EXPERT REACTIONS TO BUDGET 2024
What should be your investment strategy after elections?
Market volatility post Indian election triggered short-term turbulence, yet history shows eventual alignment with economic fundamentals. Resilient corporate earnings, infrastructure development and vigilant sector monitoring are emphasized for long-term strategic investments amidst fluctuating market conditions.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Reforms to attract FDI, simplification of tax regime & green energy likely in Budget 2024: Gurpreet Sidana
The positive trends in global markets, favourable domestic economic data, and optimism regarding corporate earnings growth have further bolstered market sentiment.
Budget 2024: Skilling industry demands incentives, tax rebates and labour codes in meeting with FM Sitharaman
Ahead of the Union Budget for 2024-25, the Union Minister of Finance and Corporate Affairs held the eighth Pre-Budget Consultation in New Delhi, focusing on employment and skill development. Key figures like Anshuman Magazine and Suchita Dutta emphasized the need for skilled workers and job readiness among graduates. Discussions also highlighted incentives for skill improvement and formal employment practices, including lowering GST rates for employment services. There were calls for greater inclusion of women in the workforce and the expansion of social security measures. Startups advocated for foreign language education to tap into global job markets.
Budget Preview: Govt could use part of RBI dividend to reduce fiscal deficit, says Motilal Oswal
A transfer of Rs 2.11 lakh crore by the RBI implies excess receipts of about Rs 1.5 lakh crore in FY25, the MOFSL note said. MOFSL sees the new government largely retaining its tax and non-debt capital receipt (including disinvestment) projections as presented during the interim Budget in February.
Indian Budget 2024: Jefferies sees affordable housing, capex-related businesses, consumer goods sectors getting the most benefit
Budget 2024 anticipates positive impacts on various sectors, with potential benefits for consumer goods and affordable housing. The budget may include tax cuts, interest subsidy reintroduction, and stable capital gains tax policies, fostering economic growth and fiscal prudence.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: We could see tweak in corporate & personal tax to boost consumption in Budget 2024: Samir Bahl
While the expectations on overall economic growth were unchanged, FED committee members increased their inflation forecast for 2024 and 2025 and hence in June 2024, Fed kept the interest rates unchanged at 5.50%.
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Union Finance Minster Nirmala Sitharaman chairs pre-budget meeting with state finance ministers
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman chaired a pre-budget meeting with state and union territories finance ministers at Bharat Mandapam for suggestions on the upcoming Union Budget, after previously consulting with economists and industry experts. She is set to chair the 53rd GST Council Meeting to discuss tax rates, policy modifications, and administrative challenges, crucial for shaping India's indirect tax system. The agenda for the meeting is yet to be disclosed.
How is the Budget prepared: Insights and expectations for this year
The Indian Union Budget preparation is a meticulous process overseen by the Ministry of Finance (MoF), involving NITI Aayog and other ministries. It begins around August-September, culminating in the February 1 presentation, in a non-General Election year. Defined by Article 112 of the Constitution, it forecasts revenues and expenditures, balancing fiscal prudence with developmental goals through circular issuance, revenue scrutiny, stakeholder consultations, allocation decisions, and the symbolic Halwa Ceremony.
Budget expectation of farm sector: Spotlight on agri research, fertiliser subsidy, climate fight in meeting with FM
Budget 2024 expectations: Experts at the meeting advocated for the consolidation of all agriculture-related subsidies for transfer through Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT) and proposed a hike in the retail price of urea, unchanged since 2018. They also emphasized promoting bio-fertilisers and foliar fertilisers through subsidies.
Budget 2024: D-Street captains urge FM Sitharaman to hike STT charges on high frequency traders
Every sale and purchase of equities listed on exchanges incurs a Securities Transaction Tax. The STT rate is 0.017% on options sales and 0.01% on futures sales. Additionally, a proposal to discourage retail investors from trading futures and options by imposing an additional tax was reportedly not discussed, according to ETNow sources.
