MARKET ECONOMY
Tough to sustain GDP growth above 7.5%; time-wise correction in market likely: Neelkanth Mishra
As mutual funds are sitting with Rs 1 lakh crore of cash, whenever there is a 4-5% drop from the peak, there is a spate of buying. So equities as an asset class are not seeing sharp drawdowns and in the short term make it safer to invest in and attract more funds. That is the cycle we are in, says Neelkanth Mishra.
Lok Sabha: Discussion on Motion of Thanks to the President’s Address | LIVE
Rahul Gandhi, the leader of the opposition, attacked the ruling BJP in the Lok Sabha on Monday, saying that those who identify as Hindus are continuously involved in "violence and hate". The Treasury benches staged widespread demonstrations in response to this. In response, ...
ETMarkets Smart Talk: FII ownership at probably its lowest, but trend is changing: Ajit Banerjee
The market participants are convinced that the macro fundamentals and the fiscal condition of the country is very strong and India is poised to grow as the fastest-growing economy of the world for the next few years.
Live | Fierce debate between LoP Rahul Gandhi, HM Amit Shah and PM Narendra Modi in Lok Sabha
Rahul Gandhi on Monday began his first speech of 18th Lok Sabha by invoking 'Jai Sanvidhan' (Hail Constitution) amidst BJP chants of 'Jai Sri Ram' as he got up to speak.Live | Fierce debate between LoP Rahul Gandhi, HM Amit Shah and PM Narendra Modi in Lok ...
India best emerging market story; haven't ever seen valuations and fundamentals so attractive: Mihir Vora
The US economy has been much better than expected. It has been stronger for longer and of course, then it also translates to higher interest rates for longer, probably, but the fact is that the US economy is doing quite well.
Don't obsess on inflation targets
In my capacity, I stress the importance of preparing for the AI revolution and managing public funds wisely to navigate economic uncertainties. Governments must prioritize debt sustainability and structural reforms to ensure long-term prosperity and stability.
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It's about can, not Cannes
The Pritzker Architecture Prize - 'Nobel Prize of architecture' - for instance, celebrates living structures, not scintillating sketches. Michelin stars are awarded to restaurants who deliver outstanding food daily and are reviewed yearly, not a one-time gastronomical creation. Oscars, Grammys, Emmys and Tonys are earned by scalable appreciation, not just conceptual craft.
For our mutual benefit
BlackRock's resurgence can be attributed to more than just market growth: India's growing ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) movement plays a crucial role. As a prominent figure in sustainable and transition investing globally, BlackRock's involvement is anticipated to elevate ESG standards in India, promoting increased transparency and accountability in the market. The explanation lies not in a sudden change in BlackRock's strategy but rather in the significant evolution of the Indian mutual fund industry over recent years.
What would Japanese intervention to boost a weak yen look like?
Amid market uncertainties and political pressures, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida considers intervening to stabilize the yen ahead of the ruling party leadership race. The effectiveness of intervention in addressing public concerns over the weak yen and rising living costs remains uncertain.
Competitive intensity in used vehicle market to be on the rise: India Ratings
India Ratings and Research predicts that vehicle financiers will increase the share of used vehicles in their AUM due to rising new vehicle prices, food inflation, heat wave, moderation in capacity utilization due to elections, and slowing rural economy. The agency also expects a decrease in FY25 growth rates from FY24 levels. The agency expects non-bank finance companies to focus on used vehicles as assets class, presenting a favorable risk-return in terms of asset quality and pricing power.
Indigenous Innovation: A blueprint for systematically achieving Viksit Bharat
India's digital economy is on track to reach $1 trillion by 2030 with a growth rate 2.8 times that of regular GDP. Leveraging the CHIPS framework and strategic partnerships, India aims to secure a prominent global position through sustainable practices, education initiatives, and robust data governance.
Counter-questions for the asking
India's growing population, coupled with higher disposable incomes and consumption, has already begun to devastate our carefully constructed cocoons without our realising it. Competitive manufacturing (leveraging economies of scale, procurement, branding and digitalisation) may be enticing more people to consume more (double effect), accelerating planet-stripping.
For a few dollars less: The quiet demise of the petrodollar agreement
The USD hegemony is unravelling, and the global financial order is moving towards a new era led by BRICS-plus countries. Hard commodities-based blockchain-enabled digital currencies will challenge the dollar's dominance and its power dynamics through transparency and inherent strength. How this will play out in gaining legitimacy and acceptance will determine our lives over the next decade.
5 world market themes for the week ahead
Central bank decisions in Britain, Switzerland, and Norway will show the rate cutting trend, while retail sales data from the US and China will indicate consumer health. Europe gears up for the Euros 2024 tournament in Germany. Investors are monitoring cocoa supply issues in Ivory Coast, Ghana, and other countries like Brazil.
