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    INDIA GOVERNMENT BOND MARKET

    Jobs, inflation data may break the US Treasury market out of narrow range

    Bond market trends are closely tied to Powell's testimony, economic indicators, and Treasury yield movements. Factors like the recent Australia inflation rebound, central bank actions, and insights from Macquarie Group are key considerations for investors navigating market uncertainties.

    No Friday blockbuster for bonds on JPM index

    Indian bonds debuted in JP Morgan's GBI-EM global index suite on Friday, with the country expected to reach a maximum weight of 10% in the GBI-EM Global Diversified Index over a 10-month period. JP Morgan's analysts expect foreign investment worth $20-25 billion to flow to the local bond market from the move.

    Rate sensitivity on the rise in PSB portfolios

    "The AFS (available for sale) portfolio's sensitivity (PV01) increased for PSBs (public sector banks) and FBs (foreign banks) since September 2023, while it declined for PVBs (private banks)," the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said in its June 2024 Financial Stability Report.

    007 Effect! JPMorgan bond inclusion can attract $2-3 billion monthly FII inflows into India

    Since October 2023, non-residents have invested nearly $15 billion in Indian government bonds, including $5 billion through USD-settled, INR-denominated supranational bonds. Starting from Friday, passive fund inclusion will begin at a rate of 1% per month, leading to total inflows of $25-30 billion by the time full weightage is reached.

    What JP Morgan bond index inclusion means for India's economic future? Jayesh Mehta answers

    This is significant, as you mentioned—it's a notable event. The only caveat is that this recognition of India should have come much earlier, but finally, India has been acknowledged.

    India a very attractive destination for fixed income investors: Vikas Goel

    So, obviously, we are still underrepresented. So, compared to, say, a similar economy like Indonesia, etc., we will go from 2.5% to about 4% I think after the inclusion which is fairly-fairly insignificant even if we compare it to our equity markets where foreign investment is much-much higher as a proportion of total investment.

    • Gilts to shine brighter from tomorrow

      JP Morgan will include 27 fully accessible Indian government bonds in its GBI-EM global index suite starting June 28, allowing global investors to deploy funds in these bonds.

      Rate cut hopes, inclusion in JPM index fuel ‘FOMO’ trades in GSecs

      Indian sovereign debt players bond with bonds following Mint Road's move to decelerate rate-increase drive and JPMorgan's recognition. CCIL data shows a 40% increase in monthly trades, reaching ₹8.6 lakh crore in 2023.

      RBI using forex market tools to ease liquidity tightness

      RBI uses forex tools to inject cash into banking system ahead of large outflows due to advance tax payments, keeping borrowing costs low and increasing reserves without impacting inflation-fighting stance.

      Game's Bond, Electoral Bond: Two reforms that India's new government should undertake

      All political funding should be routed transparently through electronic means, via UPI, IMPS, Neft or RTGS. Let parties crowdfund themselves. In a democracy, money should move from the people to their parties, not from politicians to voters.

      Green flavour not enticing enough for bond investors

      Green bonds in India face challenges due to the absence of financial institutions focusing on green financing and investors enthusiastic about environment protection. Follow-up issuances have dried up a year after the first government green bond sale.

      Simplifying personal finance: What is bond yield?

      If you are confused or confounded by personal finance terms, jargon and calculations, here’s a new series to simplify and deconstruct these for you. In the second part of this series, Riju Mehta explains bond yield and how it is calculated.

      Learn with ETMarkets: Seasonality in the stock market: Identifying and trading seasonal patterns

      Understanding the Yield Curve is crucial for investors to predict economic shifts. It tracks returns on Indian Government Bonds for different timeframes. Yield Curve Inversion, when short-term bonds offer higher returns than long-term bonds, is a warning sign of a potential recession.

      Bonds, rupee stage strong rebound on poll outlook

      Government bond yields closed at their lowest in over two years, and the rupee saw its largest single-day gain since December, driven by exit polls predicting a strong NDA victory in the general elections.

      RBI to conduct buyback auction of government bonds worth Rs 30,000 crore

      The RBI, which is the Centre’s debt manager, will carry out the auction in which banks and other bond market participants can buy back five government securities, the central bank said on Monday. One of the securities matures this month while another one matures in July. Three of the securities will mature in November.

