NUVAMA RESEARCH
FII stake in HDFC Bank falls below 55%, ADRs rally on likely inflows
HDFC Bank's shares surged, attracting billions, with FIIs reducing stakes. Analysts predict a significant increase in the MSCI index weight, potentially doubling inflows. The bank's NSE shares closed higher, reflecting positive investor sentiment.
HDFC’s potential weight gain in MSCI index may bring $4-b inflows
HDFC Bank shines with a 16% rally, surpassing Sensex performance. Market awaits MSCI EM Index rebalancing news on August 13, fueling anticipatory speculation.
Jio Financial and Zomato could join derivatives segment, Nifty50
"If we assume Jio Financial and Zomato make it to the F&O segment before the third week of August, then there is a very high chance of them making it to the Nifty50 in the September review," Nuvama analysts Abhilash Pagaria and Abhishek Shetye wrote in their latest note.
Jio Financial, Zomato can win Nifty ticket as Sebi tweaks F&O rules
Sebi has enhanced derivatives market criteria to ensure robust regulation and investor protection. Changes include higher thresholds and evaluation frameworks for stock entry and exit, promoting market vibrancy and stability. These upgrades may lead Jio Financial Services and Zomato to join Nifty50.
Allied Blenders and Distillers IPO subscribed 1.51 times on Day 2. Check subscription, GMP and other details
ABDL's IPO involves a fresh equity sale of Rs 1,000 crore and an offer for sale (OFS) of 1.77 crore shares by promoters Bina Kishore Chhabria and Resham Chhabria Jeetendra. Funds raised will repay borrowings and fund corporate needs. The company's shares are trading with a GMP of Rs 87.
Allied Blenders and Distillers IPO opens for subscription. Should you bid?
Allied Blenders and Distillers IPO, featuring Officer's Choice whiskey, will open for subscription with a price band of Rs 267-281 per share. Promoters will offload part of their stakes, and analysts caution against investing due to high valuation and financial risks.
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Need to have one, strong brand or big market size: 4 midcap stocks with right levels of RoE and upside potential of up to 21%
In all market conditions investing in mid-cap stocks is always a challenge for any investor. This challenge gets much bigger when the valuations are extremely high but at the same time the market is in a strong bullish trend. A choice has to be made between taking risk or losing the opportunity of making returns in a short period of time. In such times, it would be better that investors should be cautious in selecting the stocks, better to go with buying in smaller quantities and keep some cash allocated for the stocks, but only to be used on the day when there is absolutely chaos on the street. Why this strategy is likely to work, because it will take care of volatility which is bound to happen when valuations are not on the side of bulls. Refinitiv’s Stock Report Plus which lists stocks with high upside potential over the next 12 months, having an average recommendation rating of “buy” or "strong buy".
IIFL Finance subsidiary raises Rs 216 crore through public bond issue
IIFL Finance's microfinance subsidiary IIFL Samasta Finance has garnered Rs 216 crore through its second public bond issue against a Rs 1,000-crore target despite higher interest rates, as investors were likely concerned over the regulatory scrutiny on IIFL Finance's gold loan business.
What explains heightened foreign investor activity on May 31?
The Congress party alleges insider trading by foreigners ahead of the BJP's predicted victory in the exit polls on May 31, resulting in a surge in stock market activity. FPIs made significant purchases linked to the MSCI's quarterly rebalancing, impacting global indices and passive funds.
PM Modi shows rural bent, OKs ₹20kcr for PM Kisan Nidhi Scheme
The Prime Minister approved the 17th instalment of the PM Kisan Nidhi Scheme, benefiting 93 million farmers with around ₹20,000 crore. This move is seen as a boost to rural demand and consumer stocks. The new coalition government is expected to focus more on rural welfare, signaling a shift towards consumption-focused policies. Rural markets have shown growth, outpacing urban markets for the first time in five quarters, indicating a positive trend for the FMCG sector. The PM emphasized the government's commitment to farmer welfare and agriculture.
After sales of over Rs 12,000-crore in a day, FPIs could wait & watch
Analysts anticipate pressure on the new government to balance coalition demands with economic policies. U R Bhat expects policy continuity despite BJP's lower seat count.
It's a party on Dalal Street as India m-cap soars to Rs 426 lakh crore
Indian equities surged to new highs on Monday as investors reacted positively to the likelihood of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) winning with a strong majority based on exit polls. Benchmark indices jumped over 3%, the biggest gain in four years.
FPIs may cut bearish bets, releasing bulls on D-Street today
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) hold record bearish positions in index futures - mainly the Nifty - pegged at $2.8 billion, or ₹23,400 crore, in terms of contract value, according to Nuvama Research data.
F&O stocks to buy today: Dixon, Hudco among top 3 trading ideas for 3 June 2024
The Indian stock market is expected to start the week on a positive note, buoyed by positive global and domestic cues. On Friday, the Nifty future closed with gains, indicating a positive sentiment in the market despite some volatility. The India VIX, a measure of market volatility, saw a slight increase, causing some discomfort among investors.
Rupee halts 3-day losing streak on flows; election outcome eyed
The Indian rupee ended higher on Thursday, halting a three-day losing streak, supported by dollar inflows related to the rebalancing of the MSCI equity indices.
