California's 42nd Congressional District election, 2024
All U.S. House districts, including the 42nd Congressional District of California, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024. The filing deadline was December 8, 2023.
All 435 U.S. House seats are up for election in 2024. Republicans have a 220 to 211 majority with four vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 68.4%-31.6%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 71.7%-25.9%.[2]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 42
Incumbent Robert Garcia and John Briscoe are running in the general election for U.S. House California District 42 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | ||
Robert Garcia (D) | ||
John Briscoe (R) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 42
Incumbent Robert Garcia and John Briscoe defeated Nicole López and Joaquín Beltrán in the primary for U.S. House California District 42 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Robert Garcia (D) | 52.1 | 49,891 | |
✔ | John Briscoe (R) | 31.9 | 30,599 | |
Nicole López (D) | 9.1 | 8,758 | ||
Joaquín Beltrán (D) | 6.8 | 6,532 |
Total votes: 95,780 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here. You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Voting information
- See also: Voting in California
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
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You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Garcia | Democratic Party | $1,002,485 | $810,383 | $522,664 | As of June 30, 2024 |
John Briscoe | Republican Party | $303,765 | $62,039 | $241,725 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: California's 42nd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
September 10, 2024 | September 3, 2024 | August 27, 2024 | August 20, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in California in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in California, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
California | U.S. House | All candidates | 40-60 | $1,740.00[7] | 12/8/2023 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in California.
California U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested top-two primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | |||||
2024 | 52 | 52 | 7 | 241 | 52 | 42 | 80.8% | 45 | 100.0% | |||||
2022 | 52 | 52 | 5 | 272 | 52 | 52 | 100.0% | 47 | 100.0% | |||||
2020 | 53 | 53 | 4 | 262 | 53 | 47 | 88.7% | 32 | 65.3% | |||||
2018 | 53 | 53 | 2 | 244 | 53 | 41 | 77.4% | 39 | 76.5% | |||||
2016 | 53 | 53 | 4 | 202 | 53 | 40 | 75.5% | 36 | 73.5% | |||||
2014 | 53 | 53 | 6 | 209 | 53 | 38 | 71.7% | 32 | 68.1% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in California in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/16/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Two-hundred forty-one candidates filed to run for California's 52 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 125 Democrats, 88 Republicans, and 28 independent or minor party candidates. That’s 4.63 candidates per district. In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in California decreased from 53 to 52 following the 2020 census, 5.2 candidates filed per district. In 2020, when the state still had 53 Congressional districts, 4.94 candidates filed per district. In 2018, 4.6 candidates filed.
The 241 candidates who ran in California in 2024 were the fewest total number of candidates since 2016, when 202 candidates ran. Forty-five incumbents—34 Democrats and 11 Republicans—ran for re-election. That was fewer than in 2022, when 47 incumbents ran. Six districts were open, one more than in 2022, and the most since 2014, when six districts were also open.
Incumbents Barbara Lee (D-12th), Adam Schiff (D-30th), and Katie Porter (D-47th) ran for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Incumbent Sen. Laphonza Butler (D) didn't run for re-election. Incumbents Grace Napolitano (D-31st), Tony Cárdenas (D-29th), and Anna Eshoo (D-16th) retired from public office. One incumbent—Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-20th)—left Congress before the end of his term. A special election was held to fill his seat before the general election.
Fifteen candidates—12 Democrats, two Republicans, and one nonpartisan—ran in the open 30th district, the most candidates running for a seat in 2024.
Forty-two primaries were contested, the fewest since 2018, when 41 were contested. All 52 primaries were contested in 2022, and 47 were in 2020. In California, which uses a top-two primary system, a primary is contested if more than two candidates file to run.
Incumbents ran in 35 of the 42 contested primaries. That’s lower than 2022, when 47 incumbents ran in contested primaries, but higher than every other year since 2014. In 2020, 32 incumbents faced contested primaries. Thirty-nine incumbents did so in 2018, 36 in 2016, and 32 in 2014.
Democratic candidates ran in every district. Republican candidates ran in every district except one—the 37th. Two Democrats, including incumbent Sydney Kamlage-Dove, one nonpartisan candidate, and one Peace and Freedom Party member ran in that district.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is D+22. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 42nd the 53rd most Democratic district nationally.[8]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in California's 42nd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
71.7% | 25.9% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[9] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline | Republican Baseline | Difference | ||
69.8 | 29.9 | R+39.9 |
Presidential voting history
California presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | P[10] | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of California's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from California | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 40 | 42 |
Republican | 0 | 12 | 12 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 52 | 54 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in California's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in California, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Gavin Newsom |
Lieutenant Governor | Eleni Kounalakis |
Secretary of State | Shirley Weber |
Attorney General | Rob Bonta |
State legislature
California State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 32 | |
Republican Party | 8 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 40 |
California State Assembly
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 62 | |
Republican Party | 18 | |
Independent | 1 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 80 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.
California Party Control: 1992-2024
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Assembly | D | D | D | S | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 42
Robert Garcia defeated John Briscoe in the general election for U.S. House California District 42 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Robert Garcia (D) | 68.4 | 99,217 | |
John Briscoe (R) | 31.6 | 45,903 |
Total votes: 145,120 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 42
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 42 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Robert Garcia (D) | 46.7 | 43,406 | |
✔ | John Briscoe (R) | 26.1 | 24,319 | |
Cristina Garcia (D) | 12.6 | 11,685 | ||
Peter Mathews (D) | 3.7 | 3,415 | ||
Nicole López (D) | 3.4 | 3,164 | ||
Julio Cesar Flores (G) | 2.7 | 2,491 | ||
William Summerville (D) | 2.5 | 2,301 | ||
Joaquín Beltrán (D) | 2.4 | 2,254 |
Total votes: 93,035 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Angel Rios (Independent)
- Saul Castillo (D)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 42
Incumbent Ken Calvert defeated William O'Mara in the general election for U.S. House California District 42 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ken Calvert (R) | 57.1 | 210,274 | |
William O'Mara (D) | 42.9 | 157,773 |
Total votes: 368,047 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 42
Incumbent Ken Calvert and William O'Mara defeated Regina Marston in the primary for U.S. House California District 42 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ken Calvert (R) | 58.2 | 97,781 | |
✔ | William O'Mara (D) | 22.9 | 38,506 | |
Regina Marston (D) | 18.8 | 31,587 |
Total votes: 167,874 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- David Fritz (R)
- Julia Peacock (D)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 42
Incumbent Ken Calvert defeated Julia Peacock in the general election for U.S. House California District 42 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ken Calvert (R) | 56.5 | 131,040 | |
Julia Peacock (D) | 43.5 | 100,892 |
Total votes: 231,932 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 42
Incumbent Ken Calvert and Julia Peacock defeated Norman Quintero and Matt Woody in the primary for U.S. House California District 42 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ken Calvert (R) | 60.8 | 70,289 | |
✔ | Julia Peacock (D) | 26.1 | 30,237 | |
Norman Quintero (D) | 8.2 | 9,540 | ||
Matt Woody (Independent) | 4.8 | 5,587 |
Total votes: 115,653 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Floyd Harvey (R)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ 2,000 signatures can be provided in lieu of the filing fee
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party
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