ELECTION EXPENDITURE
Fiscal deficit hits 3% of full FY25 target in April-May at Rs 50,615 crore
India's fiscal deficit for April-May reached approximately 3% of FY25's target, totaling Rs 50,615 crore. PM Narendra Modi's third term priorities include tackling agricultural distress, job creation, sustaining capital expenditure, and enhancing revenue growth for fiscal consolidation. S&P upgraded India's sovereign rating outlook to positive, contingent on fiscal discipline
Dow closes at a one-month high as investors broaden portfolios
The Dow reached a one-month high, but the Nasdaq fell over 1% as investors shifted from AI-linked stocks. Federal Reserve rate cuts were anticipated, impacting market movements.
Market Moves: Ashi Anand’s take on Indian IT and auto sectors
Ashi Anand, Founder and CEO of IME Capital, provides an in-depth analysis of the Indian IT and auto sectors. Anand highlighted the persistent strength in deal wins across IT companies despite weaker-than-expected revenue growth, attributing this to reduced discretionary spending.
EC receives applications for EVM verification on 8 LS seats in 6 states
Eight candidates seek EVM chip verification post Lok Sabha results, rejected by Supreme Court; BJP's Sujay Vikhe-Patil seeks verification after losing to NCP's Nilesh Lanke; YSRCP and DMDK candidates also apply; verification in 92 polling stations; cost per EVM set Rs 47,200 plus GST; YSRCP and BJD candidates also apply for EVM check
Road construction down by 12.1% to 1288 km in the current financial year up to May 2024
As per the monthly update, released the ministry of road transport and highways (MoRTH) on Wednesday, the capital expenditure incurred during the period stood at Rs 57,925 crore till May 2024, which is 42.5% of the capital outlay under the vote on account provision for the first five months of 2024- 25.
What does Nigel Farage promise in his ‘contract’? Is it economically feasible?
The Reform UK Party promises to end all non-essential immigration and proposes steep cuts in personal income tax rates and other direct taxes. He is not expected to win the upcoming parliamentary elections in July.
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ETMarkets Smart Talk: Agri, consumer durable & insurance could be dark horse of FY25: Kush Gupta
Elections in the past have always led to sharp movements pre and post-event, but history has shown that the markets finally stabilize one to six months post-event.
Harsh Gupta Madhusudan on key indicators to monitor ahead of Budget
I think that there should be some more not exactly freebies or welfare, but something more attuned towards consumption and we were already seeing that even in the financial markets. I gave you the number of top line, the most obvious data point to check directly FMCG sales.
Modi 3.0: Growth sequel starring jobs, investment
The full budget, likely to be presented early in July, will detail specific measures toward this end. "The focus would be to promote labour-intensive growth that will create jobs, with continued emphasis on macroeconomic stability," a top government official aware of the details told ET. A host of measures on startups and taxation - including inverted duty structure correction, along with GST rate rationalisation - is under discussion, said the person cited above.
India has made huge strides, but the new govt still has a lot to do
The past decade in India has seen significant transformations in infrastructure, economic reforms, and digitization, laying the groundwork for sustained growth. The challenge for the new government is to maintain an 8%-plus growth rate and increase per capita income. To achieve this, private investment must drive growth, with investments rising to 32-35% of GDP. Scaling up manufacturing, outcome-oriented skill development, supporting women and youth entrepreneurs, reforming municipal governance, realizing tourism potential, accelerating R&D, and addressing urban challenges are key areas for action.
‘Make in India’ under a cloud takes shine off manufacturing
Investors sold manufacturing and infrastructure shares amid concerns over the BJP-led coalition government's performance in the elections, impacting stock indices and specific companies. Analysts suggest a cautious approach towards investments in these sectors.
View: Bye, Bye PSUs, Capex Plays
State-owned companies' valuations, capital expenditure beneficiaries, and Aatmanirbhar supporters face a downturn post electoral results, impacting markets. Midcap and smallcap indices plummet over 10% amid fears of excessive valuations. The market's euphoria pre-elections led to inflated valuations, especially in the defense sector.
At 5.6% of GDP, FY24 fiscal gap beats target
In absolute terms, the FY24 fiscal deficit stood at ?16.54 lakh crore, down from the revised estimate of ?17.35 lakh crore and FY23 level of ?17.38 lakh crore, showed the official data released on Friday. A lower-than-anticipated deficit in FY24 and a generous surplus transfer by RBI earlier this month make the government's goal of reining in fiscal gap at 5.1% of GDP in FY25 seem more realistic now, experts said.
Economists project continued economic momentum and stability after India reports robust GDP growth in Q4
India's economy experienced a 7.8% growth rate in the January-March quarter, surpassing expectations due to strong performance in the manufacturing sector. The GDP growth in the fourth quarter of FY24 was slightly lower than the revised 8.6% growth in the previous quarter. Economists are optimistic about sustained momentum throughout the year, with the gap between GDP and gross value added (GVA) expected to normalize from the second quarter of FY25.