Market to be volatile and move in a fairly tight range till Budget: Dinshaw Irani
Dinshaw Irani says that Helios has been so bullish on the financial sector that they brought out a first sector dedicated fund from the house of Helios which closed on June 14; it was a financial services fund. Anyway, Helios id loading up on that particular portion as such in the and fortunately most of the stocks are in the largecap space.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: July 2024 final Budget likely to be more populist, no tax changes expected: Aditya Khemka
However, post-election results and allocation of ministries to various candidates, it is perceived that there will be continuity in policy making and reforms may continue as earlier. This is fuelling the optimism.
Budget 2024 an opportunity for Nirmala Sitharaman to play some good shots
The Lok Sabha election results in India surprised many as they diverged from the exit polls. The focus now shifts to the Union Budget 2024, setting the economic tone for the future. All eyes will now be on Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Final Budget 2024 eyed! IT sector is currently a dark horse: Naveen Kulkarni
The policy framework will likely continue if the key personnel remain unchanged. However, if there are significant changes in the cabinet structure, the direction of policymaking could change.
India's retail inflation eases further in May; here's what experts say
India's retail inflation rate softens in May to a 12-month low of 4.75%, below RBI's 2-6% comfort level. Analysts foresee a potential rate cut if food inflation moderates and CPI inflation eases further.
Pakistan hikes defence budget by nearly 15 per cent in 2024-25
Pakistan announced a 15% increase in defence spending, reaching Rs 2,122 billion in the 2024-25 budget. Finance Minister Aurangzeb presented the budget in the National Assembly, the first under the PML-N and PPP coalition government.
Modi 3.0: How different will be the third Modi government
Narendra Modi is scheduled to take take oath for the third term as India's Prime Minister in a changed political landscape. Allies demand concessions, potentially affecting economic agenda. Expectations for populist budget with focus on welfare and rural areas, though concerns raised over economic impact. Reform agenda may face challenges due to weakened mandate, but continuity likely in infrastructure investment and business environment improvements.
Bond market happy with RBI cheque to govt; will wait for July Budget before any move: R Sivakumar
R Sivakumar shares insights on the government budget, interest rate regime, and investment strategies in light of RBI's dividend and market optimism. Sivakumar says the bond markets have not run away and that implies markets are going to wait for the final Budget before it makes sense to draw a longer-term trend from this data.
India Playbook 2024: Aiming for a trillion dollars in forex reserves by 2029
India's economic trajectory for global investments is driven by stable macroeconomic environment, robust earnings growth, and significant contributions from software services and remittances. Inclusion in MSCI EM index and prominent Emerging Market Bond indices enhances India's investment landscape.
Swaminathan Aiyar wonders how RBI managed to give Rs 2.1 lakh cr dividend to govt, says it will make a huge difference to July Budget
Finance Minister aims to reduce fiscal deficit from 5.8% to 4.5% in two years, relying on non-revenue RBI transfer. This strategy facilitates reaching 5.1% deficit this year. Challenges remain in sustaining revenue deficit reductions alongside fiscal targets. Aiyar says it is not very clear at this point what has resulted in this rise in the RBI dividend. Once we have greater clarity on that, we will be able to find out what are the consequences for different parts of the economy.
'Stock market rally' from June 4, predicts PM Modi: Should stock, mutual fund, gold investors tweak portfolios before Lok Sabha election results?
Lok Sabha election results 2024: Prime Minister Narendra Modi said that the stock market would have a rally once the election results are out. A few days back, Union Home Minister Amit Shah asked investors to buy the dip before June 4, 2024, as the market will shoot up after that. Now the question is what should investors do till the election results are out? Is it time to accumulate more stocks or avoid the volatility and play it safe? Find out here
In another 10 years, India would save $5-6 trillion every year, give birth to Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch and JPMorgans: Raamdeo Agrawal
Raamdeo Agrawal envisions a transformative journey for India's economy, with a surge in savings fueling the emergence of major financial institutions and driving growth across various sectors, including autos and capital markets.
A good monsoon, continuity of political setup and capex boom to keep us in good shape for next 12 months: Raamdeo Agrawal
Raamdeo Agrawal predicts BJP's Lok Sabha success, NDA gains, and current government continuity. Foreign investors sell billion daily due to election risk, causing market turbulence. Market bets on continuity for corporate earnings.
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