INTEREST RATE ENVIRONMENT
Not politics, not interest rates: India's surging economy at risk from water
India is facing a growing water crisis, with the country's growing water stress potentially impacting its growth. The country's growing water stress could affect agricultural production and industrial operations, leading to food inflation and declines in income for affected businesses and workers, especially farmers. Contaminated water kills about 200,000 Indians each year, and the government is focusing on conserving the resource, recycling waste water, and reducing the country's over-reliance on the annual monsoon, especially in the agricultural sector.
Fund Manager Talk | Higher interest rates for longer periods can upset bull market: Mihir Vora
Over the short to medium term ie: next 1-2 years, the markets would focus on earnings delivery as there is limited upside from valuations. Retail investors continue to invest regularly providing long-term support to the markets. We believe that his combination of fundamentals and liquidity will anchor a bull-market in stocks.
It's going to be good after it gets quieter
Companies no longer have the pricing power they had in the immediate aftermath of the pandemic when consumption demand was roaring. That has now played out in manufacturing and services. The growth from here on should be more sedate, building on the economy's post-Covid revival. The markets are yet to price in this moderation, and some froth may be removed once the volatility around the election results settles.
Confident of achieving growth of more than 15%: Umesh Revankar, Shriram Finance
RBI is more focused on the unsecured loan disbursement where the usage is unknown. But where the usage is known, where it is going for business, there RBI and government both have been encouraging.
How cheap are electric vehicle (EV) loans? This depends on two factors
EV loan interest rates: For electric passenger vehicles, the rates are competitive with internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles and sometimes even lower. However, for electric two-wheelers, the rates tend to be consistently higher, varying based on the brand and the customer's credit profile.
Banking return on assets to dip 10-20 bps: Crisil
Return on assets (RoA) of banks, after hitting a 20-year high in the previous year, is forecasted to ease to 1.1-1.2% in the current fiscal year, according to Crisil Ratings. The moderation is attributed to higher deposit costs impacting net interest margins. Credit costs are expected to stabilize, supporting overall profitability as non-performing assets decrease.
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China central bank boss says no major stimulus to boost economy
The country's recovery from the impact of Covid has slowed in the months since it abruptly lifted tough restrictions in late 2022, with a property crisis and tepid consumer demand weighing on growth.
Rate cut hopes, inclusion in JPM index fuel ‘FOMO’ trades in GSecs
Indian sovereign debt players bond with bonds following Mint Road's move to decelerate rate-increase drive and JPMorgan's recognition. CCIL data shows a 40% increase in monthly trades, reaching ₹8.6 lakh crore in 2023.
Wall Street Week Ahead: Retail stocks search for direction as rates stay high
Elevated U.S. interest rates are impacting the U.S. retail sector, with some stocks soaring while others struggle. The S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary index is up 14%, driven by select stocks, like , which is up 21%. However, lower-income focused companies, like Dollar Tree and Dollar General, have faced declines.
Understanding the rate of interest against gold loans in 2024
Get quick access to funds of up to Rs. two crore at interest rates starting at just 9.50% p.a. with Bajaj Finserv Gold Loan.
Credit growth in India healthy; deflation risks persist in China: Chetan Ahya
But the challenge we feel is that the structural issue of slowdown in demand because of property sector is still exerting deflationary pressures and in that environment as they are trying to support real growth with more manufacturing investments, it is resulting into excess capacities and continuing to have that inflation in a weaker trajectory.
How will emerging markets perform going ahead? Ed Yardeni answers
But I think interest rates have actually normalised. They are normal. They are back to where they should be. The 10-year bond yield in the United States should be between 4% and 5%, that is where it was before the Great Financial Crisis and so I think we are just seeing normalisation in the financial markets and the stock market has demonstrated that it can certainly tolerate these levels of interest rates as long as the economy can do so and so far, so good.
Should you buy a house now before property prices soar or wait for home loan interest rates to drop?
A favourable wealth effect, driven by a sharp rise in the equity markets, is enticing many first-time homebuy ers to take the plunge, while affluent buyers are looking for second homes. If you are a fence-sitter, still unsure about when to buy a house, this market presents a big dilemma. Is it the right time to buy a house?