India utilised 99.9% of its capex target in FY24
India has used Rs 9,48,506 crore in its capital expenditure in FY24, up from the revised estimate of Rs 9,49,555 crore. The government plans to narrow its fiscal deficit to 5.1% in FY25 from 5.8% in FY24. Private capex is expected to be an important driver of growth and job creation. India's GDP growth was 7.8% in Q4 of FY24, and the overall growth rate is now estimated to be 8.2%.
India's growth set to get more broad-based, says Morgan Stanley; pegs 6.8% for 2024
India's strong growth, driven by consumer and business spending, is expected to become more broad-based, according to Morgan Stanley. The global investment bank forecasts 6.8% growth in 2024, attributing it to global offshoring, digitalization, and energy transition. Retail inflation is at 4.83%, within RBI's comfort zone. S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on India to positive, citing robust economic growth and fiscal policies.
Dalal St is likely pricing in a Modi 3.0 but election winners already have a bitter household burden
India's stock market hit an all-time high last week, as investors anticipate a third term for Prime Minister Narendra Modi will boost corporate profits. However, consumer debt poses a significant risk. Slow wage growth, high interest rates, and heavy borrowing have strained spending for over 300 million families. Despite this, investors expect post-election growth in private capital expenditure and infrastructure projects
FY25 capital expenditure outlay may be hiked by 10%
India may increase FY25 capital expenditure by 8-10% from the ₹11.11 lakh crore vote on account allocation, boosted by better tax revenue and a record RBI surplus transfer. The full budget, awaited post-election results on June 4, could see a surge in spending, as per a senior official.
TV broadcasters hope ad revenues to bounce back in FY25, expect flat or degrowth in FY24
Top broadcasters like Star India, Sony Pictures Networks India, Zee Entertainment, and Sun TV Network saw ad revenue remaining flat or shrunk in FY24 due to the exit of new-age advertising and the shift of ad dollars to digital due to free cricket streaming by JioCinema and Disney+ Hotstar.
Sterling hits fresh 2-month high versus dollar ahead of inflation data
German inflation figures will be released on Wednesday and the wider euro zone's reading on Friday, along with the U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index - the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation.
India's GDP is USD 3.95 trillion, says Union Minister Hardeep Singh Puri
While speaking in Chandigarh on Sunday, Puri said, "As per the public data released by IMF, our GDP is USD 3.95 trillion, and we are in the fifth position. Japan is in the fourth position with a GDP of USD 4.1 trillion. If our growth rate is going on at 7-8 percent and Japan's is flat, it's a matter of a few months, if not a year, and our economy will reach fourth place."
GDP likely expanded 6.8% in Q4; FY24 print may hit 7.8%
The strong March quarter print could lift overall gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the full fiscal year to 7.8% against 7.6% assessed in the government's first advance estimates released in February. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has also forecast 7.8% growth for FY24. The government will release fourth-quarter growth numbers and provisional GDP data for FY24 on May 31.
Money matters in Indian elections but it is no guarantee for victory
Research on electoral funding provides interesting insights into the role of personal wealth on electoral outcomes. Money becomes less important when there is a wave. An important aspect of Indian elections is that ruling parties face anti-incumbency. Incumbents, because of their position, have more resources and money. But they are routinely defeated.
Here's why Anshul Saigal is bullish on manufacturing stocks
Now, we are in a phase today where we are close to, of course, election, markets have rallied before. So, clearly one has to be cautious but this is not a time to be sitting on cash because we really do not know what the event is going to throw up.
Should investors be contra buyers in IT? Rajeev Thakkar answers
In each bull market, there will be pockets of exuberance, but there will be some other pockets which will be out of favour and that is where we tend to look for opportunities.
Record-breaking election spending set to ignite rural demand, feel experts
Anticipation is high for the 2024 Lok Sabha polls with record-breaking expenditure projected. Industry experts foresee a boost in rural spending post-election, influencing the FMCG sector positively. Various factors are expected to drive economic growth in rural India.
2024 LS polls pegged as costliest ever, expenditure may touch Rs 1.35 lakh crore: Expert
PM Modi's BJP dominates the Rs 1.35 lakh crore 2024 Lok Sabha elections with notable spending circumvention and professional agency engagement like Dentsu Creative.
BJP election campaign: What the Google election ad spend indicates about the BJP
The BJP has emerged as the highest spender on Google ads among all political parties, splurging Rs 39 crore from January to April. The party ran 76,800 ads, focusing on promoting government schemes. With a goal of "Abki baar 400 paar" and strategic alliances, the BJP is leaving no stone unturned for the upcoming elections.
IT hardware sales may drop as govt pares expenditure
IT hardware sales in the commercial segment in the first half of the year are expected to be flat as compared to year-earlier levels of about 2.9 million units, a figure which was already comparatively weak.
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