RATE CUTS
US inflation cools in May, boosting hopes of Fed rate cut
May's stable inflation, influenced by service costs and goods prices, sets the stage for potential Federal Reserve interest rate changes. The report highlights slight consumer spending growth and hints at the Fed's aim for a controlled economic slowdown through core inflation moderation.
Tech boom leads global markets through first half of 2024
The first half of 2024 was marked by soaring mega caps, political uncertainties, and remarkable movements in commodities and emerging markets. From Nvidia's market value surge to Japan's weakening yen and the rise of cryptocurrencies, the period reflected a mix of challenges and opportunities shaping the global economy.
Wall Street ends lower as investors digest inflation data, presidential debate
Market dynamics were influenced by strategic acquisitions like Nokia's deal with Infinera, impacting trading volume. Sector performances varied, with energy and real estate sectors showing resilience, while utilities and communications services faced declines.
Asian shares shaky as investors wary before US inflation data
Asian stocks hesitated in early trade amid anticipation for a crucial U.S. inflation reading. Concerns over potential Japanese intervention lingered as the yen approached 160 per dollar. Japan and Taiwan stocks rallied, while China's market saw a slight decline. Fed comments and stable housing market data influenced rate cut expectations.
India central bank policymakers divided over rate-growth debate
Internal members maintain hawkish stance on inflation, with Governor Das cautioning against hasty actions for fear of worsening the situation
Fed's Daly: inflation not the only risk, policy must 'exhibit care'
San Francisco Fed President Daly emphasizes caution in addressing inflation control and rising unemployment risks, highlighting the need to restore price stability without harming the economy.
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Dow closes at a one-month high as investors broaden portfolios
The Dow reached a one-month high, but the Nasdaq fell over 1% as investors shifted from AI-linked stocks. Federal Reserve rate cuts were anticipated, impacting market movements.
Wall Street bucks global rally as bond yields rise
Wall Street's rally, driven by Nvidia and AI enthusiasm, saw record highs. European stocks were boosted by tech and real estate sectors. The STOXX 600 and FTSEurofirst 300 indexes rose, reflecting market optimism.
Unstoppable bull run! Sensex, Nifty hit lifetime highs for 4th straight day on solid global cues
Nifty50 and Sensex reached new highs driven by banking and IT stocks amid expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
S&P 500, Nasdaq hit record highs on AI momentum, Dow edges up after weak retail sales
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs fueled by Nvidia's surge, overtaking Microsoft as the most valuable company. Chip stocks, including Qualcomm and Micron, rallied, boosting the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index to a new peak.
Asian stocks rise on tech rally, Fed rate cut wagers
Asian shares rose to a three-week high driven by tech stock rally as the dollar struggled post soft U.S. retail sales data, hinting at potential Fed rate cuts.
Rate cut hopes, inclusion in JPM index fuel ‘FOMO’ trades in GSecs
Indian sovereign debt players bond with bonds following Mint Road's move to decelerate rate-increase drive and JPMorgan's recognition. CCIL data shows a 40% increase in monthly trades, reaching ₹8.6 lakh crore in 2023.
Global rate-cut juggernaut is struggling to start
Central banks cagey about joining the global interest-rate cutting cycle may reveal themselves this week with a quartet of decisions in advanced economies.
The market is blowing off what the Fed is saying about rates
The central bank’s projections for fewer rate cuts this year and Powell’s seemingly hawkish comments at his press conference on Wednesday didn’t prevent the S&P 500 Index from eclipsing 5,400 for the first time ever, which also happened on Wednesday and held through at least Friday. The benchmark is up more than 50% since hitting a bottom in October 2022, during a bear market triggered by the Fed’s drastic interest rate increases that started in March 2022 and were aimed at taming runaway inflation.
Why the stock market has risen even with no Fed rate cuts
Even without any interest rate cuts so far in 2024 and with the likelihood of just one meager rate reduction by the end of the year -- the stock market has been purring along. That's quite an achievement, given the expectation in January that the Fed would trim rates six or seven times in 2024 -- and that interest rates throughout the economy would be much lower by now.
