JP MORGAN
India inclusion in JP Morgan Bond index from Friday, $25-30 bn flow expected. What it means
India's inclusion in the J.P. Morgan GBI-EM Global Series is set to attract significant inflows, increase EM Asia's weight, and bolster non-resident participation in the local bond market. With the potential for $25-30 billion inflows, the move marks a pivotal moment for India's fixed-income market.
Gilts to shine brighter from tomorrow
JP Morgan will include 27 fully accessible Indian government bonds in its GBI-EM global index suite starting June 28, allowing global investors to deploy funds in these bonds.
Bond Street to see $2-3 billion foreign inflows a month after inclusion in JP Morgan Index
"We have a different profile spread across clients. There are real money clients who may be investing in India off-benchmark. Then there will be the passive index trackers who will be the regular ones coming each month and we may see some large allocations come in intermittently. So, around $2-3 billion per month is what we expect," Parul Mittal Sinha, head - financial markets, India & co-head, macro trading, ASA, Standard Chartered Bank, told ET.
FPIs’ G-Sec purchases cross $10-billion mark
Nine months after JP Morgan announced the inclusion of Indian government debt in its emerging markets index, foreign portfolio investors have increased their ownership of sovereign bonds by over $10 billion. The influx of funds is expected to continue as India's index weightage grows.
JPMorgan says foreign holdings of Indian bonds could double over next year
JP Morgan's inclusion of Indian bonds in the GBI-EM Global index suite is expected to attract $20-25 billion in foreign flows. Over $10 billion has already been invested in Indian government bonds, as per Reserve Bank of India data.
Derivative products on Indian bonds see strong global demand
Overseas investors are flocking to Indian assets through a derivative product ahead of government bond inclusion in the JPMorgan index, accounting for 30% of $10 billion flows into local debt in nine months.
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Vodafone Idea's Indus stake sale could speed up repayments to towerco, which may issue dividend: JP Morgan
Vodafone Group's potential stake sale in Indus Towers may generate $2.3 billion in cashflows, prompting accelerated repayment to vendors and a special dividend to shareholders. The sale could clear past dues and benefit Vodafone Plc's lenders. An equity infusion might lead to a special dividend in FY25 for Indus Towers.
Rate cut hopes, inclusion in JPM index fuel ‘FOMO’ trades in GSecs
Indian sovereign debt players bond with bonds following Mint Road's move to decelerate rate-increase drive and JPMorgan's recognition. CCIL data shows a 40% increase in monthly trades, reaching ₹8.6 lakh crore in 2023.
Forex reserves soar to a new high of $655.8 billion as on June 7
The Reserve Bank of India's foreign exchange reserves reached a record high of $655.8 billion for the second consecutive week, driven by foreign currency assets rising $3.7 billion to $576.3 billion. The increase was likely due to the RBI's dollar purchases after the rupee appreciated. Foreign portfolio investors have deployed $7.11 billion in Indian debt so far this year, ahead of the JP Morgan bond index inclusion.
How labour party’s election vows stack up for UK markets
Labour party unveils manifesto to control debt, boost homebuilding, and upgrade infrastructure. UK stocks and sterling rally ahead of election.
Asian stocks build on Wall St records after US inflation data
Asian traders extended a rally across world markets Thursday as they welcomed figures showing US inflation slowed further last month, tempering concerns about the Federal Reserve's forecast of just one interest rate cut this year. However, the Fed later in the day released its keenly awaited "dot plot" outlook for interest rates, which showed that decision-makers saw just one cut this year -- down from three predicted in its previous guidance in March.
FPIs take out Rs 14,800cr from equities in Jun on poll results, attractive Chinese stock valuations
Foreign investors withdrew nearly Rs 14,800 crore from domestic stocks in the first week of this month, influenced by India's Lok Sabha election results and attractive valuations of Chinese stocks.
Insurers lap up GSec derivatives to manage liabilities
Global funds and insurers are showing strong demand for Indian government bonds, particularly ahead of their inclusion in a JP Morgan index. Insurers are increasingly interested in Bond Forward Rate Agreements (Bond-FRA) to manage long-term liabilities, with significant trading activity reported by Clearing Corporation of India (CCIL).
How will Sensex perform 1 month after election results? Here’s what past suggests
Equity markets react negatively to Lok Sabha election results, but bounce back post 5 days and 1 month. Past data shows Sensex stabilizing and gaining after elections, with small and midcaps outperforming large caps. Benchmark returns stabilize post general elections regardless of counting day performance. JM Financial notes positive market returns on sectoral basis 6 months post results.
