PUBLIC CAPEX
Fiscal discipline key to India's growth prospects: Sanjay Nayar
So, we will have to also think about how we channel the energies towards more advanced and more modern techniques and technology, because that is what we need right now.
BigBasket, 1mg’s plans for capex; win for epharmacies in Madras HC
Tata’s online grocery BigBasket and epharmacy 1mg will largely depend on debt capital to fuel expansion this fiscal. More on this in today’s ETtech Morning Dispatch.
Indian Budget 2024: Jefferies sees affordable housing, capex-related businesses, consumer goods sectors getting the most benefit
Budget 2024 anticipates positive impacts on various sectors, with potential benefits for consumer goods and affordable housing. The budget may include tax cuts, interest subsidy reintroduction, and stable capital gains tax policies, fostering economic growth and fiscal prudence.
3 themes to bet on now for pre-Budget plays: Gurmeet Chadha
Gurmeet Chadha says that the market is trying to position on the pre-Budget period. But there are very few pockets which give a lot of valuation comfort. So, we have to be very selective in terms of what we buy and ensure that we do not end up paying very unreasonable valuations in those pockets.
Hike capex by 25%, reduce GST slabs to maximum of 3 in Union Budget: FICCI tells Nirmala Sitharaman
Budget 2024: Industry lobby group FICCI in pre-budget consultation with Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman in Delhi emphasized the need to support growth momentum, infrastructure development, rein in food inflation, support MSMEs, and prioritize innovation and research & development for accelerated growth.
What to expect from the Budget going forward? Sanjiv Puri answers
So, we are on a solid foundation because of certain initiatives that have taken place. It is not that it just happened like that. So, there is a reason for which and it sets the economy on a solid foundation.
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Vi board gives nod to raising Rs 2,458 crore through preferential issue of shares to Nokia, Ericsson
Telecom company Vodafone Idea (Vi) plans to raise upto Rs 2,458 crore through a preferential issue of equity shares to its two European gear vendors Nokia and Ericsson, clearing part of their pending dues and setting stage for Vi’s 4G expansion and 5G rollout.
PLI scheme to attract Rs 3-4 lakh cr investments over 4 yrs; pvt sector capex may accelerate: Icra
Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme is projected to draw investments worth Rs 3-4 lakh crore over four years, creating 2 lakh jobs. Icra Executive VP K Ravichandran foresees private sector capex growth in sectors like oil, gas, metals, healthcare, and cement, with potential tax breaks to boost disposable income for higher investments.
Budget likely to stick to fiscal road map: UBS
UBS predicts that the new government will follow a medium fiscal consolidation path but with a populist tilt in its first budget after the elections. The RBI's higher-than-expected dividend transfer to the government provides fiscal leeway for populist spending, especially to support lower-income groups. The government is expected to target a fiscal deficit of 5.1% of GDP in FY25, aiming to reduce it further to below 4.5% of GDP by FY26. While tougher reforms may be challenging, supply-side reforms like manufacturing, labour laws, and skill development are likely to continue.
What to expect from NDA 3.0's budget #1
The new NDA government's budget aims for faster fiscal correction with higher growth and central bank profits to lower interest rates.
Lok Sabha Results: Will a fractured mandate for NDA impede new govt's infra and capex push?
The 2024 Lok Sabha elections deliver a fractured mandate, influencing economic reform outlook. Experts recommend focusing on public capex and high-tech sectors for growth. Tanvee Gupta Jain predicts fiscal leeway for populist spending, supported by progress in implementing labor laws.
Any further correction in India can spur FII flows: Chris Wood
A lot of the recovery has been the high end of the market. So, the key issue for this real estate market right now is that will the recovery broaden out and the other issue is will there be policy measures to promote the more affordable end of the housing market, that seems to me a possibility.
View: GOI has the solution of India's economic puzzle but it needs to let go fiscal hesitations
India's economy is thriving with 8.2% GDP growth, strong public investment, and tax revenues. However, weak consumer demand and private capex remain issues. To boost growth, the government should create more public sector jobs, increasing incomes and consumption, funded by local savings.
Expect 13-15% earnings growth in FY-25 driven by topline growth, margin expansion: Venugopal Garre
Remember, we have not even yet seen a rate cycle decline as well, so those are the levers which come through late in the year from a support point of view for macro.
Railways stocks tank up to 33% in 2 days following narrow BJP-led NDA's election win
In today's trade, railway stocks fell by up to 17%. Titagarh Rail shares tumbled 33%, while Ircon declined by over 26%. Meanwhile, RailTel and IRCTC also fell by over 19% in the past two sessions. Shares of RITES, IRFC, RVNL, Texmaco Rail Systems, and Jupiter Wagons saw declines of between 18-23%.
