TACTICAL BUYS
Market can only go up now irrespective of Budget. Here's why
The Street has discounted the defence manufacturing stocks too much into the future. Even the earning visibility has been discounted. It is a fast-moving train; it does not make sense to get onto that train at this point. There are many choices when it comes to rural play – two-wheelers, fertilisers, pesticides and M&M, says Dipan Mehta.
What to buy with D-St at lifetime high? Keep good company, go for largecap stocks
Reflecting on past milestones like 50,000 and 75,000 reveals them as profitable buying opportunities, with investors earning double-digit returns even from earlier 'record high' levels. The recent 10,000-point increase from 70,000 to 80,000 signifies a 14.4% growth, while reaching 90,000 from 80,000 will necessitate a 12.5% gain. Maintaining a consistent investment approach remains wise, irrespective of market highs.
Is it time to start buying IT stocks? Macquarie’s Ravi Menon explains
The IT sector anticipates growth is being driven by AI and enterprise technology spending amid concerns over interest rates and consulting demand. Companies like Tata Technologies are facing valuation challenges in the engineering services segment, contrasting with positive growth prospects for IT services, says Ravi Menon, IT Services Analyst, Macquarie.
Getting ready to end the 3-year exile: 5 stocks from diagnostics sector with upside potential of up to 53%
There are some businesses, where only a black swan event leads to sharp growth in profit. Otherwise the underlying nature is such that they don't have any sudden spike in their profits. But there is constant growth. The constant growth could be because of many reasons. It may be because of the fact that penetration of that good or service is very low and over a period of time as it improves, both top and bottom line keep moving upward. It could be because of the movement of business from the unorganized sector to the organized sector. Or due the fact that the “need” of that good or service is such that spending on it cannot be postponed. In the case of diagnostic business, it is all the three, or rather four. The fact is that in 2020, a black swan took place which led to the sudden spike in FY 2021 numbers, but then back to normal growth curve. Now for three years, there has been a painful process of partial normalization of valuation and end of price wars. Has the time come for extreme long term investors to bring them back on watchlist ?
Stay invested, and buy more; there will be more legs to this rally: Varun Saboo
There can be a little bit of time correction, and then earnings growth will catch up. Varun Saboo of Anand Rathi Share is still positive on a defence theme or railways theme, etc, which was going around all the time. He does not see any change in the narrative which was there.
Summers are over. Should a tactical trade turn into a long-term investment? 5 AC & white goods stocks which surged with the rising temperature
There are many sectors which make it to headlines at a particular time of the year. Like we would see agriculture and irrigation stock coming to headline around budget time, hotel stocks during holiday season. So, while they are cyclical stocks, because their cycles are much shorter as compared to typical cyclical stocks like metals, where cycles may last for many years, they are not typically classified as cyclical stocks. But essentially they are and cyclical stocks are more tactical trade rather than long term investment, which you can buy and forget for years. There is another set of companies who also make it to the headline and probably to the list of top gainers around the same time every year. Companies whose fortunes are linked with what happens in the summer season. This time again it happened, right from AC makers to fan makers to an ice cream company. All have witnessed an upward movement. Should be kept for it is time to say goodbye till next season.
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Should you buy a house now before property prices soar or wait for home loan interest rates to drop?
A favourable wealth effect, driven by a sharp rise in the equity markets, is enticing many first-time homebuy ers to take the plunge, while affluent buyers are looking for second homes. If you are a fence-sitter, still unsure about when to buy a house, this market presents a big dilemma. Is it the right time to buy a house?
Stock market fraud via WhatsApp, Facebook, Telegram: Two investors lost over Rs 3 crore; how to identify scam and protect yourself
Stock market scams via WhatsApp, Telegram, Facebook or Instagram: Two investors lost over Rs 3 crore in separate scams, highlighting a concerning trend. Fraudsters lure victims via social media with promises of high returns. They use fake profiles, apps, and WhatsApp groups to build trust before blocking withdrawals. Beware social media stock tips promising high returns. It's a scam! Learn how to identify fraudsters and protect yourself. Read for modus operandi and red flags here.
Mahesh Nandurkar on 5 best sectors to own from 3-year perspective
Mahesh Nandurkar, MD at Jefferies, discusses investment opportunities in sectors like real estate and the auto sector. He emphasizes the potential for earnings growth and the impact of global economic factors on India's market prospects. Nadurkar says: "I would not necessarily link the FMCG stocks going up to the big improvement in the rural demand recovery as such."
Near term, go tactical and stick to defensive play via consumer and FMCG stocks: Mahesh Nandurkar
Jefferies' Mahesh Nandurkar sees near-term potential in FMCG, IT, pharma due to under-ownership. Longer-term outlook remains positive on capex, infrastructure and real estate sectors. Retail and foreign investor sentiments sway markets amid election impact. Nandurkar says "for the broader emerging market flows to improve, we need to get some visibility on the rate cut cycle from the US Fed. That continues to get pushed out."