      Indian rupee, bonds expected to rally after exit polls signal Modi victory

      The Indian rupee and government bonds are likely to strengthen following exit polls favoring Prime Minister Narendra Modi's National Democratic Alliance, potentially boosting market sentiment.

      RBI, govt accept no bids at first sovereign green bond auction of FY25

      With the Centre sitting on a considerable cash surplus at the moment, it had likely opted to cancel the green bond auction than settle for a lack of a premium, or “greenium” at the auction. The government had planned to raise Rs 6,000 crore through 10-year green bonds at Friday’s auction.

      Govt bond buybacks continue to face weak participation

      At Thursday’s buyback auction of government bonds, the RBI accepted bids worth Rs 5,111.29 crore versus the notified amount of Rs 40,000 crore worth of securities that the Centre had offered to repurchase, latest central bank data showed.

      Goldman sees India's stocks, bonds and rupee as top emerging market picks

      Strong earnings growth is supporting the share market, while the country’s inclusion in international indexes, stronger government finances, and slowing inflation favor fixed income, analysts led by Kamakshya Trivedi, Danny Suwanapruti and Sunil Koul wrote in a note.

      India likely to cut borrowing on narrow spending window

      Mirae Asset Investment Managers India Pvt. predicts a potential reduction in India's borrowings this fiscal year due to the national elections narrowing the spending window by about three months. Lower bond sales could decrease borrowing costs for the government and companies, potentially boosting economic growth in the third-largest Asian economy.

      Foreigners boost India corporate debt buying before govt bond index inclusion

      Foreign investors show increasing interest in Indian rupee-denominated corporate debt ahead of the inclusion of Indian government securities in a global bond index, expecting passive inflows of around $25 billion. Recent data highlights purchases in corporate bonds, interest in launching ETFs, and robust demand for dollar bonds.

      Sovereign yield falls to near 1-year low post RBI's dividend payout

      The yield on the 10-year benchmark government security closed at 6.978%, its lowest level since June 6, 2023, LSEG data showed. The 10-year bond yield had closed at 6.98% on Friday. Bond prices and yields move inversely.

      10-year bond yield falls to near-one-year low on RBI’s record surplus dividend transfer to govt

      A fall in government bond yields lowers borrowing costs across the economy as sovereign debt yields are the benchmarks for determining price of corporate borrowing.

      India's long-term bonds attract foreign investors as JPMorgan index inclusion nears

      Overseas investors are buying longer-duration Indian government bonds in anticipation of inclusion in JPMorgan's emerging market debt index, expecting significant passive flows. Bonds with maturities of 10 years and more, notably the 7.18% 2033 and 7.30% 2053, have attracted foreign ownership amidst net selling of government bonds in recent weeks.

      Indian bonds continue positive drift; benchmark yield stays below 7%

      Indian government bond yields trading lower on hopes of central bank's surplus transfer improving fiscal position. Benchmark 10-year yield at 6.9924% on Monday, down from previous close of 6.9988%.

      India’s index-eligible bonds set for best performance in a year

      Indian government bonds set for inclusion in JPMorgan Chase & Co. index demonstrate strong performance with foreign inflows surging post record central bank payout. Analysts view IGBs as attractive despite yield drops, suggesting potential in swaps.

      Indian 10-year bond yield at near 1-year low post record surplus transfer by RBI

      Indian government bond yields declined to a near one-year low after the central bank approved a record surplus transfer of 2.11 trillion rupees to the government, improving demand in Indian debt markets. Alok Singh from CSB Bank mentioned that the 10-year yield should move below 7% soon.

      Despite offer of new securities, govt bond buybacks yet to come to life

      At the buyback auction on Tuesday, the RBI accepted bids worth Rs 5,266.04 crore as against the aggregate notified amount of Rs 60,000 crore worth of bonds that the government had offered to repurchase.

      Why did the RBI reject most bids in the bond buyback programme?

      India's sovereign bond market buzzes with the Reserve Bank of India's buyback operation, easing debt repayment pressure and lowering interest costs. The operation injects liquidity into the banking system, influencing monetary policy and interest rate decisions.

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