MONETARY POLICY STANCE
Has the global economic environment turned favourable for equities?
Global economy's resilience amidst crises led to surprising growth stability and inflation control. Potential trade war threats loom, while equity markets soar to record highs, indicating positive economic outlook.
India central bank policymakers divided over rate-growth debate
Internal members maintain hawkish stance on inflation, with Governor Das cautioning against hasty actions for fear of worsening the situation
US PMI data triggers sharp decline in gold prices
Gold prices surged to a two-week high of $2,366 following a second rate cut by the Swiss National Bank and weaker US data. Traders anticipate a move by the US Federal Reserve, especially after the European Central Bank's rate cut.
Real repo rate too high and could hurt growth, said MPC dissenters
The two external members of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) who had pushed for a 25 basis point rate cut at the June 7 meeting, Ashima Goyal and JR Varma, said the real repo rate at 2% was too high and could hurt growth, according to the minutes released by the central bank on Friday.
RBI MPC minutes: Panelists flag incoming impact of 'exceptionally' warm summers on food inflation
The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee members raised concerns about inflation pressures due to "exceptionally" warm summers, impacting perishable goods and crop output, as per their latest meeting minutes. RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das expects retail inflation to moderate to 4.5% in FY25 but warns of near-term challenges.
India's world-beating growth pace to continue, says RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das
"In the first three quarters of 2023-24, the current account deficit was 1.2% (of GDP)," Das said. "Our teams are working on the fourth quarter numbers. They look to be even lower, and when you look at the annual current account deficit number, I will not be surprised next week when we publish the current account deficit numbers - they could be even lower than 1% (of GDP)," he said at the ET Now event.
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India poised for strong growth; but no room for complacency: Shaktikanta Das
There can be positive surprises, I do not rule it out. But I think, you see we give a number when we are totally convinced about it and our approach is not to sort of gamble by giving a higher number. Our overall approach as a central bank is always very conservative in the sense that when we are absolutely sure about a particular number, we give it.
Is Fed FOMC outcome hawkish or dovish? Here's is what Street says
The US Federal Reserve maintained rates at 5.25-5.50% in its June monetary policy, with Chair Jerome Powell expressing caution about the inflation outlook and the need for data revision. Experts weigh in on the decision.
No rate cut seen in August either, but enough signs of a shift in stance
The minutes of the meeting will be available on June 21. Varma and Goyal have argued that high interest rates might be hindering potential growth. They have previously debated that a high real interest rate—the difference between the actual interest rate and inflation—could be compromising growth.
RBI holds rates amid food inflation fears
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept policy interest rates unchanged for the eighth consecutive meeting due to concerns about rising food prices. The central bank raised its economic growth forecast for FY25 to 7.2% from 7%, driven by state investments and broad-based consumption. Despite inflation worries, the repo rate remains at 6.5%. A divide in the Monetary Policy Committee emerged, with two members favoring a rate cut. Equity indices surged, but bond yields rose slightly. Governor Das emphasized India's independent monetary policy stance.
No rate cut seen in August either, but enough signs of a shift in stance
In the normal course of events, the rising dissent in the MPC should have led to more joining the camp of rate cut seekers as data turns benign. Inflation may not have come back to the 4% target, but it's not threatening to soar. For the US, it is at 3.4% in April when the target is 2%.
Expect repo rate cut only in October RBI policy meeting: SBI Research
The report, authored by Soumya Kanti Ghosh, SBI's Group Chief Economic Adviser, expects first repo rate cut in October meeting. The repo rate is the rate of interest at which the RBI lends to other banks.
RBI MPC Highlights: Das & co keep rates unchanged, but dovish clamour grows
The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) kept the repo rate steady at 6.50% for the eighth consecutive meeting. However, a new shift emerged with Ashima Goyal joining Jayanth Varma in voting for a rate cut. The committee continues to prioritize inflation control and forecasts 7.2% GDP growth for FY25, supported by expected robust monsoons and a revival in private consumption.
RBI MPC: Experts decode policy impact on markets, sectors
Adhil Shetty, Vikas Garg, and Naveen Kulkarni opine on the RBI MPC policy, and how it would affect market sentiment, and pave the way for economic growth.
Builders want reduction in repo rate in RBI's next monetary policy to boost housing sales
Real estate developers urged the RBI to lower the repo rate in the upcoming monetary policy to reduce home loan interest rates and stimulate housing demand, as the RBI maintained the rate at 6.50%. Industry experts anticipate potential rate cuts in the future to boost the real estate sector further amid strong market performance.
