ASSET QUALITY CYCLE
Comeback Trail: After IT, time for large private banks to make a comeback? 6 top private banks with an upside potential of upto 40%
Today, because one private sector bank and some of the PSU banks are under pressure, the bank nifty is trading in the red. Because the bank in question, Kotak Mahindra bank has come under pressure due to one specific development which tends to be eye-catching, the whole narrative shifts to something which is not related to the core business of banking. If one leaves aside what is happening in the banks today and looks at a slightly broader picture, probably there are underlying indications of something else. A probability of a tactical investment opportunity building in the private sector banks taking place. Look at the leaders from that space, HDFC bank which has been at the forefront of getting all negative news is pretty much close to its earlier highs.
Fiscal discipline key to India's growth prospects: Sanjay Nayar
So, we will have to also think about how we channel the energies towards more advanced and more modern techniques and technology, because that is what we need right now.
Want to balance risk-return now and not just focus on returns: Siddharth Vora
Other than valuations which seem to provide some sort of caution, volatility has come off very significantly post elections. All the macro data points around India are very robust. From a macro perspective, there are no major red flags. We are not seeing any major systemic risk for Indian equities as well andit is very clear that this is still a broad-based bull market, Siddharth Vora.
Decoding momentum funds: What you need to know
Momentum funds select stocks based on recent performance for continuity. The 17 funds in this category include both index funds and ETFs, with a tracking error of 0.3 to 0.5% in passive funds. High-risk investors are ideal for these funds, with recommended asset allocation of 80% in equity and 20% in debt, says Chirag Muni.
Banking return on assets to dip 10-20 bps: Crisil
Return on assets (RoA) of banks, after hitting a 20-year high in the previous year, is forecasted to ease to 1.1-1.2% in the current fiscal year, according to Crisil Ratings. The moderation is attributed to higher deposit costs impacting net interest margins. Credit costs are expected to stabilize, supporting overall profitability as non-performing assets decrease.
Large private banks will do well over next two-three years: Sumeet Kariwala
The banks which have struggled to the asset quality cycle over there the earnings expectations are low, the valuations are depressed and to that extent from a stock market perspective the earnings upgrades as well as valuation re-rating can be quite meaningful and we have seen a lot of stocks double and triple over the last two-three years.
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'Acche din' to continue for FD investors as high fixed deposit interest rates will not drop soon: All eyes on RBI MPC on June 7
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will likely keep the repo rate unchanged in the upcoming monetary policy committee review. The question now is how long will the high-FD rate regime continue. Also, what should be the best strategy for your short-term and long-term fixed deposits? ET Wealth Online spoke to experts and here's all you need to know.
ETMarkets PMS Talk: This fund manager with over Rs 350 cr in AUM generates 2x returns vs benchmark since June 2023
Within this we are managing roughly Rs 315 crore in AQUA, a Flexicap Quant PMS Strategy, which is our flagship style-adaptive, benchmark-agnostic, dynamic multi-factor strategy and roughly Rs 35 crore in our Multi Asset Quant Strategies.
I received Rs 70 lakh after retirement. Where should I invest this amount for good return?
Our panel of experts will answer questions related to any aspect of personal finance. If you have a query, mail it to us right away.
Bonds vs stocks: What is the best asset allocation for mutual fund investors post poll results?
Mutual fund investors are advised on asset allocation in the third term of the Modi-led government. Recommendations cover exposure to different assets for conservative, moderate, and aggressive investors, considering factors like risk appetite and investment horizon.
Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside potential of up to 41%
The street has got what it was looking for, exit polls predicting a win of NDA which essentially continues the policy making framework which has been in place for the last ten years and has been working well for the economy. There is another thing which will happen, there are going to be some areas which will get more focus in the coming days. So, next we might see some sectors and stocks doing extremely well, while others may continue to be laggards. These selected stocks depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score which is based on five key pillars i.e. earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.
Surge in credit demand will boost the banking sector: Ashish Gupta, Axis Asset Management
"We want to ensure that one style does not get imposed on all products and there is enough diversity of styles and products," says Ashish Gupta, CIO, Axis Asset Management.
Suited for investors with long-term time horizon: 5 midcap stocks with upside potential of up to 30%
If one looks at how the sentiment cycle has moved in the last five months for the mid-cap, it has come full circle. At the start of the year 2024, “hope” nothing can go wrong with mid-caps, so load them. Then comes fear in the middle of February which peaks by the end of March. The again hope in April and now at this point of time “confusion” At this point of time the question whether “ I should sell or buy more” needs to be replaced by “what business do I own and whether that business is going to grow or not” The reason why it is important to change the question itself is the fact that it business on the ground which will make the difference between in final returns. Another thing is whether the management has seen good and bad times, because that is what gives them the ability to deliver in all conditions.