HUL, Dabur among 25 stocks in JP Morgan’s ‘overweight’ India portfolio after election results
JP Morgan categorized 25 stocks as 'overweight' post the Lok Sabha election results. It recommend positioning for potential spot-up and volatility-down scenarios
Macro policy choices unclear, but work cut out on reforms agenda
In FY24, nominal GDP grew 9.6%, CPI inflation recorded 5.4%, and real GDP growth was estimated at 8.2%.
Bonds, rupee stage strong rebound on poll outlook
Government bond yields closed at their lowest in over two years, and the rupee saw its largest single-day gain since December, driven by exit polls predicting a strong NDA victory in the general elections.
Water scarcity an opportunity to solution providers: JP Morgan
Water scarcity in India presents opportunities for companies offering solutions, according to a J.P. Morgan report. India has 18% of the world’s population but only 4% of its freshwater. Key companies like Larsen & Toubro, Voltas, and Thermax are improving water efficiency and availability. The agriculture sector faces high groundwater exploitation, with the north-west region at critical risk. Additionally, 40% of power plants are in water-scarce areas, stressing the need for innovations like solar PV to reduce reliance on freshwater.
United Spirits shares rally 3% after Q4 results. Should you buy, sell or hold?
United Spirits (USL) shares experienced a 3% surge on the BSE. This increase came after the company announced a significant rise in consolidated net profit, which doubled to Rs 241 crore for the March quarter.
JP Morgan maintains overweight rating on LIC post Q4 results, sees 29% upside
JP Morgan maintains 'Overweight' rating on LIC post Q4 results, setting target price of Rs 1,340. LIC's market share growth and strong earnings drive stock performance.
FPIs take out Rs 22,000 crore from equities in May amid poll jitters, Chinese mkt outperformance
Foreign investors have pulled out a massive Rs 22,000 crore from Indian equities so far this month, due to uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Lok Sabha elections and outperformance of Chinese markets.
Sun Pharma shares tumble 5% but brokerages raise target up to Rs 1,785. Should you buy, sell or hold?
In Thursday's trading session on the BSE, shares of Sun Pharmaceutical Industries declined by 5%, reaching the day's low of Rs 1,467. This drop occurred despite the company reporting a 34% year-on-year (YoY) increase in its Q4 profit to Rs 2,654.6 crore, with revenue rising by 10.1% YoY to Rs. 11,813 crore in Q4FY24.
HSBC and StanChart step up GIFT City play, buy stakes in CCIL-IFSC
"Being the global bank that we are, what we do, therefore, is connect India to the rest of the world and connect the rest of the world to India and GIFT is clearly onshoring what was happening offshore," HSBC India CEO Hitendra Dave told ET.
Global bond play: With depth will come volatility, too
Vikas Jain, head of India trading, fixed-income, currencies and commodities at Bank of America, said as foreign investment in Indian bonds heads toward the 10% weight on the JP Morgan bond index next year, the process of discretionary weighting changes would start to play out, creating a more complex trading environment.
Global fund KKR puts Lighthouse on the Block, eyes $1.2 billion valuation
KKR & Co is set to sell its education portfolio in India, Lighthouse Learning, with a valuation of $1-1.2 billion. The group operates over 1,350 pre-schools and 45 schools, attracting interest from global educational institutions and PE funds. Lighthouse has seen increasing student numbers and revenue growth, with expectations to reach Rs 1000-1200 crore by fiscal year 2024.
Need to think about capital markets reforms 2.0 to meet needs of growing economy: CEA
Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran called for capital market reforms 2.0 at the CII Annual Business Summit, emphasizing India's upcoming inclusion in JP Morgan and Bloomberg bond indices and the importance of managing foreign flows.
Apollo Tyres shares jump 7% post Q4 results. Should you buy or sell?
Apollo Tyres' shares rose by 7% to Rs 508 in Thursday's trading session on the BSE, despite the company posting modest financial results for the March quarter of FY24. Although the firm reported a 13.7% year-on-year (YoY) decrease in net profit, amounting to Rs 354 crore compared to Rs 410.3 crore in the same quarter last year, brokerage firms maintained a largely optimistic outlook on the stock.
Airtel trades higher amidst high data user addition in Q4
In morning trade, the stock had given up some gains by trading up 0.3% at Rs1289.15, after touching an intraday high of Rs1312.80 on the BSE.
Are US interest rates high enough to beat inflation? The Fed will take its time to find out
The sharp interest rate hikes of the past two years will likely take longer than previously expected to bring down inflation, several Federal Reserve officials have said in recent comments, suggesting there may be few, if any, rate cuts this year.
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