europe gears up for the Euros 2024 tournament in Germany. Investors are monitoring cocoa supply issues in Ivory Coast, Ghana, and other countries like Brazil.
Fed's Goolsbee: 'More months' of good inflation data needed
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee expressed relief over cooling inflation in May but prefers more months of data before cutting interest rates.
Bank of Japan to trim bond buying, keeps rates steady
Under Governor Kazuo Ueda, the Bank of Japan announced a tapering plan at its July meeting, aligning with previous decisions. The central bank's move towards normalising monetary policy comes amidst global central banks tightening policy to combat inflation.
Experience of dealing with all conditions of economy: 5 midcap stocks with upside potential of upto 42%
With the elections behind them, bulls are back in the game with more confidence. If there is no big issue which comes from the global market, there is a high probability that we are going to see some upward movement in all segments of the market. Because it is mid-caps which attract more attention as the rally gets broad based, the chances of the accidents are also high in this space. Investing in mid-cap stocks requires a balanced approach. A balance of ability to take risk and combining it risk management and a long-term perspective. Also using non-financial parameters to manage risk, a management of an infrastructure company, which has seen it all, right from a phase where infrastructure was considered a buzz word to a phase where it was considered a bad word.
Shrink the economy, save the world?
Degrowth remained on the fringes of the fringe for decades, until increasing awareness about global warming percolated into public debates in the early aughts.
Higher ability to withstand volatile market: 5 large cap stocks from different sector with right level of RoE and upside potential of upto 32%
In the last ten years, there are many industries which have either emerged as fresh plays or there are some which have emerged due to the fact that troubles they were facing have gotten over. This led to the emergence of a new set of large cap companies. A number of them have a strength which is not easily replicable either because of the fact that industry is such that it can have only one or two players, in case of other the need of service and size of the industry is so big that there is room for everyone to grow and this particular player has its house in order to grab bigger share and grow more efficiently. The reason why it is important to focus on such players is the fact that these players will have an alpha when it comes to growth. Also a big reason is that the growth path of these companies is stronger than many others.
Asia shares stumble; political uncertainty grips euro
Asian stocks fell as traders reduced bets for Fed rate cuts due to a tight US labor market. A snap election in France raised political concerns, impacting the euro. MSCI's Asia-Pacific shares index also dropped.
Own midcaps? Do a check & balance exercise to avoid decision of haste: 7 midcaps from different sectors with an upside potential of upto 49%
Every now and then the market goes through phases, where it prefers a certain set of stocks, not based on sector but based on the overall market cap. So, sometimes it is large caps, at other mid-caps. Now this partially happens, due to the flows which are coming to markets. For example, if more flows are coming to mid-cap or multicap schemes there is bound to be out performance in the mid-cap space. Now what it does is that it tends to create a sudden surge in mid-cap. Similarly when there is an outflow like the kind of one which we saw in March this year, midcap stocks tend to decline sharply. Essentially, it is the flows which impact the broader matrix of how midcaps behave. So there are phases not owning a midcap stocks appeared to sin and then there phase, where owning them appears to be sin. But if one focuses on the underlying business and some critical parameters, there is a possibility of getting rid of these phases of anxiety which keep coming to the street and create long term wealth.
JPMorgan, Citi scrap Fed rate-cut bets for July after jobs data
JPMorgan's chief US economist, Michael Feroli, stated in a report on Friday that "the recent momentum in job growth" indicates that the "broader" labor-market weakening, which the Fed mentioned could justify a rate cut, might take more than three months to materialize.
US stocks close slightly lower; jobs data strong but rates still high
Wall Street stocks ended slightly lower on Friday after strong U.S. jobs data raised concerns about the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. The Labor Department reported 272,000 jobs in May, exceeding expectations, with a 4% unemployment rate.
Indian HNIs swell by 12.2% YoY in 2023, wealth surges 12.4% on booming markets, economy: Report
The number of high net-worth individuals (HNIs) in India increased by 12.2% in 2023, reaching 35.89 lakh individuals. Their financial wealth also rose by 12.4% to $1,445.7 billion, driven by a strong economy and the performance of domestic equity markets.
Wall Street drifts to mixed finish after the latest signal of a slowing economy
U.S. stocks mixed as economy slows. S&P 500 up 0.1%. Dow down 0.3%. Nasdaq up 0.6%. Manufacturing shrinks, affecting Treasury yields. Companies struggle with high interest rates. Tech stocks soar. GameStop rises. AMC climbs. Waste Management to buy Stericycle. Bond market sees yield fluctuations. Investors watch economic reports.
Big Daddy LIC manages money nearly double the size of Pakistan's economy
LIC assets have exceeded Rs 50 lakh crore, marking a significant milestone and overshadowing Pakistan's GDP. In FY24, LIC reported a profit of Rs 40,676 crore and total premium income of Rs 4,75,070 crore. The company, with a market share of nearly 59% in the Indian life insurance sector, is now eyeing entry into the health insurance domain. Its market value has surged by nearly 52% in the past six months, making it the seventh-largest stock by market capitalization.
Wall St Week Ahead-Struggling Dow transport stocks could be economic warning signal
The Dow Jones Transportation Average has fallen 5% this year, contrasting with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Chuck Carlson sees it as a barometer for economic activity, signaling a possible slowdown ahead.
Fed officials see inflation falling, signal no rush to cut rates
Federal Reserve's John Williams believes monetary policy is restrictive, aiming to bring inflation down to the 2% target.
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