EXPERTS VIEW
Idea of Kotak as a party to Hindenburg’s Adani shorting strange and almost unbelievable: Shriram Subramanian
Shriram Subramanian gives his opinion on the saga involving Kotak Mahindra Bank, Hindenburg Research, and Sebi deepens with the emergence of a show cause notice and the potential for parallel investigations. Details reveal suspected violations, offshore fund structures, and ongoing Adani investigations, raising questions about the alleged role e of Kotak in the controversy.
Tough to sustain GDP growth above 7.5%; time-wise correction in market likely: Neelkanth Mishra
As mutual funds are sitting with Rs 1 lakh crore of cash, whenever there is a 4-5% drop from the peak, there is a spate of buying. So equities as an asset class are not seeing sharp drawdowns and in the short term make it safer to invest in and attract more funds. That is the cycle we are in, says Neelkanth Mishra.
Is it time to start buying IT stocks? Macquarie’s Ravi Menon explains
The IT sector anticipates growth is being driven by AI and enterprise technology spending amid concerns over interest rates and consulting demand. Companies like Tata Technologies are facing valuation challenges in the engineering services segment, contrasting with positive growth prospects for IT services, says Ravi Menon, IT Services Analyst, Macquarie.
Is a big boost to power financiers likely in Budget? Deven Choksey answers
Reliance Jio's strategic timing aligns with 5G advancements and tariff adjustments, poised to boost revenue and shareholder value. The company's emphasis on EBITDA margin growth and potential IPO plans suggest a positive outlook for unlocking shareholder value. Deven Choksey says that 12 months forward, with a Rs 1,45,000-1,50,000 crore revenue book, 55% EBITDA margin cannot be ruled out .
Could IT make a meaningful comeback in Q1? Deven Choksey explains
Deven Choksey highlights the importance of sticking with larger banks for business growth and emphasizes the positive outlook for IT companies. Additionally, L&T's promising future is underlined by margin expansion and improved execution. Choksey further says that one shouldn't expect too big a rally in IT and that one should stay focused on some of the larger banks as far as the portfolio investment is concerned
Amul to be a part of India’s journey but capital market is not a possibility anytime soon: MD
Amul and the new multi-state cooperative organics both will do handholding of all these farmers, even encourage more farmers elsewhere to get into this space, work on getting the certification of their soil, and use Amul economy model where they can even convert the dunk of our cattle into organic manure, get back to the field, use it extensively with the support that is required for a farmer, says Jayen Mehta
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Potential for huge NRI money coming into India via GIFT city: Bhavin Shah
“We have investments in large private sector banks, some regional private sector banks, NBFCs, MFI, microfinance, wealth management, life insurance, so pretty much across the board. We continue to find a large number of stocks that are still reasonably valued. We also are overweight on aviation,” says Bhavin Shah
India needs to build its own EV paradigm, products, and core technology in the EV stack: Bhavish Aggarwal, Ola
This is the start of the EV penetration. India is the world's largest two-wheeler market. 20 million two-wheelers are sold a year. Over time, EV penetration will grow to a much larger percentage in the overall industry and there is no single company that can achieve that full transition, says Bhavish Aggarwal,
CAMS aims to be both payment aggregator & gateway, expand into education: MD
CAMS looking to now expand into education as one potential, extra niche that could scale up the business. They are moving forward to be both a payment aggregator and payment gateway and there will be some build-out of opportunity in the education space as well, says MD & CEO Anuj Kumar.
Should you prefer RR Kabel over Polycab? Amnish Aggarwal explains why
Amara Raja and Exide have re-rated with a new energy focus, positioning for growth in evolving markets. Coming to aviation IndiGo stock has given a very sharp rally over the past six months, so the incremental returns may be more measured but at the same time, the positive news flows in IndiGo will continue and that might keep the investor interest alive in the stock, says Amnish Aggarwal.
Amnish Aggarwal on 2 top cement large-cap stocks to bet on; best buy in auto
“Mahindra & Mahindra continues to be an exception where the volume growth continues to be good, both in UVs as well as if you look at the tractors, tractors after last year's decline are turning to be positive, although the valuations are rich, if a double-digit volume growth in the PV business continues, M&M can still do well from the current levels.”
Like auto & pharma themes? These 2 stocks are your best bet: Rahul Shah
Post their numbers and the management guidance of single-digit growth in the current year, we have seen a decent fall in Sun Pharma. Overall the stock continues to remain strong in the specialty and the overall businesses. The risk versus reward and the valuation remains quite convincing in Sun, says Rahul Shah
Cannot avoid market momentum but be a little more selective: Mayuresh Joshi
The entire ecosystem will see accelerated investments and the government push through regarding the capex needs. Also, railways as a theme, defence as a theme, and shipbuilders as a theme will continue. Execution is going to be extremely important out here, says Mayuresh Joshi. He further says the earnings story and earnings growth should continue to remain strong in select domestic-focused sectors
Buy on dips as Nifty & Bank Nifty look bullish; 3 stocks to bet on: Rajesh Palviya
The July series remains strong with Nifty target at 24,400. Bank Nifty is supported at 52,000. Rajesh Palviya has advised a buy-on-dip strategy. if Bank Nifty crosses the 52,600 mark, then this rally can extend further towards 53,400 to 53,600 also. So, both indices are looking bullish at this moment. Nifty Realty is in consolidation mode. Potential downside for Nifty Realty. Godrej Realty is showing strength.
