AUTO STOCKS OUTLOOK
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide D-Street action on Friday
While the Nifty's overall trend appears positive across different time frames, it is currently facing resistance around the 24,400 level, which coincides with a 1.618% Fibonacci Extension. This suggests the possibility of a temporary consolidation or minor dip in the upcoming trading sessions before the index potentially resumes its upward movement.
Japan's main stock indexes at record closing highs as banks, autos and techs rise
Japan's Topix and Nikkei hit record highs, led by gains in automakers, banks, and tech firms like Toyota, Honda, Mitsubishi UFJ, Advantest, and SoftBank. Yugo Tsuboi cited interest rates, a weak yen, and economic improvement. The TSE’s prime market saw 59% of stocks rise, with a positive corporate outlook expected, according to Daiwa Securities.
Is a big boost to power financiers likely in Budget? Deven Choksey answers
Reliance Jio's strategic timing aligns with 5G advancements and tariff adjustments, poised to boost revenue and shareholder value. The company's emphasis on EBITDA margin growth and potential IPO plans suggest a positive outlook for unlocking shareholder value. Deven Choksey says that 12 months forward, with a Rs 1,45,000-1,50,000 crore revenue book, 55% EBITDA margin cannot be ruled out .
Amnish Aggarwal on 2 top cement large-cap stocks to bet on; best buy in auto
“Mahindra & Mahindra continues to be an exception where the volume growth continues to be good, both in UVs as well as if you look at the tractors, tractors after last year's decline are turning to be positive, although the valuations are rich, if a double-digit volume growth in the PV business continues, M&M can still do well from the current levels.”
Nifty bulls await directional move, auto stocks in focus
Auto stocks were in focus amid the release of June month sales numbers. Shares of Samvardhana Motherson, Hero Moto, Bharat Forge, Maruti Suzuki, and Bajaj Auto rallied over 1% each. Within the Nifty50 pack, JSW Steel, and Bharti Airtel rallied over 1%, while NTPC, Power Grid, and Apollo Hospitals fell up to 2%.
Auto stocks: Time for some cool down and also an opportunity? 6 auto stocks with upside potential of upto 28%
It is the sector which has led the rally which the market has witnessed in the last 14 months and rightly so. If one looks at the history, the rallies which are led by the transportation and auto sector are more durable as sales of LCV and certain other auto segments is an indication of the economic situation on the ground. But there is another fact, which is that with a mad rush for stocks a number of them have seen sharp run with valuations moving upward sharply. There is no doubt that the Indian auto sector is going through a transformation and Indian companies are adjusting to it very well. So there is a situation, while the fundamentals are good and improving, valuations have seen a run up. So, there is a likelihood that we might see some cooling off, but that would bring an opportunity for investors who have missed the bus.
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Nifty charts projecting 25,200 by December, says ICICI Securities. Top 94 stock picks
ICICI Securities' technical analysis forecasts Nifty reaching 25,200 by December 2024, supported strongly at 22,200. Midcaps and smallcaps indices are in a structural uptrend, expected to gain over 16% by year-end.
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock action on Monday
Indian benchmark equity indices ended lower on Friday, once again succumbing to profit booking after hitting all-time highs, although they locked in a third straight week of gains powered by a rally in financials and the return of foreign investors.
Sentiment is changing, FIIs could push market rally further, says Chandan Taparia of Motilal Oswal
FIIs covering short positions in the Indian market may drive a potential rally, supported by DIIs and SIP. Amidst profit booking in FMCG stocks, focusing on rural demand and monsoon impact could offer buying opportunities. Private banks and financial companies show promising trends, while Nifty Auto and telecom sectors present favorable trading prospects.
Can private bank stocks lead from the front now?
Bank Nifty reached a new high of 51,957 due to improved operational efficiencies, implementation of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, and cautious lending practices by PSU banks. This sparked a rally in share prices, shifting the spotlight from private banks.
Dharmesh Shah's top stock recommendations from auto sector
So, for the Nifty, we believe we should be targeting 23,800 by next week and for the Bank Nifty, 51,000. Therefore, the strategy should be to buy the dip, with strong support placed around 23,100.
5 stocks Sandip Sabharwal is bullish on from infra sector
I would be quite bullish on the sugar stock, especially those which have a sugar plus ethanol story going for them. And the other companies which also have a power story, but not to a very great extent. So main issue ethanol and the government statements post elections and government formation have been extremely constructive from the ethanol side.
Rahul Shah's two top stock picks from HFC space
If I look at it, last quarter numbers were bad for most of the IT companies and I would still wait and there is a lot of other opportunities in the markets versus IT companies. So, I would still wait. Just because the valuations are compelling, one should not get in. But there are other serious pockets where the money will be made versus the IT pack.
Are fears and panic around PSUs overblown? Sandip Sabharwal answers
Ideally, they should not be able to because like you rightly said, it is more commoditised. In fact, you look at the reason why did HDFC merge into HDFC Bank, because they realised that the margins are going to get squeezed and if they do not have a low-cost deposit franchise which supports the margin squeeze, that will become tougher.So, many of these housing finance companies sustain higher margins to develop financing, loan against property, etc, which are higher margin, but then also carry higher risk.
