INDIA MANUFACTURING
Economy on strong wicket after fiscal first quarter
India's economy showed strong first-quarter performance with surging manufacturing activity, robust GST collections, and record-high Sensex, alongside a rise in passenger car sales and new export orders from overseas markets, as highlighted by industry experts and economic indicators.
Budget 2024: Will India’s robust manufacturing segment sway Sitharaman’s decisions? A look at PMI numbers
India manufacturing PMI Budget 2024 | Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's upcoming Budget for 2024 is set against the backdrop of robust manufacturing PMI readings, signaling strong economic growth. The latest GDP figures for Q4 and FY24 underscore this momentum, driven by resilient manufacturing and services sectors. Amid global uncertainties, the budget aims for continuity, balancing growth and coalition priorities.
Record upturn in job creation drives India's manufacturing PMI to 58.3 in June
Activity in India's manufacturing sector rebounded last month with an increase in output driven by robust demand, leading to the fastest rate of hiring in over 19 years despite ongoing inflationary pressures, according to a survey.
India catching up with China, Vietnam on phone exports
India is rapidly narrowing the gap with China and Vietnam in mobile phone exports. In FY24, while mobile phone exports from China and Vietnam declined by 2.78% and 17.6% respectively, Indian exports surged by 40.5%, according to officials citing global trade data. India has captured nearly 50% of the reduction in mobile phone exports from these two countries, aligning with its objective of absorbing a significant portion of the supply chain shift from China.
India economy likely to sustain high growth trajectory: ITC
Indian conglomerate ITC predicts the Indian economy will sustain its high growth trajectory in FY2024-25 due to strong momentum in fixed investments and private consumption. The growth is supported by a good Rabi harvest and normal monsoons. Factors like a favorable demographic profile, increasing affluence, rapid urbanisation, and accelerated digital adoption are key structural drivers of the Indian economy.
India's electronic manufacturing may reach USD 500 bn by 2030: CII report
India needs to take critical actions to transform its electronic sector ecosystem from an 'import dependent assembly led manufacturing' to 'component level value-added manufacturing', highlights a report by Confederation of Indian Industry.
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Beauty secrets: Inside India's booming beauty industry that relies on hundreds of contract manufacturers
Nishit Dedhia, the MD and cofounder of Kain Cosmeceuticals, is leading a tour of his cosmetics manufacturing facility in Khopoli, Maharashtra. The facility produces a variety of beauty products for the growing direct-to-consumer market in India.
India business activity rises in June, job creation at 18-year high
India's business activity expanded at a faster pace this month than in May, thanks to gains in manufacturing and services. The pace of job creation was at its strongest in over 18 years, marking a strong start to the country's economy this financial year. HSBC's flash India Composite Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 60.9 in June, marking nearly three years above the 50-level separating growth from contraction.
Industrial production declines to a three-month low of 5% in April
India's Index of Industrial Production (IIP) slowed to 5% in April, a three-month low from 5.4% in March, according to data from the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). The growth rate was 4.6% in April 2023, a decrease from the previous high of 11.9% in October 2023. The three sectors with the highest growth rates in April 2024 were Mining, Manufacturing, and Electricity.
Rising heat cools mfg PMI to 3-mth low as input costs bite
Manufacturing activity decreased to 57.5 in May from 58.8 in the previous month due to heatwaves and rising costs, as per a private survey by HSBC. The sector saw a softer rise in new orders and output, impacting work hours and production volumes for manufacturing firms.
FDI fall seen across India, not just Karnataka, says industries minister Patil
State's industries minister MB Patil highlighted the decline in FDI in Karnataka and the entire country due to global factors and flawed policies of the Centre, with FDI decreasing from US $71 billion to US $70 billion in 2023-24.
Manufacturing activity eases to a three-month low of 57.5 in May
The seasonally adjusted HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index remained four points higher than the long-run average, with exports helping drive momentum.
Economy expands 7.8% in Q4, lifting FY24 growth to 8.2%
This is the highest annual growth since FY17, excluding the 9.7% post-Covid rebound in gross domestic product (GDP) in FY22 after the 5.8% contraction in FY21. The advance estimate released in February had pegged FY24 growth at 7.6%. Economists and government expect the high growth to continue though tepid private consumption remains a concern.
Govt may lower fiscal deficit target below 5.1 pc for FY25
For previous financial year ended March 2024, the fiscal deficit was better at 5.6 per cent of the GDP as against estimates of 5.8 per cent accounted in the interim Budget presented on February 1.
Economists project continued economic momentum and stability after India reports robust GDP growth in Q4
India's economy experienced a 7.8% growth rate in the January-March quarter, surpassing expectations due to strong performance in the manufacturing sector. The GDP growth in the fourth quarter of FY24 was slightly lower than the revised 8.6% growth in the previous quarter. Economists are optimistic about sustained momentum throughout the year, with the gap between GDP and gross value added (GVA) expected to normalize from the second quarter of FY25.