Rivals’ pricing tactics won’t impact Asian Paints’ plans: CEO
Asian Paints stays committed to investing in brand value and capacity expansion, unfazed by new market entrants' pricing strategies. The company's growth outlook remains positive, with a focus on customer loyalty, retail expansion, and strategic investments.
Short-term volatility? Yes, but operating landscape might be changing: 5 metal stocks with upside potential of up to 20%
After the IT sector companies, metal is another sector where the fortunes of Indian companies are more tied to what is happening globally rather than what is happening in India. The reason, global metal prices are decided by two things, first is the state of the Chinese economy and second is how the US dollar behaves in the global markets. On the first, there are initial indications that after close to more than two years, things are turning better. The most reliable indication came last month with better than expected GDP numbers. On the second front, there is still lots of uncertainty thanks to flip-flops by the US Fed on interest rate cuts. Now if one looks at the metal stocks, they have sort of out performed volatile Indian markets. But given the fact that these days, too much money flows into stocks where there is even a slight bit of positive development, the possibility that these stocks may turn volatile if there was more pressure on the broader market. However, when the tide turns, because the operating matrix of the companies would be better if the China recovery continues, there is a high probability of them turning into relative outperformers.
19% annual returns in 10 years on buying gold on Akshaya Tritiya; should you invest in gold this year too?
Gold price has increased by 18% to Rs 71,502 for 10 grams with 999 purity since the last Akshaya Tritiya. Investing during this period has historically yielded attractive returns due to various factors such as price cyclicality, holding period, and discipline in investment. Safe havens like gold may see increased demand amidst global uncertainties and currency depreciation impacting prices. Experts recommend a 15% allocation to gold for a balanced risk profile.
Waiting to buy the dip? Wait for further decline: Sunil Subramaniam
Subramaniam suggests buying quality stocks during market dips caused by FII volatility. He highlights the importance of managing portfolio volatility, with opportunities in largecaps for short-term gains and small/midcaps for longer-term growth.
Is metals a tactical trade? How to play the real estate theme? Hemang Jani answers
Hemang Jani discusses the metal sector's potential for a 10-15% move, Vodafone FPO's impact on the telecom sector, and the positive outlook on real estate stocks like Macrotech and Oberoi amidst strong performance in the realty pack.
Look for tactical plays now as there is no great value in any of the sectors: Anand Tandon
Anand Tandon advises focusing on tactical plays in private sector banks amidst market sector value concerns. He highlights the power sector's growth potential but suggests waiting for better entry points for investment in various sectors.
Summer stocks and lessons on the difference between tactical and long-term investment? 5 companies whose fortunes are dependent on rising temperature
Even when the market was correcting in the month of March one set of stocks which outperformed the market was stocks whose fortunes are linked to how much you sweat due to higher summer temperatures. The reason, first forecast by the IMD about summers was that it would see higher than normal temperatures. Now because sales of air conditioners, air coolers and directly linked to what is the average length of the summer season and secondly what average temperature during those months, the street has figured out that demand for air conditioners and air coolers will see a spike in coming months. Hence the street rushed to buy these stocks. See the returns they have given in the last one month and one week, probably the best. The question is whether these stocks of the companies whose fortunes are dependent on such an unpredictable element of “weather” should be considered as long term investing or just tactical trade, like the one which played out last month or there is more to it ?
Time for tactical investing: 5 stocks from 2 most unwanted sectors, but with very strong balance sheets
There is an age old saying on Dalal street, when stocks stop reacting to bad news, it means that bears have run out of ammunition and probably it is time to look at them. Similarly when stocks stop reacting to positive news, probably bulls will not be having a say in the near term. At this point of time, there is an interesting phenomenon which is playing out. While at the overall market basis, it appears that bulls may not have much to say in near term. But at the same time, there are two sectors, which have been getting bombarded with bad news for the last two years. Whether it is macro or micro, news or opinion, literally everything which has been said about them is either negative or at best neutral. But if one looks at price action on the counters on any bad news or even brokerage downgrades which is essentially an opinion stock prices are refusing to fall. Historically one of these two sectors were considered defensive,as stocks from this sector tend to outperform in bearish markets. So, is it the time to go against the narrative of negative news and get them on the watch list?
Dalal Street Week Ahead: Will the bulls keep charging or pause for breath
Despite a strong closing on Friday, the markets continue to face the same resistance levels that they had during the previous week. Going by the Options data, the resistance levels have shifted slightly higher. However, despite a fresh high, the markets are slated to consolidate once again at current or higher levels.