India to to be the fastest growing economies in ASEAN: Moody’s
In the first half of calendar year 2024, Indonesia, Philippines and India led the way and should continue to outperform pre-COVID growth numbers on the back of rising exports, local demand and government spending lift.
Big plate of supply-side up: Why economies can’t redistribute their way to prosperity
The tried-and-tested approach to growing an economy, lifting per-capita incomes and alleviating poverty sustainably, is to focus on supply-side reforms to lift public and private investment. This approach has worked in many East Asian economies and India's historical context. By helping boost investment, supply-side reforms help accelerate productivity, job creation and income growth, reducing poverty effectively over the medium term.
Game's Bond, Electoral Bond: Two reforms that India's new government should undertake
All political funding should be routed transparently through electronic means, via UPI, IMPS, Neft or RTGS. Let parties crowdfund themselves. In a democracy, money should move from the people to their parties, not from politicians to voters.
What’s beyond Modi’s coalition government for investors?
The benchmark index reached a new high despite concerns of a probe by SEBI into alleged misleading statements by PM Modi and Home Minister Amit Shah, as claimed by Rahul Gandhi.
View: GOI has the solution of India's economic puzzle but it needs to let go fiscal hesitations
India's economy is thriving with 8.2% GDP growth, strong public investment, and tax revenues. However, weak consumer demand and private capex remain issues. To boost growth, the government should create more public sector jobs, increasing incomes and consumption, funded by local savings.
Why should reforms now be a problem? Freebies, promised or delivered, didn’t work. Labour, trade, education & privatisation reforms await
Voters in the recent election have sent a clear message: they value responsible spending over freebies. At the national level, the NDA government, despite a reduced majority, was preferred over a challenger promising unattainable giveaways. Similarly, in Andhra Pradesh, the incumbent government, known for excessive freebies, faced a resounding defeat. The takeaway for future governments is to spend taxpayer money judiciously, prioritizing essential functions like infrastructure, education, health, and defence.
India has come a long way from fragile 5 days, time to race ahead
While India is integrating into global value chains (GVCs), the benefits via higher overall exports are not yet visible. We also need to create millions of jobs for youth joining the working-age population. There are also global uncertainties to navigate. Higher volatility, repeated supply shocks, higher geopolitical risks and climate change are the new normal. Against this backdrop, the agenda for the next five years requires prioritisation based on five key issues.
The show must go on: Push agriculture, make states fiscally responsible, avoid the middle income trap & stick to the PoA
The Indian electorate has defied predictions of certainty, but the economic agenda for India remains unchanged. Despite impressive economic progress since 1991, India remains a low-middle-income economy. Policy priorities include urban expansion, modernization of agriculture, tackling unemployment, and addressing state-level disparities. Additionally, India must prepare for challenges such as aging populations and technological advancements to sustain growth.
View: Gotta get ready for the AI-ternative
The integration of AI, nano robotics, space tech, and battery tech is transforming industries and reshaping economic models. As digital workers replace human roles in areas like call centers and logistics, governments must address potential job losses. Suggested measures include reskilling programs, focusing on labor-intensive industries, and implementing universal basic income (UBI) to support displaced workers. This proactive approach will help manage the transition and harness the benefits of these groundbreaking technologies.
Sovereign ratings is for state; at the margins for markets
Sovereign ratings, a product of the pre-depression era when analysts were a rarity and communication was expensive, are turning into dinner-table conversations rather than driving investment decisions.
Investors must take Rajan’s promise, not Pitroda's threat
Investors are anxious about the potential impact of the ongoing general elections on economic policies. The possibility of the INDIA alliance, led by the Congress Party, coming to power has raised fears of a significant policy shift, particularly following suggestions of introducing an inheritance tax. However, it's important for investors to differentiate between exaggerated concerns and actual risks.
India achieves $5 trillion market capitalization milestone, triples in a decade of economic progress
India's market capitalisation crossed $5 tn, tripling in a decade. Domestic ownership increased as foreign institutional ownership fell. GDP is expected to reach $5 tn in 3 years, $7 tn by 2030.
View: The paradox of foreign investors neglecting India’s booming stock markets
India, with a GDP growth exceeding 8% in 2023-24, is the fastest-growing major economy. Despite being recommended by Morgan Stanley and other investment houses for investors in emerging markets, foreign investment in Indian stock markets remains low.
Not just a one-horse town: Empower Opposition to become active political participants
India aims to be a $5 tn economy. So, there's much talk about accelerating growth and enhancing economic competitiveness. But are we through talking about political competition?
View: Ignore India at your own peril
India's explosive growth in infrastructure, digitization, and human resources is evident in record-breaking achievements across all sectors. With a booming economy, soaring market capitalization, and increasing foreign investments, global agencies recognize India as the next growth driver, positioning it for significant economic influence.
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