Use this adversity to buy high quality companies at discounts: Nilesh Shah
Well, what looks to essentially be the go-to market strategy, if I may use those words, would essentially to look at the defensives. Sectors which have had an extended period of underperformance, which is FMCG, rural plays, IT, pharma, these will emerge to be the risk off trades or will emerge to be the defensive plays and it is quite possible that you will see some kind of recalibration, tweaking of allocations, sectoral allocations and it is quite possible that you will see some money move from the favoured lot to basically this lot.
Beyond elections, track these 6 factors also to understand Nifty movement this week
Investors would react to not just the exit poll predictions but also India's Q4 GDP numbers which, at 7.8%, was much higher than the Street estimates. Global markets will likely react to the outcome of the PCE data in the US, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation.
3 sectors Varun Saboo is bullish on for near term
In a scenario where we witness continuity in the government, it's likely that FIIs will return. They've been selling and feeling the impact of it, thus being major underperformers compared to domestic mutual funds or overall domestic funds during this rally.
2 sectoral bets from Ganeshram Jayaraman for next 2 years
This has led to a very positive capex cycle, likely to start private sector capex cycle. This very good profit growth also led to strong government capex because tax collections were buoyant. So, it was a very strong demand, supply, earnings and valuations cycle.
ETMarkets Fund Manager Talk: Stocks from these 5 sectors to dominate FY25: Sachin Trivedi, UTI AMC
Sachin Trivedi analyzes Nifty 50 earnings growth, PSU banks' performance, and sector preferences for FY25. Highlights include select private sector banks, two-wheeler segment, and healthcare space. Trivedi further says that in the long run, markets adjust to earning delivery and valuation. Therefore, investors need to moderate return expectations from the market.
Markets moving away from consumption themes to investment themes: Manish Sonthalia
But otherwise, automobiles, banks, pharmaceuticals, capital goods they have all delivered on numbers. Metals and oil and gas was again supposed to be muted. So, I think all in all, the expectation of the result season from where we began the earnings season was a 5% to 6% earnings growth for this quarter.
Not fully committing to IT; gung-ho on market infra stocks: Shiv Chanani
Shiv Chanani, Fund Manager at Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund, provides insightful analysis on the IT space, auto sector, and the capital market infrastructure spaces. He further emphasizes the impact of uncertainty in the IT industry, changing dynamics in the auto space, and the growth opportunities in capital market infrastructure.
3 stocks Hemang Jani is bullish on from capital goods sector
LIC Housing, in terms of the asset quality, they have done reasonably well. Top line growth was slightly lower than market expectations and we believe that NBFCs as a space can do very well given that we are going to have a slightly stable kind of interest rate environment.
Stay light & keep some cash handy; buy only after the event is over: Anand Tandon
Anand Tandon provides insights on market dynamics, banking sector performance, consumer trends, and investment strategies amidst evolving economic landscapes and global uncertainties, suggesting cautious optimism and strategic planning for future opportunities.
Have some cash on sidelines; Kotak a good buy on dips; Titan too overvalued: Sandip Sabharwal
Sandip Sabharwal advises caution in the market due to uncertain valuations and growth trajectory. He highlights investment opportunities in auto companies, consumer goods, and infra firms amidst global economic shifts and upcoming elections. Sabharwal says: "Post results, Dabur looked like a decent proposition because it has underperformed for so many years and that is one consumer company which is saying that they are releasing growth uptake."
Cutting exposure to capital goods, industrial; waiting for IT to bottom out: Devina Mehra
Devina Mehra of First Global reflects on the market's consensus shift towards capital goods, emphasizing the need to monitor potential sector peaks. She also discusses stock market volatility, election impact, and risk management strategies for smallcap stocks. Mehra says: "We have added a few commodity stocks in our last rebalance -- some amount of metal, steel, etc, and even some cement."
Bullish on auto; no pharma, chemical stocks in portfolio buy may get in later: Deepak Shenoy
Deepak Shenoy discusses excitement for auto stocks and auto ancillaries, potential investments in M&M and cautious optimism on two-wheeler sales. he also suggests monitoring of FDA actions in the pharma sector. Shenoy says a quantitatively driven, price driven strategy will make them consider pharma again,He also anticipates growth in the healthcare sector and potential opportunities in the chemical space.
Expect PV sales to spike after Lok Sabha elections: Manish Raj Singhania, FADA
Manish Raj Singhania forecasts a post-election spike in PV retails similar to what was seen during the Vidhan Sabha elections. Factors like financial stability, excitement over SUVs, the falling EV prices, good road infrastructure, as well as tge elections impact on vehicle demand will continue to drive sales, says the FADA president.
EV market going to broaden; Maruti Suzuki top pick for 2024: Kumar Rakesh
Kumar Rakesh of BNP Paribas discusses strong demand for electric two-wheelers, caution in two-wheeler segment, impact of FAME II end on EV demand, tractor industry cyclicality, and top pick for 2024 being Maruti Suzuki. In case of EVs. we have seen a very strong demand for electric two-wheelers in March. April will be much weaker adjusting for this pre-buying, but May onwards, penetration expected to start inching back.
Time to accumulate IT stocks on dips; buy these 3 PSUs on dips: Dharmesh Shah
Dharmesh Shah, Head-Technical at ICICI Direct, suggests viewing PSU corrections positively as buying opportunities. He also anticipates that Nifty momentum will sustain and has a positive outlook on Nifty auto index and Maruti. He further recommends accumulation in the IT sector for medium-term gains as he expects a gradual recovery in the IT index.
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