FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK
Asian stocks climb, Yen rallies off historic lows: Markets wrap
Investors await US jobs report and British election outcome. Unemployment rate expected to remain steady. Chicago Fed President comments on interest rates.
US Independence Day 2024: Will stock markets stay open on Fourth of July?
Fourth of July celebrations are just on the brink, and people in the US are in a rather jovial mood due to all the festive plans and events around this occasion of US Independence Day 2024. However, this day being a federal holiday, will see some major operations staying closed.
US stocks back at records while European bourses retreat
Wall Street equity indices advanced to fresh records Tuesday as markets embraced commentary from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while European bourses retreated on unease about upcoming French elections. But bourses in Paris and Frankfurt both retreated amid concerns about the potential economic fallout should the far right win power in France in weekend elections.
Inflation is down in Europe. But the European Central Bank is in no hurry to make more rate cuts
In June, inflation in the eurozone fell slightly to 2.5%, above the European Central Bank's target. The ECB remains cautious about adding more rate cuts after a recent reduction. Inflation is expected to remain between 2% and 3%. ECB President Lagarde emphasizes the need to control inflation before further rate cuts. The economy faces challenges with high rates impacting credit-sensitive sectors like real estate.
Asia shares subdued as inflation, politics loom large
Asia shares subdued awaiting U.S. price data for inflation cues. Markets cautious of Japanese intervention as dollar tests 160 yen level. Geopolitical events like U.S. debate and French election add uncertainty.
5 world market themes for the week ahead
Central bank decisions in Britain, Switzerland, and Norway will show the rate cutting trend, while retail sales data from the US and China will indicate consumer health. Europe gears up for the Euros 2024 tournament in Germany. Investors are monitoring cocoa supply issues in Ivory Coast, Ghana, and other countries like Brazil.
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Asian stocks slide, yen wobbles ahead of BOJ verdict
Asian stocks fell as investors reacted to U.S. rate outlook post Federal Reserve's tempered views. Yen was shaky ahead of Bank of Japan meeting.
D-St benchmarks settle at new peaks! Sensex rises 204 points; Nifty tops 23,350
Indian equity benchmarks reached new highs driven by US rate-sensitive IT stocks following softer-than-expected US inflation data, fueling anticipation of earlier interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Asian stocks build on Wall St records after US inflation data
Asian traders extended a rally across world markets Thursday as they welcomed figures showing US inflation slowed further last month, tempering concerns about the Federal Reserve's forecast of just one interest rate cut this year. However, the Fed later in the day released its keenly awaited "dot plot" outlook for interest rates, which showed that decision-makers saw just one cut this year -- down from three predicted in its previous guidance in March.
Dollar or other currencies? How the US is daring the world to find a dollar alternative
The United States is challenging its own foundations as the world's reserve currency with attacks on the legal system following Donald Trump's conviction. Despite growing consternation, no credible alternative has emerged. The dollar's dominance stems from U.S. democratic principles, but threats loom as sanctions and political turmoil test its credibility.
ECB jumps ahead of Fed, cuts interest rate by 25 bps for first time since 2019
ECB raises inflation forecast for 2024, 2025. Analysts say the quarter-point cut on Thursday would likely not usher in a swift series of further cuts as the bank waits to make sure inflation is under control while easing credit to help the economy. While inflation at an annual rate of 2.6% in May is well down from the peak of 10.6% in October 2022, the decline has slowed in recent months and inflation even ticked up slighly from 2.4% in April.
Asia stocks rally as rate cut bets gather momentum; ECB in focus
Asian shares rose on Fed rate cut expectations and ECB meeting. Oil prices climbed, Treasury yields fell. Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan gained 1.14%, led by tech stocks.
Juneteenth 2024 date, history: Is it federal holiday? Are New York Stock Exchange, banks, postal services closed?
Juneteenth holiday is nearing and it will be observed on Wednesday, June 19. It is a federal holiday.
