US FED RATE HIKE
Recession looming large on US economy? What growth rate has been predicted by Fed Reserve body? Everything you may like to know
Recessions are fairly common in the US economy. There has been about one U.S. recession every five years or so since World War 2. But they don't last long. The average duration of a U.S. recession since World War II is just 11.1 months.
Gold gains on softer dollar ahead of US Fed minutes
Gold prices strengthened on Wednesday as the dollar eased after dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, with investors now turning to minutes from the U.S. central bank's latest policy meeting to gauge future interest rate cuts.
US inflation cools in May, boosting hopes of Fed rate cut
May's stable inflation, influenced by service costs and goods prices, sets the stage for potential Federal Reserve interest rate changes. The report highlights slight consumer spending growth and hints at the Fed's aim for a controlled economic slowdown through core inflation moderation.
Top U.S. banks hike dividends after sailing through Fed's stress test
U.S. banking leaders increase third-quarter dividends following successful Federal Reserve stress tests, demonstrating robust financial health amid economic uncertainty.
Wall Street ends lower as investors digest inflation data, presidential debate
Market dynamics were influenced by strategic acquisitions like Nokia's deal with Infinera, impacting trading volume. Sector performances varied, with energy and real estate sectors showing resilience, while utilities and communications services faced declines.
Big US banks withstand Fed's commercial real estate shock scenario
Amid economic uncertainties, the Federal Reserve's stress tests revealed big U.S. banks' resilience to a 40% drop in commercial real estate values. The tests underscored the challenges faced by regional banks and the need for robust risk assessment in the banking sector.
Asian stocks rise on tech rally, Fed rate cut wagers
Asian shares rose to a three-week high driven by tech stock rally as the dollar struggled post soft U.S. retail sales data, hinting at potential Fed rate cuts.
The market is blowing off what the Fed is saying about rates
The central bank’s projections for fewer rate cuts this year and Powell’s seemingly hawkish comments at his press conference on Wednesday didn’t prevent the S&P 500 Index from eclipsing 5,400 for the first time ever, which also happened on Wednesday and held through at least Friday. The benchmark is up more than 50% since hitting a bottom in October 2022, during a bear market triggered by the Fed’s drastic interest rate increases that started in March 2022 and were aimed at taming runaway inflation.
Fed holds rates steady, sees just one cut in 2024 despite inflation progress
The markdown in the outlook for rate cuts, from three quarter-percentage-point reductions seen in the Fed's March projections, was made despite the central bank's acknowledgement in its new policy statement of "modest further progress" towards its 2% inflation target - an upgrade from its May 1 statement.
US consumer inflation falls to 3.3 percent ahead of Fed rate decision
US consumer inflation ticked lower last month, according to US government data published Wednesday, giving the US Federal Reserve positive news shortly before it publishes its latest interest rate decision. The monthly inflation rate was unchanged from a month earlier, which was well below expectations.
Fed outcome expectations: Markets hawk-eyed for any clues on rate easing this year
The US Federal Reserve is anticipated to announce its key policy decision, including the trajectory of interest rate cuts and navigation of the economic landscape amidst inflation concerns.
Inflation, Fed meeting to give clues for US market direction
Investors await next week's inflation data and Fed meeting for signals on stock market trajectory amid conflicting economic signals. S&P 500's 12% YTD rise hinges on Fed's ability to manage inflation without hampering growth.
Asia shares stumble; political uncertainty grips euro
Asian stocks fell as traders reduced bets for Fed rate cuts due to a tight US labor market. A snap election in France raised political concerns, impacting the euro. MSCI's Asia-Pacific shares index also dropped.
JPMorgan, Citi scrap Fed rate-cut bets for July after jobs data
JPMorgan's chief US economist, Michael Feroli, stated in a report on Friday that "the recent momentum in job growth" indicates that the "broader" labor-market weakening, which the Fed mentioned could justify a rate cut, might take more than three months to materialize.
European Central Bank set to cut rates for the first time since 2019 even as inflation fight continues
All 82 economists polled by Reuters expected the ECB to trim its deposit rate to 3.75% on Thursday from a record 4.0%, in what would be its first cut since 2019. ECB policymakers have clearly telegraphed their intention to lower borrowing costs after seeing inflation in the 20 countries that share the euro fall from more than 10% in late 2022 to just above their 2% target in recent months.
Asian shares retreat as investors question US economic strength
Asian share markets weakened as U.S. economy's 'exceptionalism' unravels with weakening manufacturing activity. MSCI's Asia-Pacific index down 0.1%. U.S. Treasury yields fall after weak manufacturing data. Westpac economist Coombs sees market pricing 40 basis points rate cuts by 2024.
Not with standing weekly loss, downside in gold likely to remain limited
Going by the action in bonds, the markets are still not giving much credence to the idea of a rate hike. The next week is quite crucial for the financial markets as many major data and reports will be released.
Fed's Powell: PPI mixed, next move unlikely to be a rate hike
Though he said "my confidence in that is not as high as it was," given faster than expected inflation through the first three months of the year, the U.S. central bank chief said it remained unlikely in his view that the Fed would have to raise rates any further, even if the prospect for rate cuts has become less certain.
Are US interest rates high enough to beat inflation? The Fed will take its time to find out
The sharp interest rate hikes of the past two years will likely take longer than previously expected to bring down inflation, several Federal Reserve officials have said in recent comments, suggesting there may be few, if any, rate cuts this year.
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