UNCERTAINTY
Bitcoin hits 2-month low on election uncertainty, Mt Gox flows
The world's biggest cryptocurrency has been under pressure in recent months, its slide accelerating this week after the first debate between U.S. presidential candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump raised the spectre of Biden being replaced as a candidate.
Bitcoin hits two-month low on election uncertainty, Mt Gox flows
The world's biggest cryptocurrency Bitcoin's decline gained momentum this week following the initial debate between US presidential candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump, which sparked concerns about potential changes in Biden's candidacy. Bitcoin fell more than 2% to $57,843, its lowest since May 2.
Traders' new fancy: Crypto F&O
Indian crypto traders are flocking to Futures & Options (F&O) markets, with leading exchanges like CoinDCX and Delta Exchange experiencing a volume surge. However, a cloud of uncertainty hangs over the regulatory landscape regarding F&O taxation. This shift is driven by a desire to avoid the 1% TDS imposed by the government on spot crypto trading.
Euro rises to two-week high after France's far-right wins first-round vote
Amid market volatility, potential alliances to block the far-right have emerged in France's election. The RN party eyes a possible absolute majority, adding to ongoing uncertainty and investor concerns.
Big US banks expected to be cautious on shareholder payouts
Big U.S. lenders brace for Fed stress tests evaluating capital resilience in economic hardships, impacting returns to investors amid challenges in regional lending and commercial real estate.
Apple delays rollout of AI features in Europe
Apple on Friday said it would delay the rollout of its recently announced AI features in Europe because of "regulatory uncertainties" linked to the EU's new landmark legislation to curb the power of big tech. Apple earlier this month unveiled "Apple Intelligence," its suite of AI features for its coveted devices as it looks to reassure users that it is not falling behind on the AI frenzy.
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Central banks around the world have positive outlook on gold, according to World Gold Council survey
The WGC survey received responses from a record-high 70 central banks. The survey shows that Central bank sentiment towards gold remains very high, with 29 per cent saying they will add more gold in the next 12 months and 81 per cent saying that official sector gold reserves overall will grow in the same period. Optimism towards gold’s future role in global reserves continues to grow, with 69% saying that gold’s share of reserves will be higher in five years compared to 62% last year, the WGC survey said.
India Inc braces for revenue uncertainties in Q1 on slow govt spending, monsoon onset: Icra
Corporates are preparing for revenue uncertainties in the April-June period due to a slowdown in government spending and the onset of the monsoon season, as reported by domestic rating agency Icra. Sequential revenue growth is expected to taper in the first quarter of the fiscal, with a 6.
European shares set for weekly losses
European shares slip amid French political uncertainty. Technology stocks rise, auto shares fall. Leftwing parties challenge National Rally, Crest Nicholson rejects Bellway's offer.
Companies cautious on short-term hiring, but overall outlook stays upbeat
Employers in India are showing caution in short-term hiring for the July-September quarter, with a net employment outlook of 30%, six percentage points lower than the current quarter and the same period last year. While 48% of employers plan to hire more people, 18% expect a decrease in hiring or have no plans to hire. The most optimistic sectors are finance and real estate, healthcare and life sciences, and IT, while communication services and transport, logistics, and automotive are less optimistic.
How to play MF portfolio in Modi 3.0? Prefer largecap funds over mid & smallcap: Alekh Yadav
We believe that government support, coupled with a favorable monsoon, will lead to an increase in rural consumption, making it a theme we favor.
Asia shares stumble; political uncertainty grips euro
Asian stocks fell as traders reduced bets for Fed rate cuts due to a tight US labor market. A snap election in France raised political concerns, impacting the euro. MSCI's Asia-Pacific shares index also dropped.
RBI MPC Meeting 2024 at a glance: Here's a one-stop guide to all key decisions
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided to maintain the current interest rate at 6.5%, following a 4:2 majority decision. The panel projected real GDP growth for FY25 to be 7.2%, up from 7%. The MPC is also maintaining the Standing Deposit Facility rate at 6.25% and the Marginal Standing Facility bank rate at 6.75%.
Plan to invest Rs 10 lakh post election outcome; Kaustubh Belapurkar gives asset allocation strategy
Most investors are best served by investing into diversified equity funds, where fund managers will express their conviction on sector/themes stocks, with graded underweight/overweight calls.