US Fed's favored inflation measure remains unchanged in April
The US Federal Reserve's key inflation gauge, the PCE price index, remained steady in April, indicating that interest rates are likely to stay high throughout the summer. Services prices, a major factor, remained elevated. The current inflation trend reduces the likelihood of early rate cuts and complicates President Joe Biden's reelection message on the economy. Despite expectations of moderating inflation later in the year, Fed officials, like New York Fed President John Williams, see no urgency in changing policy now. Personal income eased slightly in April, with personal savings remaining steady.
Fed officials see inflation falling, signal no rush to cut rates
Federal Reserve's John Williams believes monetary policy is restrictive, aiming to bring inflation down to the 2% target.
Fed's Williams says he doesn't feel urgency to cut rates right now
Williams stated that the economy's behavior over the past year provides ample evidence that monetary policy is restrictive in a way that helps achieve their goals. He made these remarks in the text of a speech prepared for delivery before a gathering of the Economic Club of New York.
Bond yields climb, stocks under pressure as Fed cut doubts resurface
U.S. Treasury yields rose, impacting global markets. Crude oil climbed ahead of the OPEC+ meeting. Improved U.S. consumer confidence added uncertainty to Fed rate cut expectations.
Asia shares drift after rally, Wall Street reopen in focus
Asian shares mixed after rallying, with rising bets of European rate cut and key inflation data boosting risk appetite. Wall Street futures firm ahead of U.S. market reopening after holiday.
Dollar down on profit taking but upbeat outlook remains
The dollar slipped against major currencies on Friday, but remains well-placed for further advances supported by strong U.S. economic data. Markets dial back expectations for interest rate cuts as U.S. business activity accelerates and input prices surge, prompting a debate among policymakers on inflation control.
Asia stocks weaken on the patient approach to rate cuts
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.57%. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index was one of the biggest decliners, slumping 0.8%, also hurt by a pullback in some commodity prices.
Dollar up as traders await Fed clues; sterling rises
Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Tuesday said he would need to see several more months of good inflation data before he would be comfortable supporting rate cuts.
Asia stocks edge up on Nvidia hopes, NZ dollar jumps
Markets are braced for fireworks when Nvidia reports after the bell, with options priced for a swing of 8.7% in either direction, worth $200 billion in market value.
Dollar consolidates as Fed urges patience; markets await meeting minutes
Investors have been shoring up rate cut bets after a milder inflation reading last week boosted expectations for U.S. rate cuts this year.
Asia shares touch two-year top as China plans property boost
Brent crude futures touched a one-week high of $84.14 a barrel in early trade, with the crash, in heavy fog, of a helicopter carrying Iran's president drawing traders' attention to the Middle East. Gold hovered close to a record high at $2,423 an ounce.
Gold rallies on rate cut expectations amid US economy slowdown
Spot gold rose on Friday despite US inflation data, anticipating rate cuts amid a weakening US economy. US CPI and PPI Final demand were below forecasts. US Fed Chair Powell remains optimistic about inflation. US Philadelphia Fed business outlook was below expectations. Fed officials hold varying views on rate adjustments.
Asian stocks ease on uncertainty over timing of U.S. rate cuts
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.14% after touching a two-year high on Thursday. The index was still set for an increase of 2.6% this week for its fourth straight week of gains.
Fed remains cautious on cuts even as data improves
"I don't see any indicators now telling me ... there's a reason to change the stance of monetary policy now," Williams said in an interview with Reuters, adding that he did not expect the case for a rate cut to fall into place "in the very near term."
Gold prices flat ahead of key US inflation data
Americans last month braced for generally higher inflation pressures over the next few years and accelerating home price increases, according to a report by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
S&P 500 barely changes as investors hold tight ahead of inflation data
A Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey, released on Monday, found that Americans see inflation at 3.3% a year from now from March's 3% while they expect inflation three years from now at 2.8%. This followed a University of Michigan report on Friday that showed U.S. consumer sentiment sagged to a six-month low in May as households worried about the cost of living.
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