Should you buy a house now or rent it? Key factors that will help you to decide
While property market dynamics play a big role in effecting this decision, equally important is your personal financial situation and lifestage. There are other factors to consider. If you are thinking of buying a house, here the key things you need to check.
RBI's proposed digital payments intelligence platform will mitigate frauds, say experts
The Reserve Bank's proposal to establish a digital payments intelligence platform aims to combat fraud and enhance consumer trust. A committee led by A P Hota will assess the creation of this platform, leveraging advanced technologies to mitigate payment fraud risks.
US stocks close slightly lower; jobs data strong but rates still high
Wall Street stocks ended slightly lower on Friday after strong U.S. jobs data raised concerns about the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. The Labor Department reported 272,000 jobs in May, exceeding expectations, with a 4% unemployment rate.
Oil drops over $1 as OPEC+ decision spotlights shaky demand
Oil prices fell more than $1 on Tuesday on scepticism about an OPEC+ decision to boost supply later this year into a global market where demand has already shown signs of weakness.
OPEC+ extends major oil production cuts until 2025 to stabilise market
OPEC+ has announced an extension of its substantial oil production cuts into 2025, aiming to stabilise the market amid sluggish demand growth, elevated interest rates, and increasing U.S. oil production. The group will maintain its current reduction of 5.86 million barrels per day (bpd), with specific cuts being extended and gradually phased out.
Top stocks to buy: Bet on companies with healthy net profit margins to remain versatile during uncertain market conditions
The markets are expected to rally if the election results align with expectations. Nonetheless, persistent macro issues and valuation concerns may constrain the upside potential. Analysts suggest that investors capitalise on the current volatility by accumulating quality stocks.
RBI unlikely to cut interest rate on June 7, say experts
The Reserve Bank of India is unlikely to cut the benchmark interest rate in its upcoming monetary policy review amid inflation challenges and improving economic growth. Scheduled for June 5-7, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is expected to maintain the current 6.5% repo rate. Experts cite steady economic conditions and ongoing inflation concerns as reasons for maintaining the status quo
Oil prices steady ahead of US stocks data, OPEC+ meeting
Both benchmarks are headed for monthly losses, with Brent futures on track for a decline of more than 5% from last month, while WTI was poised for a slide of over 3.5%.
Salesforce plummets 18% as weak forecast sparks concerns of AI competition
Salesforce shares slumped about 18% on Thursday, after its lowest-ever quarterly revenue growth forecast raised fears that high interest rates and rival AI offerings were hampering demand at the cloud-based software firm.
RBI MPC meeting next week: What investors should expect
The RBI's upcoming MPC meeting on June 7, 2024, is expected to maintain interest rates amidst a stable inflation scenario post Lok Sabha election results. The focus will be on global and domestic factors impacting the economy.
Fed's Waller ponders future path of underlying interest rates
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Friday it's possible that a key underlying interest rate that influences the potency of monetary policy may rise in the future after years of declines, but it's too soon to say if that will happen.
ITC share price targets go well beyond Rs 500 after Q4 results. Should you buy, sell or hold?
ITC's Q4 results disappoint investors, shares drop nearly 1% to Rs 437.85. Brokerages raise target prices up to Rs 540. Citi sets target at Rs 515, warns of regulatory impact. Morgan Stanley targets Rs 506, CLSA at Rs 470. Motilal Oswal sees defensive potential, Kotak trims EPS, targets Rs 465. JM Financial holds highest target of Rs 540, emphasizes on cigarette volume growth and capital allocation strategy for rerating.
Understanding the impact of gold loan interest rates with Bajaj Finance
Get quick access to funds up to Rs. 2 crore with interest rates starting at just 9.50% p.a.
Best corporate bond mutual funds to invest in May 2024
There are no changes in the recommendation list this month. If you are investing in these schemes, you can relax and continue with your investments. Follow our monthly updates regularly.
Best banking & PSU mutual funds to invest in May 2024
Mutual fund advisors say banking & PSU debt schemes are ‘relatively’ safe because these schemes invest only in bonds and papers of banks and public sector companies. Since most of these entities are government-backed, they don’t have the credit risk.
Navigating economic horizons: RBI's role in FY 2024-2025
RBI's nuanced approach in FY 2024-2025 balances growth, inflation, and stability. Expect cautious yet proactive policy rates. Strategic reserves, global index inclusion, and fiscal discipline shape India's economic landscape.
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