GLOBAL UNCERTAINTIES
Traders' new fancy: Crypto F&O
Indian crypto traders are flocking to Futures & Options (F&O) markets, with leading exchanges like CoinDCX and Delta Exchange experiencing a volume surge. However, a cloud of uncertainty hangs over the regulatory landscape regarding F&O taxation. This shift is driven by a desire to avoid the 1% TDS imposed by the government on spot crypto trading.
Euro rises to two-week high after France's far-right wins first-round vote
Amid market volatility, potential alliances to block the far-right have emerged in France's election. The RN party eyes a possible absolute majority, adding to ongoing uncertainty and investor concerns.
Central banks around the world have positive outlook on gold, according to World Gold Council survey
The WGC survey received responses from a record-high 70 central banks. The survey shows that Central bank sentiment towards gold remains very high, with 29 per cent saying they will add more gold in the next 12 months and 81 per cent saying that official sector gold reserves overall will grow in the same period. Optimism towards gold’s future role in global reserves continues to grow, with 69% saying that gold’s share of reserves will be higher in five years compared to 62% last year, the WGC survey said.
Companies cautious on short-term hiring, but overall outlook stays upbeat
Employers in India are showing caution in short-term hiring for the July-September quarter, with a net employment outlook of 30%, six percentage points lower than the current quarter and the same period last year. While 48% of employers plan to hire more people, 18% expect a decrease in hiring or have no plans to hire. The most optimistic sectors are finance and real estate, healthcare and life sciences, and IT, while communication services and transport, logistics, and automotive are less optimistic.
RBI MPC Meeting 2024 at a glance: Here's a one-stop guide to all key decisions
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided to maintain the current interest rate at 6.5%, following a 4:2 majority decision. The panel projected real GDP growth for FY25 to be 7.2%, up from 7%. The MPC is also maintaining the Standing Deposit Facility rate at 6.25% and the Marginal Standing Facility bank rate at 6.75%.
We don't expect rate cut in 2024 unless growth or inflation surprises on downside: Tanvee Gupta Jain
I think the political outcome was suggesting that there is kind of a weak sentiment at the lower end of the income pyramid. And whether we accept it or not but India has seen a K-shaped consumption recovery post the pandemic. So, most of the high frequency data that we track are clearly indicating that affluent, premium segment demand in India has been doing well.
Will RBI start cutting interest rates from October? Dr Samiran Chakraborty answers
In Citi's house view, we think that the Fed rate cut will start early, so we have put our first RBI rate cut in October, to some extent also factoring that in that if Fed moves earlier, then RBI gets the scope to move as well.
GST collection in May moderates from record high to Rs 1.73 lakh crore
In May, the Centre collected Rs 1.73 lakh crore in GST, a 10% annual increase. This is down from April's record Rs 2.1 lakh crore. The growth stemmed from a 15.3% rise in domestic transactions and a 4.3% decline in imports. Net GST revenue, after refunds, was Rs 1.44 lakh crore.
Indian IT sees deal tenures shrinking in rich neighbourhoods
At least two companies – HCLTech and Birlasoft – have gone on record to say that from the usual 10-12 year deals earlier, long-term arrangements are now ending in four years. Earlier, the tenures ranged between 10-12 years.
View: Central banks are moving over to the yellow metal to de-dollarise and tackle global uncertainty
Gold prices have surged to a record high of $2,400/oz, driven by uncertainty rather than demand. Central banks have significantly increased their gold holdings, with a notable shift towards ETF investments.
Gold prices back in limelight after mild correction
Gold prices have surged both globally and domestically, nearing the significant psychological level of $2,500 per ounce on the London spot market, representing a year-to-date increase of almost 17%. This momentum is reflected in the Indian market as well, with MCX futures prices exceeding ₹74,000 per ten grams.
Balkrishna Industries off-roading well in India & US, Europe to give traction
Balkrishna Industries’ global peers have cut down production as their revenue fell by around 10% in the March quarter, but Balkrishna’s volume grew by 12.9% year-on-year to 82,085 tonnes in the period — the highest in eight quarters.
Asia stocks weaken on the patient approach to rate cuts
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.57%. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index was one of the biggest decliners, slumping 0.8%, also hurt by a pullback in some commodity prices.
RBI buys 1.5 times more gold in January-April than whole of 2023
The Reserve Bank held 827. 69 tonnes worth of gold as a part of its foreign exchange reserves as of April 26,2024, up from 805 tonnes as of end December according to the latest Reserve bank of India data.
Oil prices stable as markets believe major stakeholders don't want hostilities to escalate: Hardeep Singh Puri
Global oil prices holding at $82/barrel despite OPEC supply cuts, wars, and uncertainties. Oil minister Hardeep Singh Puri believes major stakeholders don't want hostilities to escalate, maintaining supply-demand equilibrium. OPEC and allies control market by keeping 7 million barrels/day off the market.
Foreign-themed mutual funds rally up to 80% in a year. Should you go international?
International funds, including top performers like Mirae Asset NYSE FANG+ETF FoF, showed strong growth. However, concerns arise with Sebi's restrictions on overseas ETF investments and varying earnings growth in indices like Hang Seng and CSI 300.
Volatility has risen as Lok Sabha Elections 2024 fever grips the stock market; will polls halt the rally?
Volatility has risen in recent weeks as election fever grips the market. The heightened volatility stems from concerns over lower voter turnout in the ongoing general elections, potentially indicating an unfavourable verdict for the ruling party. Is this market nervousness a sign of future trends or a temporary blip before equities resume their upward journey?
ETMarkets Smart Talk: 3 reasons why FIIs are turning net sellers after putting Rs 2 trn in FY24: Pradeep Gupta
Pradeep Gupta of Anand Rathi Group discusses FIIs turning net sellers in India due to various global uncertainties and market volatility, emphasizing the importance of long-term strategic decisions in an interview with ETMarkets. Gupta says: "On a risk-adjusted basis, there is equal positivity on large and small cap indices, with slightly more caution on the mid-cap segment."
What is the best way to play the election uncertainty? Pashupati Advani answers
Pashupati Advani discusses telecom sector, Bharti Airtel, Indus Towers, challenges faced by private banks, HDFC Bank, election uncertainty, and insights on IPOs and the primary market. Advani says: "If one was being prudent, I would actually say take money off the table in the market and wait for the actual election result. "
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