A way to play China’s economic revival attempt: 5 metal stocks for tactical investing
While they cannot be called half hearted attempts, the fact is the Chinese government's attempt to revive economic growth through sale of special bonds, allowing selective concession for sectors like real estate, cutting CRR for some category banks did not pay the way the Chinese government had expected. So, finally, the Chinese central bank decided to cut the rate this week once again. Now this is not the first time that they have made an attempt, probably a fourth monetary stimulus attempt. The question is whether this time will have an impact, first signs would come from commodity markets. The good part is the Indian metal companies are better prepared to take the advantage of opportunity this time as compared to the past.
Nifty IT index stocks: Suited for tactical contrarian trade?
How a set of stocks reacts to the news is one of the variables which give a fair idea about whether the stock prices have bottomed or not. If there is consistent negative news or even a narrative and the stock refuses to come down then it is an indication that probably the market has discounted the adverse news. Now let's use the same thing on Infy, TCS and HCL tech Q3 results reaction. The companies which have seen muted growth and given similar guidance, did not do something which was very different in Q3 results. No great expansion in margins nor any indication that tech spending is back in a major way. The only difference was the expectation of the street which has been extremely low. That is why the positive reaction was witnessed and that is probably an early indication that the worst of the slowdown has been priced in.
A cut in CRR by the Chinese central bank: Will they perform this time? 6 metal stocks for tactical investing
Because the metal stocks are highly correlated to Chinese economic growth. Like in the past, whenever the Chinese central bank has taken any step this time also on Wednesday the metal stocks reacted positively. But the question is whether this cut is a reflection that the economic slowdown in China is much worse than what the world has been estimating. If the trouble is deeper than what was perceived then metal stocks might stay as under-performers, but if there is a recovery which would first be reflected in the global commodity prices then it would be an indication that metal stocks may do better in coming months. In both cases it is worthwhile to keep both metal stocks and metal prices on the watchlist.
First bell for contrarian and tactical investors: These IT stocks can gain up to 19% in one year
Year 2024, started with contrarian buy call by note by a large foreign brokerage and the impact on the IT stocks is visible as they stand out in green territory. One of the basic principles of figuring out whether the stock prices have bottomed out or have topped out is how they react to the negative and positive news. It is after a long period of time that IT stocks have reacted to positive news. When news is bad and most are skeptical it is time to look at businesses which have a track record of delivering and have strong balance sheets but due to some reason out of favour. Stock Reports Plus, powered by Refinitiv, is a comprehensive research report that evaluates five key components of 4,000+ listed stocks - earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum to generate standardized scores.
Forget FOMO, Dinshaw Irani would avoid chemical stocks. Here’s why
Dinshaw Irani says: “Among the commodity players, we do not like the cement space. We think there is enough capacity and beyond, just because of the price discipline that they have, they are managing to go ahead and we have seen that. There have been pullbacks in prices and all that. It is not a comfortable space to be in or the players are fairly stretched on valuations.
The Finals Tactical Tidings Set: See its release date, availability, rewards, how to claim and more
Embark Studios introduces The Finals Tactical Tidings Set, offering free winter-themed items. Released on December 20, 2023, it's available until January 4, 2024, bringing Christmas spirit to Monaco. Claimed rewards stay in your inventory permanently. Access the set through the in-game Store, following simple steps post-patch 1.4.0 update.
Classic compounders, tactical trade or concept stocks? Safir Anand’s top 3 buckets
“I am avoiding smallcap stocks and also the consumer sector until I find that the inflation in rural India is more under control. Also if rural India shows greater traction towards growth, which is very evident in the housing and infra sectors but not so evident on the consumer side.”
Dipan Mehta on how to play a high-risk, high-return idea & where to invest in IT sector
“Over the last couple of years or so, a lot of IT companies have won multi-million, multi-year orders. They are sitting in a good order book position. It is just that execution has not started or has got delayed because of the uncertainty in the environment in the US and in Europe economies. But once the uncertainties over there go down, tech spending will be the first off the block from a management perspective.”
Tactical bets in bearish time: 6 metal stocks that can deliver up to 44% returns
It is normally said and there is enough evidence to support it, that if the market is falling because of fear of economic slowdown or there are fears of a recession, then metals would be the first sector to get hit. The question is whether this round of fall in the Indian market is due to those fears? The answer is most likely No. What the Indian market is witnessing is correction of valuations, which have gone extremely high due to excess liquidity chasing Indian stocks for the past six months. So, there is a good chance that sectors like metals which are more impacted by what is happening in China would be able to perform much better even in bearish times, as the Chinese government makes another round of effort to pull the economy out of the slowdown.
Tactical buys in time of correction? 4 MNC pharma stocks with upside potential of up to 28%
In the last two decades MNC pharma companies, whose parent companies were setting up 100 percent owned subsidiaries in India and started routing their business through them, they all lost their shine on the market and have still not got it back. But sometimes these stocks tend to fall less in volatile markets, does this make them a tactical buy? We take a look at 4 MNC pharma companies where analysts have a Buy and Hold recommendation.
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