WAR ECONOMY
Budget 2024: How Sitharaman can steer the trade ship amidst two wars and Red Sea crisis to achieve $2 tn export goal
In the upcoming budget, key priorities for the export sector include boosting e-commerce exports through streamlined policies and infrastructure enhancements. Additionally, there is a push for Production Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes aimed at revitalising sectors such as toys and leather goods, fostering competitiveness and export growth.
China's Xi Jinping greets EU Council president ahead of EV tariffs taking effect
China's President Xi Jinping conveyed his congratulations to incoming European Council President Antonio Costa, emphasizing the importance of China-EU relations. This comes ahead of the European Commission's decision to impose tariffs of up to 37.6% on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs), citing state subsidies benefiting Chinese firms. Xi reaffirmed China's commitment to its partnership with the EU, rejecting accusations of unfair subsidies on Chinese EVs. The EU faces internal divisions over supporting these tariffs, with Germany leaning towards opposing them due to significant automotive sales in China, while France supports them firmly.
Despite war and sanctions, Russia becomes a high-income economy
Despite Western sanctions over the Ukraine war, Russia has transitioned from an upper-middle to a high-income economy, according to the World Bank's latest rankings. Factors such as increased military activity, a rebound in trade and construction, and growth in the financial sector contributed to this shift. Consequently, Russia's Atlas GNI per capita rose by 11.2%.
Getting ready to end the 3-year exile: 5 stocks from diagnostics sector with upside potential of up to 53%
There are some businesses, where only a black swan event leads to sharp growth in profit. Otherwise the underlying nature is such that they don't have any sudden spike in their profits. But there is constant growth. The constant growth could be because of many reasons. It may be because of the fact that penetration of that good or service is very low and over a period of time as it improves, both top and bottom line keep moving upward. It could be because of the movement of business from the unorganized sector to the organized sector. Or due the fact that the “need” of that good or service is such that spending on it cannot be postponed. In the case of diagnostic business, it is all the three, or rather four. The fact is that in 2020, a black swan took place which led to the sudden spike in FY 2021 numbers, but then back to normal growth curve. Now for three years, there has been a painful process of partial normalization of valuation and end of price wars. Has the time come for extreme long term investors to bring them back on watchlist ?
Has the global economic environment turned favourable for equities?
Global economy's resilience amidst crises led to surprising growth stability and inflation control. Potential trade war threats loom, while equity markets soar to record highs, indicating positive economic outlook.
Suspected Houthi attack targets a ship in the Gulf of Aden, while Iraqi-claimed attack targets Eilat
Early Wednesday, a suspected missile attack by Yemen's Houthi rebels targeted a ship in the Gulf of Aden. Concurrently, an Iraqi militant group allied with the Houthis claimed responsibility for a drone attack on the southern Israeli port city of Eilat. These incidents mark an ongoing escalation linked to the Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza, as well as tensions involving Yemen's internal politics.
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China premier calls to 'oppose decoupling' at economic forum
Friction between the West and the world's second-largest economy has intensified in recent years, particularly as Beijing and Washington compete for supremacy in advanced technology and new "green" industries.
EVs versus pork: China has its hand on a raw nerve of Europe
The escalating trade tensions between Europe and China over electric vehicles have the potential to ignite a new trade war. As Europe imposes tariffs on Chinese EVs, China retaliates by targeting European farmers, particularly in the pork industry. This tit-for-tat strategy threatens to impact various sectors on both sides.
Counterstrike! China eyes trade war targets across Europe
Trade war: China is preparing to retaliate against the European Union over proposed tariffs on electric cars. Targeted products include brandy from France, pork from Spain, wine primarily from France, and cars from Germany. The potential trade barriers aim to comply with WTO rules but could impact European exporters significantly.
India's fast-growing economy has a problem
India faced criticism for withholding a labor survey revealing high unemployment until after Modi's re-election in 2019.
Israel's 'economic war' chokes occupied West Bank
Palestinian Circus School students in Ramallah face financial hurdles due to international payment challenges, with the school director struggling to purchase equipment from Europe and Asia. Israel's potential banking route severance could impact the West Bank economy It has already been hit by economic curbs and bans on labourers and tourism. Calls for a digital currency emerge as a potential alternative to the shekel in response to Israel's economic policies.
Shrink the economy, save the world?
Degrowth remained on the fringes of the fringe for decades, until increasing awareness about global warming percolated into public debates in the early aughts.
China’s exports surge more than expected in boost for economy
Beijing is relying on sales abroad to offset weak consumer spending at home, where a real estate slump has led households to tighten their belts.
Despite war needs, Israel's military should not get a 'blank check' -cenbank chief
Bank of Israel Governor Amir Yaron supported forming a committee to scrutinize Israel's defense budget, emphasizing that the ongoing war doesn't justify unchecked military spending. Since January, Yaron has advocated for fiscal adjustments to prevent budget deficits from escalating due to war costs. Prime Minister Netanyahu plans to increase defense spending by 20 billion shekels annually, despite a rising budget deficit. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant agreed to establish the committee, aiming to balance security needs with economic stability, given the projected 250 billion shekels war cost from 2023 to 2025.
A new trade war offers no easy way back for old global order
The US-China trade war has intensified with the use of tariffs and subsidies, impacting Europe and China. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has warned of global business risks.
