MONETARY EASING CYCLE
ECB to opt for summer pause after initial rate cut
The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to hold interest rates steady, following June’s cut from 4% to 3.75%. ECB President Christine Lagarde indicated further rate cuts will be cautious, despite recent inflation easing to 2.5%. The ECB’s data-dependent approach considers wage growth and services sector inflation.
Dollar adrift ahead of US inflation test; sterling firms
The dollar saw a slight decline while sterling strengthened on reduced expectations of a BoE rate cut. Markets await the U.S. inflation report. Fed Chair Powell emphasizes need-based interest rate decisions. BOJ considering tapering bond purchases. Global currencies trading flat with potential shifts ahead.
Incomplete transmission of policy rates could delay reversal of rate cycle by RBI
RBI faces challenges in rate transmission due to incomplete hikes. Banks show varied transmission rates. Governor Das stresses effective transmission. Rate cuts may come post-October with clearer risk insights.
Swiss National Bank continues rate cuts, says inflation eased again
The Swiss National Bank cut interest rates on Thursday, maintaining the central bank's position as a frontrunner in the global policy easing cycle now underway.
Sterling steady ahead of BoE decision; dollar wobbles against yen
The British pound was steady ahead of the Bank of England rate decision, while the dollar awaited market catalysts. Currencies traded in tight ranges post-US holiday, with focus on BoE, Swiss, and Norwegian central bank decisions.
Global rate-cut juggernaut is struggling to start
Central banks cagey about joining the global interest-rate cutting cycle may reveal themselves this week with a quartet of decisions in advanced economies.
Fed pivot or not, RBI likely to go its own way on rates, says I-SEC PD
“It is plausible to make the interpretation that RBI MPC may well pivot before Fed starts its own cutting cycle and that was the motivation for the statement... However, we believe the reason for this emphasis was the opposite based on other statements,” wrote economists from ICICI Securities Primary Dealership.
US Fed's 'dot plot' could offer glimpse of rate-cut resolve
Since raising their benchmark federal funds rate more than five percentage points starting in March 2022, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held borrowing costs at a two-decade high since July. A host of Fed leaders have suggested in recent weeks they see no rush to cut rates, with inflation more persistent and the outlook for growth staying solid.
No rate cut seen in August either, but enough signs of a shift in stance
The minutes of the meeting will be available on June 21. Varma and Goyal have argued that high interest rates might be hindering potential growth. They have previously debated that a high real interest rate—the difference between the actual interest rate and inflation—could be compromising growth.
RBI holds rates amid food inflation fears
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept policy interest rates unchanged for the eighth consecutive meeting due to concerns about rising food prices. The central bank raised its economic growth forecast for FY25 to 7.2% from 7%, driven by state investments and broad-based consumption. Despite inflation worries, the repo rate remains at 6.5%. A divide in the Monetary Policy Committee emerged, with two members favoring a rate cut. Equity indices surged, but bond yields rose slightly. Governor Das emphasized India's independent monetary policy stance.
No rate cut seen in August either, but enough signs of a shift in stance
In the normal course of events, the rising dissent in the MPC should have led to more joining the camp of rate cut seekers as data turns benign. Inflation may not have come back to the 4% target, but it's not threatening to soar. For the US, it is at 3.4% in April when the target is 2%.
RBI maintains interest rates amid growing calls for easier money policy
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept interest rates unchanged in its eighth consecutive meeting, with some members leaning towards easing monetary policy due to concerns about rising food prices. The central bank raised its FY25 growth forecast by 20 basis points to 7.2%, leading to a surge in equity indices. Inflation remains a concern due to global commodity price increases and potential food price spikes.
RBI MPC Meeting: Das & Co may look at food bills to keep its stance, rate unchanged
RBI Policy Meeting: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to maintain the repo rate at 6.5% with a focus on withdrawing accommodation, marking the eighth consecutive time it remains unchanged. Economists predict the unchanged stance, citing persistent inflation in food prices and global commodity price risks. RBI Governor's decision is crucial post-elections.
RBI rate-setting panel starts deliberations on monetary policy, decision on Friday
The Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy committee (MPC) began a three-day meeting to determine the next monetary policy, with Governor Shaktikanta Das expected to announce the decisions on Friday. Analysts anticipate the continuation of the current interest rate, given persistent inflation concerns and improving economic growth.
RBI unlikely to cut interest rate on June 7, say experts
The Reserve Bank of India is unlikely to cut the benchmark interest rate in its upcoming monetary policy review amid inflation challenges and improving economic growth. Scheduled for June 5-7, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is expected to maintain the current 6.5% repo rate. Experts cite steady economic conditions and ongoing inflation concerns as reasons for maintaining the status quo
Govt's focus on infra development to nurture sustained revival in investment cycle: RBI report
According to the RBI's Monetary Policy Report- April 2024, domestic economic activity, backed by strong fundamentals, remained robust in the first half of 2023-24, weathering challenges from muted global demand.
Real interest rates need to climb before RBI's easing cycle begins
Ahead of this week's scheduled review meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee, market watchers and investors are keen to know the timeline for India's rate easing cycle. However, the texture - and driver - of India's robust economic growth rates suggest their wait will perhaps be of some duration.
All-tolerant Powell sends Wall Street into a buying frenzy
Wall Street debates Federal Reserve policy on asset prices. Traders allocate funds across markets. ETFs attract $374 billion during an unprecedented equity rally. S&P 500 surges 27%. Marketfield Asset Management criticizes inflation goal progress.
Asia shares strike seven-month high ahead of US jobs data
Japan remained an outlier as expectations mount that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) could finally exit negative interest rates this month. That lit a fire under the yen and sent domestic bond yields rising.
Load More