Moody's projects 6.8 per cent GDP expansion in 2024 on strong growth, post-election policy continuity
Moody's Ratings projected India's growth at 6.8% in 2024, followed by 6.5% in 2025. The prediction was driven by economic expansion and post-election policy continuity. The real GDP grew by 7.7% in 2023, with strong government spending and manufacturing activity. High-frequency indicators suggest sustained momentum in the economy. Moody's expects 6-7% annual GDP growth with policy continuity and increased capital expenditure. Private investment outlook is positive, despite inflation volatility.
Indian economy likely grew at weakest pace in a year in Jan-March, says Reuters poll
India's economy likely experienced its slowest growth in a year during the January-March quarter, attributed to weak domestic demand, according to a Reuters poll of economists. This follows a surprising 8.4% GDP growth in the October-December quarter, boosted by a sharp drop in subsidies that artificially increased net indirect taxes, while gross value added (GVA) grew by 6.5%. For the January-March period, GDP growth is expected to have slowed to 6.7%, with GVA growth at 6.2%.
Growth momentum likely to stay in Q1FY25: FinMin
The finance ministry's April report predicts strong economic activity in FY25, with rising industrial activity and fixed investments. Positive macro-economic indicators include a bright manufacturing outlook and improved services sector, supported by increased capacity utilization and EPFO data.
Private sector activity picks up to 61.7 in May, according to HSBC Flash PMI
The HSBC Flash India Composite Output Index rose to 61.7 in May compared with 61.5 in the previous month. “The latest data showed strength in new export orders for both sectors, which rose at the fastest pace since the series started in September 2014,” said Pranjul Bhandari, chief India economist, HSBC.
India May business growth robust as exports rise at record pace, PMI shows
HSBC's flash India Composite purchasing managers' Index , compiled by S&P Global, rose slightly to 61.7 this month from April's final reading of 61.5, marking the 34th month above the 50-level separating growth from contraction.
India needs to create 115 million jobs by 2030, research shows
India needs to create 115 million jobs by 2030 to boost services and manufacturing for economic expansion. The country must generate 16.5 million jobs annually, 10.4 million from the formal sector, to address high youth unemployment and low labor force participation rate.
30% of global GDP growth will come from India between 2035-2040: Amitabh Kant
Amitabh Kant, India's G20 Sherpa and former Niti Aayog chief, praised India's structural reforms, noting that they have elevated the country from the "fragile 5" to the "top 5," resulting in a growth rate of approximately 8.4% over the last three quarters. Kant highlighted analysts' projections that foresee India contributing 30% to global GDP growth between 2035-2040.
Wholesale inflation rises to a 13-month high of 1.3% in April
Wholesale inflation hits a 13-month high of 1.26% in April, up from 0.53% in March, driven by food and fuel prices. Food articles see a significant rise, with double-digit inflation in rice, pulses, and vegetables. Rising crude prices contribute to fuel inflation. Experts predict continued inflation due to base effect and geopolitical tensions.
Wholesale inflation in April quickens to 13-month high of 1.26% on spikes in power, food prices
India's wholesale price index-based inflation accelerated to 1.26 per cent in April, a 13-month high, according to data from the Commerce Ministry. The increase was attributed to a major shortage in onion supply until the next kharif crop, which is expected to be a reversal from the current scenario. Potato WPI also accelerated by 71.97 per cent in April, compared to 52.96 per cent in March. The month-over-month change in WPI index for April 2024 stood at 1.26 per cent. Wholesale food inflation also increased to 5.52 per cent on an annual basis, while food inflation grew 1.94 per cent on a MoM basis.
India needs to focus on factor market reforms to propel growth to double digit: ADB Chief Economist
Labour reforms have been approved by Parliament in 2020, but it has not been implemented. In 2019 and 2020, 29 central labour laws were amalgamated, rationalised and simplified into four labour codes -- the Code on Wages, 2019; the Industrial Relations Code, 2020; the Code on Social Security, 2020; and the Occupational Safety, Health & Working Conditions Code, 2020.
India's Industrial Production growth rate slows to 4.9% in March 2024
The data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) showed that the manufacturing sector's output grew 5.2 per cent in March 2024, from 5 per cent in February.
India playing crucial role in advanced manufacturing: N Chandrasekaran
The Tata Sons chairman noted that companies are adjusting their supply chains to achieve a balance between resilience and efficiency. Additionally, Chandrasekaran emphasized the emergence of new global supply chain ecosystems, with India assuming a significant position in advanced manufacturing.
India's services sector shows strongest growth rates in around 14 years: PMI data
In April, India's services sector saw a slight moderation, but maintained strength due to robust domestic and international demand, boosting business confidence to a three-month high. Despite a dip in the HSBC Services PMI to 60.8 from March's 61.2, it remained among the fastest growth rates in nearly 14 years.
Manufacturing activity eases slightly to 58.8 in April; optimism improves
Buoyant domestic demand ensured a strong start for the fiscal, with the manufacturing activity easing slightly to 58.8 in April compared with 59.1 in the previous month, according to results of a private survey released Thursday.
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