China’s $8.5 billion in steel spurs Latin America toward tariffs
Mexico, Chile, and Brazil have increased duties on steel products from China. In some cases, the duties have more than doubled over the past few weeks. Colombia may also be planning to do the same.
Russian President Vladimir Putin to push growing Moscow-Beijing trade in China's northeast
Russian President Vladimir Putin concluded his visit to China by highlighting the importance of trade near the border in China's northeast. Amid Western sanctions over the Ukraine invasion, Putin is strengthening ties with China, signing agreements on security and economic cooperation. The joint statement emphasizes the deepening China-Russia relationship and their commitment to mutual development.
Russia economy resilient; Gaza war weighs on neighbours: EBRD
The EBRD forecasts Russia's economy to grow by 2.5% in 2024 despite Western sanctions. Israel's war against Hamas will affect neighboring nations. EBRD issued GDP projections and highlighted the impact of the Gaza conflict on Mediterranean countries' economies.
How China rose to lead the world in cars and solar panels
Top leaders in the United States and Europe have started urging China to reduce its exports to the world and boost its imports.
Defying West, Russia's Putin due to meet Xi Jinping in Beijing
Putin's two-day mission - the first visit of his new term - is expected to highlight the pair's vaunted "no limits" partnership in defiance from pressure from the United States over Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
Do Dr Lal Pathlabs' results indicate a turnaround for the sector? 4 stocks from diagnostic space, 3 with upside potential of up to 31%
Some sectors have a company which can be called as the bell weather of that sector and that is why its results of that company probably are indicative of what is happening in the sector. In case of the diagnostic, it is probably the Dr Lals path labs which would fit the criteria, it has national presence, large network, present in both physical and digital segment. So when the quarterly numbers come and they show improvement on many fronts then probably it is time to have a look at them more seriously and see if there is a possible turnaround building in the sector. This became even more important because these stocks had gained extremely high valuation and also popularity in terms of both retail and institutional participation. But then for close to two years, they have been a strong under performer in a strong bull market. Does this result mean that finally in terms of price war for customer acquisition over and now the valuation readjustment will start in the upward direction.
Stock picks of the week: 4 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside potential of up to 39%
Last week’s movement of the market has brought back some memories of what happened in March 2024. Given the event risk in terms of election results, we might see higher volatility as some profit booking takes place. If one is not a trader and knows how to hedge, it would be better to be cautious before investing. If one is taking fresh exposure to equity, ensure that there is some level of quality as far as the business and fundamentals are concerned. These selected stocks depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score which is based on five key pillars i.e. earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.
Better suited for volatile market: 5 largecaps from different sectors with upside potential of up to 47%
In the last few days bears are not making any distinction between large or mid or small cap stocks they just crush everything, it might appear that there is no point in making a distinction between these segments of the market. But the fact is that periods like this are a reminder of many basic things which one should remember before taking any investment decision in equity. First and foremost, after buying a stock you will own a business and what business you own is more important than what is happening to nifty or any other indices. Second, if you are a real long term investor then short term corrections should not bother you as they have come in the past and they will come in future also. What one should look for is whether the underlying business is witnessing any change or not and whether that change is positive or negative for the business. Last but not the least, do your homework before investing and not after investing.
Volatility is an integral part of market: 4 midcap stocks from different sectors with potential upside of up to 39%
As the market gets volatile, questions are bound to be raised about whether the mid-cap segment would see a sharp correction or not. Fears about the kind of correction which was seen in March are bound to resurface. More than anything, the best way to navigate such market conditions would be to do two things, first stay with mid-cap stock with some track record in terms of fundamentals and give return to shareholders. Second, once you pick the stock, stay with it long term and dont sell in hurry due to any narrative which some global and domestic development might bring on the table. The reason, volatility is part of any market, but that should not determine your long term investment decisions. ET screener powered by Refinitiv’s Stock Report Plus applies different algorithms & filters to all BSE and NSE stocks, and lists stocks which fulfill the various criteria as specified into the algorithms & filters to find those which might help navigate the stock market.
Tackling volatility, qualitative & quantitative way: 4 small cap stocks with long term perspective
The way the market slipped on Friday, probably is another reminder that even the best of the bull market corrections are going to come. The problem with the corrective move is that if it sustains for longer, it is the small caps stocks which come under more pressure and shed an inordinate amount of weight. There is a technical reason for this, the liquidity in small caps stocks is lower as compared to large and midcaps. So, whenever there is a selling in this segment, the impact cost is always higher. But the other fact is that if one is able to hold on small at the time when correction is taking place, probability of more than normal return is also higher. But the question is how does one develop the ability to hold onto stocks when the narrative which is being governed by price action becomes so negative. The solution lies in combining a couple of things, which include qualitative and quantitative measure and last but not least ability to ignore noise.
Israel-Hamas war: Crisis in West Bank clouds Gaza hopes
By many measures, the new Palestinian Authority in the West Bank is just what the US and others want for a future Palestinian state that could extend its rule to a post-war Gaza: a modern, technocratic group focused on solving problems.
Israel holds Palestinian economy captive, say analysts
Israel is tightening the noose on the Palestinian Authority, which rules parts of the West Bank, by withholding tax revenues it collects on its behalf, economist Adel Samara told AFP.
The global turn away from free-market policies worries economists
That faith in the superiority of free-market policies was deeply shaken in recent years by a string of global jolts -- the pandemic, supply chain meltdowns, soaring inflation and interest rates, Russia's invasion of Ukraine etc.
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