8% GDP growth not sustainable yet; bond index inclusion may see short-term volatility: Abheek Barua
After the inclusion in the JP Morgan global bond index, in the short term. we need to prepare for volatility. But in the long term, the collateral and the second-round benefits are huge, says Abheek Barua. He expects this to lead to an improvement in the fixed-income ecosystem, which unfortunately has not taken off that well
India's entry into JPMorgan Bond Index set to benefit real estate & manufacturing: Abhishek Banerjee
Analyzing India's economic shifts from surplus to GDP growth projections, Abhishek Banerjee says the focus lies on potential impacts on export sectors and bond markets, indicating promising growth opportunities in the economy. While India's increased production and exports are positive, the shift necessitates careful sector allocation in the near term to manage potential impacts on export-oriented industries.
Stanley Lifestyles to double business in next four years; expand in major metros: CMD
Stanley Lifestyles, a luxury furniture maker, focuses on major metros and aims to double business by localizing raw material production through European joint ventures, reducing import dependency.
Bond inclusion positive for banks; return of FII flows to benefit private banks: Pranav Gundlapalle, Sanford C Bernstein
Private sector banks, particularly HDFC Bank, are poised for growth and profitability. Indian bond inclusion may impact liquidity and interest rates, benefiting the banking sector. Public banks face challenges in profitability and growth compared to private counterparts. Regulatory actions in the NBFC sector may favor established players like Muthoot, says Pranav Gundlapalle.
Chakri Lokapriya on stocks to pick in cement, banking sectors
UltraTech is very well positioned. It is still the market leader. Adani on the other hand with ACC and Ambuja, is far more acquisitive. They can move on deals much faster. So, in terms of where will growth come faster from, it will be ACC and Ambuja, says Chakri Lokapriya.
Is a market-linked pension plan right for you? Vivek Jain explains
Vivek Jain, Head of Investments, Policybazaar.com says that in retirement planning, it's vital to consider both market-linked and guaranteed pension plans, allocating funds based on age and risk tolerance. Including a spouse in joint life coverage and leaving a legacy for nominees are key aspects of securing a stable financial future.
Want to balance risk-return now and not just focus on returns: Siddharth Vora
Other than valuations which seem to provide some sort of caution, volatility has come off very significantly post elections. All the macro data points around India are very robust. From a macro perspective, there are no major red flags. We are not seeing any major systemic risk for Indian equities as well andit is very clear that this is still a broad-based bull market, Siddharth Vora.
We are in a very mature bull market which is still not very expensive: Gautam Shah
Gautam Shah says “chartically, we are very, very well placed. There is still a lot of concern whether we are going to top out or not and markets never top out on concern or fear. He does not think there is still greed in the system and so there is still a long way to go. One should stay committed without overanalysing or trying to make in and out moments daily.
Post Nifty@24000, is it time for profit-booking? Sunil Subramaniam answers
The widening gap in valuations between the mid-cap as well as the small cap pack and the largecap pack means that this is a wonderful opportunity to rotate it and bring down the average one-year forward PE of the portfolio by buying good quality, solid, robust largecaps, says Sunil Subramaniam.
Nilesh Shah’s tip for investors: Stick to asset allocation dharma. Don’t chew more than you can afford
Nilesh Shah says that he always recommends that people follow their asset allocation dharma. If they are too much over-invested into equity, there is no harm in taking profit. If they are under-invested in equity, then there is no harm in investing even at this level, but with a longer-term horizon.
Hold on to M&M; wait for the split in Tata Motors: Nischal Maheshwari
Cement sector consolidation will help in creating efficiency and sustainability. Stable prices despite inflation as the industry transitions to green cement. Key players are expanding capacity for future market dominance, focusing on EBITDA growth and improved financial performance. In auto, M&M in your portfolio, hold on, there is no hurry to take away profits from there, but Tata Motors should be looked at, says Nischal Maheshwari
Be cautious in power stocks; take some money off PSU banks: Nischal Maheshwari
There has been over-exuberance in the power sector. Whether it is the equipment, the supplying company, whether it is the generation guys, all have done well in the last year. So, Centrum Broking's Nischal Maheshwari recommends caution on the whole sector per se and says one should be very stock-specific.
Strong dollar will continue to cause problems for emerging markets and commodities in 2024: Adrian Mowat
The Emerging Market funds that have been doing well have been very overweight in India and they may not feel comfortable in increasing that overweight. The Indian bull market is very much a story of strong domestic fundamentals and a robust savings pool in India buying its market, says Adrian Mowat
Looking at a Goldilocks scenario for corporate earnings? Mukul Kochhar is betting on 3 sectors
Mukul Kochhar says growth will be structurally higher by a percent, percent-and-a-half and one factor is the current account surplus which should get us into a more stable economic growth cycle. I feel that the private capex cycle is going to be very strong and going to focus a little bit on manufacturing.
Bharti Airtel, Jio target share price pricing in 15-20% tariff hike: Gaurav Malhotra
In terms of valuations, telecom stocks have moved up and are trading a little bit ahead of their long-term averages, says Gaurav Malhotra. He says the Street is quite positively viewing this whole tariff increase. Do note that the last major increase happened in 2021, so it has almost been three years since the last increase happened.
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