RURAL ECONOMY
After a broad-based rally, it's time to be stock-specific: Anshul Saigal
The market rally calls for a stock-specific approach with caution due to high valuations, says Anshul Saigal of Saigal Capital. FMCG companies focusing on rural markets may present opportunities. IPOs are viewed with skepticism, suggesting a wait-and-see approach. Exercise caution in a market environment where substandard companies seek to raise capital.
Not politics, not interest rates: India's surging economy at risk from water
India is facing a growing water crisis, with the country's growing water stress potentially impacting its growth. The country's growing water stress could affect agricultural production and industrial operations, leading to food inflation and declines in income for affected businesses and workers, especially farmers. Contaminated water kills about 200,000 Indians each year, and the government is focusing on conserving the resource, recycling waste water, and reducing the country's over-reliance on the annual monsoon, especially in the agricultural sector.
Financials & utilities are the cheapest sectors; IT overpriced: Neelkanth Mishra
Neelkanth Mishra highlights undervalued financial and utility sectors compared to the overpriced IT sector. The Budget is expected to focus on rural support and fiscal prudence, with emphasis on Viksit Bharat 2047 initiatives. However, GDP growth may slow down, impacting FMCG sector earnings. Mishra expects consumption by the lower income households will grow slower than the GDP on average,
ETMarkets Smart Talk: FII ownership at probably its lowest, but trend is changing: Ajit Banerjee
The market participants are convinced that the macro fundamentals and the fiscal condition of the country is very strong and India is poised to grow as the fastest-growing economy of the world for the next few years.
India best emerging market story; haven't ever seen valuations and fundamentals so attractive: Mihir Vora
The US economy has been much better than expected. It has been stronger for longer and of course, then it also translates to higher interest rates for longer, probably, but the fact is that the US economy is doing quite well.
Competitive intensity in used vehicle market to be on the rise: India Ratings
India Ratings and Research predicts that vehicle financiers will increase the share of used vehicles in their AUM due to rising new vehicle prices, food inflation, heat wave, moderation in capacity utilization due to elections, and slowing rural economy. The agency also expects a decrease in FY25 growth rates from FY24 levels. The agency expects non-bank finance companies to focus on used vehicles as assets class, presenting a favorable risk-return in terms of asset quality and pricing power.
Auto, auto ancillary sector a good theme to play the rural recovery: Devang Mehta
Some of the FMCG participants also came in this analyst guidance that most of these companies are now trying to come back and there was a decent volume growth which is seen.
Fund Manager Talk | Rally in rail, defence stocks at execution risk: Krishnan VR
The portfolio was up 1.7% in May compared to 0.8% for the benchmark BSE 500 total return index. Because many portfolio companies reported their fourth quarter (and full year) results last month, the performance was partly driven by positive earnings surprises
What to expect from the Budget going forward? Sanjiv Puri answers
So, we are on a solid foundation because of certain initiatives that have taken place. It is not that it just happened like that. So, there is a reason for which and it sets the economy on a solid foundation.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Rural consumption could top priority in Modi 3.0’s final Budget in July: Vinay Jaising
The BJP led NDA alliance is confident of forming the government for the third time consecutively which has not happened in India since 1962 when the Nehru led Congress was in Power; and an extremely spectacular event.
Investors can look to bet on rural consumption and housing theme: Sunil Subramaniam
We may think that even NREGA subsidies could go up a little bit. So, I think the budget will give a clearer direction. But we do know that given the fact that the election results were not to the kind of expectations of the government itself, they will be trying to fix those problems. And from what we can see that two or three big states in north, UP, Haryana, then the Maharashtra, where the results were not to their liking, you would see that that is a farming belt, the UP is a sugarcane belt, Maharashtra is a sugarcane belt, so definitely you will see action around minimum support prices, you will see action around NREGA flows in there.
FMCG and consumer durables poised for growth : Trideep Bhattacharya
I think the market has taken comfort over the last few days since the election result has come out, until yesterday that the ministries have been announced that broadly speaking the policy directive is likely to remain the same.
Focus and execution will increase on affordable housing: Prashant Thakur
Now, the definition of affordable needs to be increased. There were certain incentive that have been rolled back. So, these are the demands which were unmet and I strongly believe that with this government coming back in power the focus will be there and we will see an overall spurt in affordable housing which was lagging significantly.
Harsh Gupta Madhusudan on key indicators to monitor ahead of Budget
I think that there should be some more not exactly freebies or welfare, but something more attuned towards consumption and we were already seeing that even in the financial markets. I gave you the number of top line, the most obvious data point to check directly FMCG sales.
Should market worry about whether policy continuity is here to stay or not? Swaminathan Aiyar explains
And I would say managing the coalition again becomes much easier if you stick to continuity. If you want to have sudden changes of policy, various people can have objections because any sudden change of policy creates losers and politicians hate to have the losers, even if there are going to be winners later on.
Is it time to buy large-cap stocks after yesterday's market drop? Arvind Sanger answers
We invest in companies where we feel promoters' interests are aligned with shareholder interests for long-term value creation and we will have to see in the current coalition government what are going to be the new areas of emphasis and what is going to be the continuity.
Govt to focus on capex & infra to propel next phase of growth: Indranil Sengupta
I would say that valuations that are concerned and whoever is getting into the market right now should also clearly take that into account. Because once you start losing the support of valuations, then obviously you are taking that much more of a risk. But then that said, I mean, a lot depends on where equity markets grow in the US because that clearly has a big impact globally.
Will the pace of the rally in PSU sector cool down? Sandip Sabharwal answers
My base case is that the current government will continue. So, if that doesn't happen, which I believe is a remote possibility, then I think the post-election strategy has to be very different.
PSU banks, select HFC & NBFCs to see tailwinds in earnings in next few quarters & years: Anshul Saigal
Anshul Saigal, Founder of Saigal Capital, discusses the potential impact of the continuation of the current dispensation on the Indian market and the preference for individual investors over diversified portfolio managers. He mentions insights from a CIO poll regarding sector preferences, highlighting the lack of interest in FMCG and auto sectors.
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