Top IT companies focus on employee productivity amid demand uncertainties
Amid revenue deceleration, shrinking margins and lower headcount, a silver lining for the top tier IT exporters is the rising employee productivity aided by streamlining of human resources through meticulous bench management.
Nifty Bank pares gains but closes above 49,200; next target seen at 50,000: Experts
Tracking positive global cues, Nifty Bank rose 237 points to close at 49,291. The index saw some profit booking above the 49,600 level. PNB, Bank of Baroda and SBI closed with gains of 1-3%.
We don't expect rate cut in 2024 unless growth or inflation surprises on downside: Tanvee Gupta Jain
I think the political outcome was suggesting that there is kind of a weak sentiment at the lower end of the income pyramid. And whether we accept it or not but India has seen a K-shaped consumption recovery post the pandemic. So, most of the high frequency data that we track are clearly indicating that affluent, premium segment demand in India has been doing well.
Will RBI start cutting interest rates from October? Dr Samiran Chakraborty answers
In Citi's house view, we think that the Fed rate cut will start early, so we have put our first RBI rate cut in October, to some extent also factoring that in that if Fed moves earlier, then RBI gets the scope to move as well.
Expect market to consolidate for some time: Vikas Khemani
So, I guess the frothy valuation stocks will come down, corrections will happen. Markets might consolidate for some time and to some extent it is healthy. Also, probably we will have a strong opposition so we will have to see what kind of reforms government is able to carry out in further.
Election cycles and stock market performance: Don’t ignore the long-term
National elections can create market anxiety due to policy uncertainties, impacting market and economy. Understanding election results' relation to equities market performance is crucial for investors' long-term outlook.
India 10-year bond yield sees biggest spike in 8 months on poll results uncertainty
Indian government bond yields surged as early voting trends showed Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA leading, causing the benchmark 10-year yield to jump to 7.0130%.
D-Street looks set for Modi rally tomorrow
After the last phase of the election ended on Saturday, exit polls showed the NDA winning with a comfortable majority. Votes will be counted on June 4. Though some exit polls have been inaccurate in the past, investors will take comfort from the fact that most are forecasting a strong show by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).
Japan billionaire Maezawa cancels moon trip due to uncertainty over SpaceX rocket development
The tycoon in 2018 launched plans for the lunar flyby voyage. He bought seats for eight traveling companions in 2022 for what would be his second space journey after his 12-day trip to the International Space Station on a Russian Soyuz spacecraft in 2021.
Indian IT sees deal tenures shrinking in rich neighbourhoods
At least two companies – HCLTech and Birlasoft – have gone on record to say that from the usual 10-12 year deals earlier, long-term arrangements are now ending in four years. Earlier, the tenures ranged between 10-12 years.
View: Central banks are moving over to the yellow metal to de-dollarise and tackle global uncertainty
Gold prices have surged to a record high of $2,400/oz, driven by uncertainty rather than demand. Central banks have significantly increased their gold holdings, with a notable shift towards ETF investments.
Don’t read too much into market jitters, turnout
The logic of the 2024 verdict will inevitably be understood in hindsight. However, experience (and archival evidence) suggests that the magnitude of most electoral waves has escaped media comprehension. This includes the landmark elections of 1977, 1984 and 2014.
Volatility has risen as Lok Sabha Elections 2024 fever grips the stock market; will polls halt the rally?
Volatility has risen in recent weeks as election fever grips the market. The heightened volatility stems from concerns over lower voter turnout in the ongoing general elections, potentially indicating an unfavourable verdict for the ruling party. Is this market nervousness a sign of future trends or a temporary blip before equities resume their upward journey?
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Why are FIIs turning net sellers in Indian markets? Aditya Sood decodes
Aditya Sood, Fund Manager at InCred Asset Management, analyzes the impact of NDA's performance, FPIs' net selling, and the attractiveness of MSCI China index on Indian markets. He highlights the crucial role of these factors in shaping investment decisions. Sood says: "Over the next decade, India will be a buy on dip market — all corrections should be used as buying opportunities to increase allocation to equities as an asset class."
ETMarkets Smart Talk: 3 reasons why FIIs are turning net sellers after putting Rs 2 trn in FY24: Pradeep Gupta
Pradeep Gupta of Anand Rathi Group discusses FIIs turning net sellers in India due to various global uncertainties and market volatility, emphasizing the importance of long-term strategic decisions in an interview with ETMarkets. Gupta says: "On a risk-adjusted basis, there is equal positivity on large and small cap indices, with slightly more caution on the mid-cap segment."
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