5 world market themes for the week ahead
Central bank decisions in Britain, Switzerland, and Norway will show the rate cutting trend, while retail sales data from the US and China will indicate consumer health. Europe gears up for the Euros 2024 tournament in Germany. Investors are monitoring cocoa supply issues in Ivory Coast, Ghana, and other countries like Brazil.
Is Fed FOMC outcome hawkish or dovish? Here's is what Street says
The US Federal Reserve maintained rates at 5.25-5.50% in its June monetary policy, with Chair Jerome Powell expressing caution about the inflation outlook and the need for data revision. Experts weigh in on the decision.
Inflation, Fed meeting to give clues for US market direction
Investors await next week's inflation data and Fed meeting for signals on stock market trajectory amid conflicting economic signals. S&P 500's 12% YTD rise hinges on Fed's ability to manage inflation without hampering growth.
Asia shares stumble; political uncertainty grips euro
Asian stocks fell as traders reduced bets for Fed rate cuts due to a tight US labor market. A snap election in France raised political concerns, impacting the euro. MSCI's Asia-Pacific shares index also dropped.
JPMorgan, Citi scrap Fed rate-cut bets for July after jobs data
JPMorgan's chief US economist, Michael Feroli, stated in a report on Friday that "the recent momentum in job growth" indicates that the "broader" labor-market weakening, which the Fed mentioned could justify a rate cut, might take more than three months to materialize.
No rate cut seen in August either, but enough signs of a shift in stance
The minutes of the meeting will be available on June 21. Varma and Goyal have argued that high interest rates might be hindering potential growth. They have previously debated that a high real interest rate—the difference between the actual interest rate and inflation—could be compromising growth.
Stocks and bonds fall in run-up to US Jobs report
Stocks and bonds lost steam ahead of the US jobs report, impacting the Federal Reserve's next steps. Traders refrained from big bets as equities retreated from all time highs.
European shares close shy of record after ECB delivers first rate-cut in five years
In new forecasts, the ECB said it expected inflation to average 2.2% in 2025 - up from a previous estimate of 2.0% and meaning it was now seen holding above the central bank's 2% target well into next year. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that only one ECB Governing Council member had opposed the bank's decision to cut interest rates earlier in the day.
ECB's Lagarde says only one governor opposed rate cut decision
"Was it a unanimous decision? Yes, but for one governor," Lagarde told reporters at a post-meeting news conference. "I leave it to your sagacity to identify who it is."
World stocks at record high after cautious ECB rate cut
It was enough to snip the pan-European STOXX 600's gains back to 0.6%, while the euro inched up to almost $1.0890 against the dollar and government bond yields - which reflect borrowing costs and move inversely to price - ticked up too.
ECB jumps ahead of Fed, cuts interest rate by 25 bps for first time since 2019
ECB raises inflation forecast for 2024, 2025. Analysts say the quarter-point cut on Thursday would likely not usher in a swift series of further cuts as the bank waits to make sure inflation is under control while easing credit to help the economy. While inflation at an annual rate of 2.6% in May is well down from the peak of 10.6% in October 2022, the decline has slowed in recent months and inflation even ticked up slighly from 2.4% in April.
Asia stocks rally as rate cut bets gather momentum; ECB in focus
Asian shares rose on Fed rate cut expectations and ECB meeting. Oil prices climbed, Treasury yields fell. Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan gained 1.14%, led by tech stocks.
Wall Street stocks end slightly higher as weak jobs data supports rate cut
U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday as labor market data hinted at a Fed rate cut. Axos Financial dropped after Hindenburg Research shorted the stock.
Asian shares retreat as investors question US economic strength
Asian share markets weakened as U.S. economy's 'exceptionalism' unravels with weakening manufacturing activity. MSCI's Asia-Pacific index down 0.1%. U.S. Treasury yields fall after weak manufacturing data. Westpac economist Coombs sees market pricing 40 basis points rate cuts by 2024.
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