ETMarkets AIF Talk: Fund Manager of Rs 1200 cr AUM reveals 4 key factors for wealth creation in small & midcaps
Aditya Sood, Fund Manager at InCred Asset Management, discusses small companies' growth potential in an interview with ETMarkets. Sood says that the cost of capital in India will structurally decline over the next 5-7 years, benefiting small and mid-cap companies. Many of the investee companies, though small in size, are already market leaders or challengers in niche industries with substantial growth potential
Stocks to buy: Bet on stocks with good entry points now; 5 stocks with up to 27% upside potential
Stocks to buy: Identifying recently corrected stocks with good fundamentals can be effective in the current market. Moving averages help distinguish between stocks in correction and those in a bear trend. Stocks that have seen a recent correction and are fundamentally sound can prove good investment bets.
Paytm halts postpaid loans, to focus on distribution-only model
Fintech major Paytm's losses widened to Rs 550 crore in the fourth quarter ended March 2024. The same stood at Rs 169 crore in the last year quarter.
Mid & smallcap fund? Do we need a new category targeting both mid and smallcap stocks
Since the beginning of 2024 large and midcap category has seen inflows of Rs. 11,340 crores followed by multicap category at Rs. 10,004 Cr. and the flexi-cap category at Rs. 9,971 crore, higher than the inflows in largecap, midcap and smallcap categories respectively.
ETMarkets Fund Manager Talk: Valuation of PSU stocks isn't as attractive, says Franklin Templeton’s Akhil Kalluri
Akhil Kalluri, VP at Franklin Templeton, discusses PSU stocks, retail liquidity impact, and broader market valuation risks. He also comments on tech stocks, consumption names, and industrial sectors' performance in the March quarter. Kalluri points out that the aggregate topline & EBITDA growth for Nifty 50 names in 4QFY24 so far are relatively muted, in high single digits.
NBFCs' profitability to moderate on higher borrowing costs: Moody’s
“ We expect loans at NBFCs to grow about 15% in the next 12-18 months, driven by various types of lending, including infrastructure financing by large government-owned NBFCs and loans to small and medium-sized enterprises” Moody’s said in a report. “We also expect the sector’s credit costs to increase from cyclically low levels, especially as unsecured loans mature”.
Repco Home Finance Q4 Results: Profit jumps 32% YoY to Rs 82 crore
Total income for the quarter stood at Rs 397 crore against Rs 344 crore while net interest income was 11% higher at Rs 172 crore against Rs 155 crore.
Banks' underwriting standards at risk amid rapid consumer loan growth, Fitch says
Fitch Ratings warns of potential challenges to Indian banks' consumer loan quality due to rapid growth and "untested risks." Concerns include lower transparency in retail underwriting data and reliance on unsecured credit for margin expansion. While RBI measures aim to mitigate risks, their long-term effectiveness remains uncertain.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Why Harshad Patil is positive on high quality smallcap businesses
Harshad Patil focuses on identifying small-cap businesses poised to benefit from manufacturing emphasis and formalization, delivering consistent earnings growth for long-term value creation. Tata AIA's diverse product range outperforms benchmarks, maximizing investor returns.
Monetary, prudential steps' tango helps cut home loan NPAs
Prudential measures like risk weights and loan-to-value adjustments, along with interest rates, will be more effective in repayments of loans. This will also help in housing credit growth and controlling the asset quality of banks' home loan portfolios, it shows.
We need a clear future growth path to sustain momentum over the next 20-25 years: Neelkanth Mishra
Neelkanth Mishra emphasizes the need for proactive policies and strategic infrastructure development to sustain India's growth amidst evolving global economic challenges, advocating for efficient tax reforms, energy transition, and enhanced construction industry strategies to drive long-term economic prosperity. Mishra says: "At this stage, the problem is dollar shortages and higher rates and therefore the risks are the reverse, but the moment the Fed restarts QE, I think the problems will turn to be on the other side."
MF Query: How to invest Rs 10 lakh lumpsum in mutual funds for next 20 years?
If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts.
CreditAccess’ wider reach, cost controls to drive growth
CreditAccess Grameen's stock has underperformed due to asset quality pressure, floods, muted customer additions, and disbursements. However, analysts expect strong performance. Gross loan portfolio increased by 31.5%. Cost-income ratio fell to 29.5%. Stock expected to trade at a premium valuation.
Why should you choose a debt mutual fund over and above an FD? Shweta Rajani explains
Shweta Rajani suggests considering debt mutual funds like target maturity funds and arbitrage funds. These funds offer various benefits such as higher yields, better liquidity, tax advantages, and the potential for additional returns if the interest rate cycle plays out. As there is a possibility of rate cuts as well as bond yields coming down, it is time to go in for a longer duration in the debt funds.
Are asset quality bombs lurking for NBFCs at the end of the cycle? Karan Gupta answers
Karan Gupta of India Ratings & Research expects a growth slowdown in the unsecured lending sector in FY25, particularly on the personal loan side, due to funding constraints. The MFI sector's rating outlook remains stable, reflecting the impact of deregulation on yields and risk-based pricing. Gupta says "the tightness for deposit accruals is more structural in nature and that is something that will continue."
Why Nitin Aggarwal prefers these 3 smaller PSU banks
Nitin Aggarwal says: “For PSU banks also, we are expecting a NIM compression in the single digit because to some extent, the NIMs will be shielded by the MCLR repricing for them. But overall, the rates are still elevated. Certain banks have still increased deposit rates in certain maturities. And going into the busy Q4, the fight for deposits will remain intense.”
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