FY25 capital expenditure outlay may be hiked by 10%
India may increase FY25 capital expenditure by 8-10% from the ₹11.11 lakh crore vote on account allocation, boosted by better tax revenue and a record RBI surplus transfer. The full budget, awaited post-election results on June 4, could see a surge in spending, as per a senior official.
The emerging fiscal constrictor knot & tightening logjam for market
Strengthening private capex and boosting employment gains are crucial for escaping the fiscal constrictor knot. Improving global demand and household incomes can provide a potential escape route.
RBI dividend will have economic dividends
RBI came into this windfall because of high interest rates in advanced economies, which may persist before an eventual cyclical inversion. The strength of India's recovery from the pandemic also contributed to the RBI surplus, and monetary policy would be inclined to pursue this course by easing interest rates ahead of the pack. Inflation is offering comfort on the demand side for an interest rate downcycle. Food inflation, less amenable to demand management, remains a concern.
Gail may line up Rs 50,000 crore capex in big petrochemical bet
Gail (India) intends to invest up to ₹50,000 crore in constructing a 1.5 million tonnes per annum ethane cracking unit at Sehore, Madhya Pradesh, according to sources familiar with the matter. This significant investment marks one of the largest proposed capital expenditures by the state-run gas utility.
Private capex in India to pick up in H2 of FY25; hotel, tourism to drive investment: Kotak Bank Chief Economist
Private sector investment is set to increase in the latter half of the fiscal year, particularly in sectors like hotels and tourism, following extensive government-led infrastructure development efforts. The government's enhanced capital expenditure has supported economic growth post-Covid, with private sector capex expected to rise significantly in the coming months.
Revamping of BOT model is tactical move to attract private capex: Ind-Ra
India's government is revamping the built-operate-transfer (BOT) model to attract private capital, which is expected to surpass Rs 1 trillion by 2030. The government has successfully implemented 400 Hybrid Annuity Model road projects worth over Rs 4 trillion in the past seven years, balancing risk between private and public partners. The government's focus on monetization via the National Monetisation Pipeline has attracted foreign investors.
Centre used capex to build quality infrastructure: FM Nirmala Sitharaman
Sitharaman said the share of capex in overall expenditure went up to over 21% in 2023-24 as against just 12% in 2013-14 during the UPA regime, when infrastructure development remained grossly neglected.
Post-Covid capex pumps PSU muscles
A reappraisal of PSUs, however, could slow the longer trend of GoI getting out of business. And it needs to filter out the temporary effects of economic management. PSU banks are unlikely to retain their new-found health against private competitors for an extended period. Government capex, similarly, has a shelf life, after which private investment is expected to take over. That means companies borrowing from the cheapest lender, often from abroad, to build capacities. Neither consumption- nor investment-led growth assures a special place for PSUs. They will have to compete.
Large PSUs' capital expenditure reaches ₹50,200 crore in April FY25, slower growth than previous year
Large public sector companies in India spent over Rs 50,200 crore on capital expenditure in April FY25, 6.46% of the annual target of Rs 7.77 lakh crore. Spending was lower than in April FY24. The Finance Ministry expects spending to increase. Railways, roads, and oil and gas sectors drove the expenditure.
Vi expects to clear all vendor dues in FY26, say analysts
According to Vodafone Idea management, proceeds from Rs 18,000 crore FPO and proposed Rs 25,000 crore debt funding would enable telco to also upgrade network, say analysts.
Robust govt capex, improvement in business confidence to push growth: Official
"The major reasons cited for India's growth prospects in FY25 include robust public investment/ capex push by the government, sustained growth in business and consumer confidence, and strong services sector, among others," industry body PHDCCI said in a statement quoting Sensarma.
States to sustain capex focus with improved fiscal space: Ind-Ra report
India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) maintains a neutral outlook on Indian states' finances for FY25, with a projected aggregate revenue deficit of 0.4% of GDP, down from 0.5% in FY24. Fiscal deficit for FY25 is expected to decrease to 3.1% of GDP. The report highlights containment of revenue deficits, enabling states to focus on capital expenditure.
View: GoI's focus on capex to address infrastructure and energy deficits pays off
The GoI's focus on increasing capital expenditure (capex) to address infrastructure and energy deficits has been significant. Public capex as a percentage of GDP has risen from 1.65% in 2019-20 to 3.2% in 2023-24, with its share in public expenditure increasing from 12.5% to 21.6%. This strategy, pursued even during the pandemic, has compensated for sluggish private investment, contributing to India's high growth rate above 7%. However, there's been a decline in revenue expenditure, affecting sectors like education and health, necessitating active policy measures like privatisation and asset monetisation to sustainably manage deficits and fund development.
It’s a good time to hold some cash as a deeper market correction is possible: Ashwini Agarwal
Ashwini Agarwal says “booms and busts all produce extraordinary gains and extraordinary losses and this is part and parcel of it. I do not think it damages the underlying story for India or the global sentiment on India in any way. That is how I look at it. So it is not such a big deal in my personal opinion.”
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