RBI following the US Fed? Guv Das says "we play according to local weather, pitch conditions"
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has emphasized its independence from global influences and prioritizing domestic economic conditions over distant horizons. The RBI's actions are primarily determined by domestic growth-inflation conditions and the outlook. India has maintained its stance of 'withdrawal of accommodation' since February 2023 and has not changed its stance of 'withdrawal of accommodation' since February 2023.
RBI maintains interest rates amid growing calls for easier money policy
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept interest rates unchanged in its eighth consecutive meeting, with some members leaning towards easing monetary policy due to concerns about rising food prices. The central bank raised its FY25 growth forecast by 20 basis points to 7.2%, leading to a surge in equity indices. Inflation remains a concern due to global commodity price increases and potential food price spikes.
RBI MPC Meeting 2024 at a glance: Here's a one-stop guide to all key decisions
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided to maintain the current interest rate at 6.5%, following a 4:2 majority decision. The panel projected real GDP growth for FY25 to be 7.2%, up from 7%. The MPC is also maintaining the Standing Deposit Facility rate at 6.25% and the Marginal Standing Facility bank rate at 6.75%.
RBI MPC: Governor Shaktikanta Das reveals how cricket and weather guide monetary policy
RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das announced the central bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, highlighting that RBI adapts monetary policy to local conditions, using a cricket analogy. The GDP projection for FY25 was raised to 7.2%, with an inflation forecast of 4.5%. The RBI aims to balance inflation and growth, focusing on domestic economic factors.
RBI MPC Meet 2024: RBI leaves inflation projection for FY25 unchanged at 4.5%
RBI MPC Meet 2024 LIVE: The Reserve Bank of India maintained its inflation forecast at 4.5% for this fiscal year amid concerns over rising food prices. The central bank found some relief as crude prices dipped below $80 per barrel. The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% for the eighth consecutive time, citing vigilance against potential inflationary pressures. Governor Shaktikanta Das highlighted the uptick in vegetable prices and global food inflation. Despite a slight easing in overall retail inflation to 4.83%, concerns linger over food price hikes, particularly in items like garlic and ginger.
RBI MPC Meeting: Das & Co may look at food bills to keep its stance, rate unchanged
RBI Policy Meeting: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to maintain the repo rate at 6.5% with a focus on withdrawing accommodation, marking the eighth consecutive time it remains unchanged. Economists predict the unchanged stance, citing persistent inflation in food prices and global commodity price risks. RBI Governor's decision is crucial post-elections.
RBI rate-setting panel starts deliberations on monetary policy, decision on Friday
The Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy committee (MPC) began a three-day meeting to determine the next monetary policy, with Governor Shaktikanta Das expected to announce the decisions on Friday. Analysts anticipate the continuation of the current interest rate, given persistent inflation concerns and improving economic growth.
India 10-year bond yield sees biggest spike in 8 months on poll results uncertainty
Indian government bond yields surged as early voting trends showed Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA leading, causing the benchmark 10-year yield to jump to 7.0130%.
RBI unlikely to cut interest rate on June 7, say experts
The Reserve Bank of India is unlikely to cut the benchmark interest rate in its upcoming monetary policy review amid inflation challenges and improving economic growth. Scheduled for June 5-7, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is expected to maintain the current 6.5% repo rate. Experts cite steady economic conditions and ongoing inflation concerns as reasons for maintaining the status quo
Foreigners pull money out of EM portfolios after five months of inflows
Foreigners pulled money from emerging markets in April, with outflows from Indian and Indonesian stocks leading to a -$0.7 billion net outflow. China equities also saw small outflows in April.
Fed's Williams says he doesn't feel urgency to cut rates right now
Williams stated that the economy's behavior over the past year provides ample evidence that monetary policy is restrictive in a way that helps achieve their goals. He made these remarks in the text of a speech prepared for delivery before a gathering of the Economic Club of New York.
European shares little changed, inflation data in focus
European stocks were subdued on Monday, with several major markets closed and investors taking a cautious stance ahead of key inflation data from the United States and Europe later this week.
MPC Minutes: Food inflation risks elevated, conditions not in place for let-up in restrictive policy stance, says RBI Dy Guv Patra
Members of the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee expressed confidence in the current policy stance but remained cautious about factors like food inflation and external contingencies. They emphasized the need to maintain downward pressure on inflation until clearer risks emerge, with concerns about persistently high inflation figures despite recent dips.
RBI leaves repo rate unchanged; retains “withdrawal of accommodation” stance
RBI maintains 6.50% repo rate after 3-day meeting, focusing on withdrawing accommodation. Supported by 5 of 6 MPC members. Minimal market impact on Sensex, Nifty 50.
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