Vodafone Idea may find it tough to raise tariffs after polls, say analysts
Vodafone Idea faces challenges in increasing ARPU through tariff hikes post-election, as price-sensitive customers resist. 42% of Vi users may downgrade or close secondary SIMs due to upcoming higher tariffs. Vi seeks to upgrade 2G to 4G, double Ebitda by 2025. Vi has been securing funds for 4G expansion and potential 5G rollout.
Rupee slips on importer dollar demand, forward premiums inch up
The dollar index slipped below the 104.5 mark, extending its losses from Monday, while most Asian currencies ticked up, with the Korean won up 0.4% and leading gains.
Suited for investors with long-term time horizon: 5 midcap stocks with upside potential of up to 30%
If one looks at how the sentiment cycle has moved in the last five months for the mid-cap, it has come full circle. At the start of the year 2024, “hope” nothing can go wrong with mid-caps, so load them. Then comes fear in the middle of February which peaks by the end of March. The again hope in April and now at this point of time “confusion” At this point of time the question whether “ I should sell or buy more” needs to be replaced by “what business do I own and whether that business is going to grow or not” The reason why it is important to change the question itself is the fact that it business on the ground which will make the difference between in final returns. Another thing is whether the management has seen good and bad times, because that is what gives them the ability to deliver in all conditions.
Vodafone Idea’s AGR dues to plunge 46% if SC verdict on curative petition is favourable: Analysts
Vodafone Idea's AGR dues may drop by 46% to Rs 38,400 crore with relief on curative petition, analysts say. Vi seeks waiver of penalty component in AGR demand. Payment reduction could provide cash flow relief, but challenges remain with significant payouts ahead. Management hopeful for Supreme Court relief on AGR calculation errors. Financial restructuring and strategic partnerships planned for Vi's future growth.
Trent, BEL may replace LTI Mindtree, Divi’s in Nifty rejig
The possible changes would lead to an inflow of Rs 3,500 crore into Trent and Rs 3,000 crore into Bharat Electronics, the brokerage said.
Paytm, Canara Bank among 26 stocks in focus ahead of MSCI rejig on May 15
MSCI's reshuffle on May 15 may eject Paytm from the MSCI Global Standard index, potentially attracting $2 billion from passive funds. Nuvama estimates 12 stocks to join, with inflows ranging from $144 million to $224 million each.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Nifty hitting 24K is subject to Indian elections results and Middle East tensions: Sandeep Raina
Sandeep Raina of Nuvama projects Nifty50 levels at 24,000 to 25,000 based on expected EPS, influenced by Indian Elections and Middle East tensions. Market trends may align with US Fed’s policies, impacting inflation and equity performance. Raina further says that Indian markets will largely respond to the corporate earnings reports.
Vodafone Idea cash Ebitda seen growing 32% CAGR during FY24-28
Analysts predict Vodafone Idea's cash EBITDA to grow at a 32% compounded annual rate from FY24-28, aided by customer additions and average revenue per user (ARPU) growth driven by potential tariff increases. Following a targeted fundraise of Rs 45,000 crore, Vi is expected to achieve around 3.3% and 10% compounded annual growth in customer additions and ARPU respectively over FY24-28. However, caution is advised as Vi may need to provide about Rs 22,000 crore in bank guarantees to the government post the completion of the payment moratorium on regulatory payouts in September 2025.
Why touchy-feely consumerism is here to stay and also thrive
The surge in e-commerce once signaled the demise of brick-and-mortar stores, but a notable shift is occurring as D2C companies expand offline. The trend extends beyond smartphones to FMCG and banking, with consumers favoring physical stores for premium items. Retailers are adapting by enhancing store sizes to provide immersive shopping experiences.
Chote Miyan charm! 32 smallcap stocks just became more popular with mutual funds
Mutual funds showed interest in smallcap stocks, with 32 attracting fresh buying. Stocks like Schneider Electric Infrastructure and Nuvama Wealth Management saw increased investments, resulting in good returns despite market challenges.
FPIs pare stakes in HDFC Bank, but not enough for ETF gush
Overseas investors' stake in the bank fell in the March quarter but this fell short of index provider MSCI's requirements to increase the stock's weight on the index.
Despite sharp rally in 12 months, Nuvama is bullish on these 6 smallcaps. Do you own any?
The broader market, which was overheated, has seen a healthy decline and it appears that the price correction phase is over and will likely lead to a bottoming and a resumption of the bull phase, said Nuvama Research in a recent note. It also listed its top smallcap picks:
Crash was expected; stay calm and invested as market will revive soon: Sandeep Raina
Sandeep Raina is not worried about the market crash. Further small cuts are possible, but it's not a bloodbath. Stay invested, the market will revive. Quality midcaps, smallcaps, and largecaps with 20% growth, good ROCE, and cash flows are worth investing. Pharma stocks like Beta Drugs, Kilpest, and Sun Pharma are interesting.
Medi Assist Healthcare IPO Day 3. Check subscription, GMP and other key details
Medi Assist Healthcare IPO is an OFS of 2.8 crore shares, priced at Rs 397-418 apiece. About 50% of the issue is reserved for qualified institutional buyers (QIBs), 35% for retail investors, and 15% for non-institutional investors.
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