NIMS
Tough to sustain GDP growth above 7.5%; time-wise correction in market likely: Neelkanth Mishra
As mutual funds are sitting with Rs 1 lakh crore of cash, whenever there is a 4-5% drop from the peak, there is a spate of buying. So equities as an asset class are not seeing sharp drawdowns and in the short term make it safer to invest in and attract more funds. That is the cycle we are in, says Neelkanth Mishra.
Bond inclusion positive for banks; return of FII flows to benefit private banks: Pranav Gundlapalle, Sanford C Bernstein
Private sector banks, particularly HDFC Bank, are poised for growth and profitability. Indian bond inclusion may impact liquidity and interest rates, benefiting the banking sector. Public banks face challenges in profitability and growth compared to private counterparts. Regulatory actions in the NBFC sector may favor established players like Muthoot, says Pranav Gundlapalle.
Motilal Oswal upgrades DCB Bank to ‘buy’, sees 22% upside potential amid attractive valuations
Motilal Oswal upgraded DCB Bank’s stock to ‘buy’ at Rs 175, projecting a 21% earnings CAGR over FY24-26E, with positive outlook on RoA/RoE and asset quality, while DCB Bank shares have shown mixed performance in the market.
Banking return on assets to dip 10-20 bps: Crisil
Return on assets (RoA) of banks, after hitting a 20-year high in the previous year, is forecasted to ease to 1.1-1.2% in the current fiscal year, according to Crisil Ratings. The moderation is attributed to higher deposit costs impacting net interest margins. Credit costs are expected to stabilize, supporting overall profitability as non-performing assets decrease.
Green shoots of rural recovery? Bet on these 3 sectors, says Jyotivardhan Jaipuria
Jyotivardhan Jaipuria says both the largecap and the smallcap segments look attractive. In areas where the capacities are in place, where they are running at low utilisation, if demand recovers, then huge operating leverage can be made, those are the companies which we are really focusing on.
Dinesh Kumar Khara picks 4 sectors which are on cusp of strong growth
Well, of course, I think the way things are emerging, I always say that the growth is a function of how the GDP or the macro will look like and our expectation is that the macro growth should be somewhere in the range of 7.5 to about 8. And if at all that is the kind of a situation, I think around 14-15% kind of a growth should be a reality.
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Large private banks will do well over next two-three years: Sumeet Kariwala
The banks which have struggled to the asset quality cycle over there the earnings expectations are low, the valuations are depressed and to that extent from a stock market perspective the earnings upgrades as well as valuation re-rating can be quite meaningful and we have seen a lot of stocks double and triple over the last two-three years.
Banks need to push CASA for deposit growth and protect margins
At the system level, the share of low cost CASA- Current and Savings Accounts - deposits have dipped 271 basis points ( one bps is 0.01 percent) bps year-on-year in Q4 of FY’2023-24 . This means that banks need to focus on CASA for improving margins as these are very cheap source of funds for banks compared to term deposits.
Macro risks might lead to valuation derating for SBI, says JM Financial
JM Financial believes that there could be de-rating of SBI's valuations due to macro risks. In view of recent market volatility, SBI gives the analysts confidence on the back of its strong liability franchise.
Stay invested irrespective of election outcome: Ravi Dharamshi
I do not think budget is likely to be a big event. I think there are a lot of fears about capital gains tax. So, from that perspective I think the agenda of the government is pretty well known. With a three years’ perspective I do not think there is going to be any major change in the budget.
We continue to expect CAGR of 20% and 20% ROE this year: VP Nandakumar, Manappuram Finance
Manappuram Finance MD, VP Nandakumar, remains unaffected by RBI regulations, with strong profitability and 19% AUM growth. NIMs fell to 15%. Nandkumar says: "We have a level playing field even when we introduced that. So, it has not affected the business negatively. We are right on track as far as our guidance is concerned."
Expect significant growth from insurance income this year: City Union Bank MD
City Union Bank, led by N Kamakodi, aims for significant growth in insurance income to Rs 55 crore in FY'24, with a PAT of Rs 1,016 crore and NIM within guidance levels.
Expecting double digit disbursement and loan book growth this year: Tribhuwan Adhikari, LIC Housing Finance
I would expect this year that we would be showing a good disbursement growth in the double digits, as well as the loan book growth of double digit.
What is the best way to play the election uncertainty? Pashupati Advani answers
Pashupati Advani discusses telecom sector, Bharti Airtel, Indus Towers, challenges faced by private banks, HDFC Bank, election uncertainty, and insights on IPOs and the primary market. Advani says: "If one was being prudent, I would actually say take money off the table in the market and wait for the actual election result. "
Tighter regulations on personal loans and project finance may hurt banks in FY25
Indian banks had a strong fiscal 2024 but face challenges in the current year due to regulatory changes impacting credit growth and net interest margins. Return ratios and riskier lending are also areas of concern as the market adapts.
Credit growth to be between 11-12% for next financial year: Atul Kumar Goel, PNB
For the current financial year 24-25, we have set a target of around 57% and remaining 43% will be the corporate advance because we are one of the largest bank of the country.
This banking stock gave 22% returns last year; is Equitas Small Finance Bank stock a good buy now?
Equitas Small Finance Bank’s 2022-23 annual report expects a Rs.22 lakh crore market for small business lending, backed by residential property. A recent Centrum Broking report states that the company is poised to double its AUM within the next three years, supported by its improving deposit franchise and distinct client segments. Its comfortable valuations at 1.4 times based on 2025-26 P/ABV (price to adjusted book value) presents an appealing opportunity for entry, adds the Centrum report. Should you invest in Equitas Small Finance Bank now?
Most brokerages positive on SBI, many raise targets
Analysts said the state-owned lender's results, which beat estimates, were driven by better net interest margins (NIM) and other income, but deposit growth was lagging. However, the management guided for loan growth of 13-15%, prompting analysts to raise estimates.
SBI Q4 net profit surges 24% to a record
Unlike last quarter, the bank did not have to make any provisions for revision of wages and pensions. The Mumbai-based bank has kept a ₹1,700-crore buffer for any future pension needs.
NIMs will continue to prevail around the current levels: Abhijit Chakravorty, SBI Card
If we talk about book, the spends part, yes, it has come down and that has been a strategy also and going forward now we have seen what RBI intended to do and the regulations, the way they have come in, so we are going to build up our book based on the new guidelines progressively.
HDFC Bank decision to refrain from price war on deposits and infra bonds will help improve NIM: Analysts
Effectively, the bank will not be required to set aside cash reserve ratio (CRR) and statutory reserve ratio on the infrastructure bonds. HDFC Bank absorbed HDFC Ltd's Rs 1 lakh crore infra bonds following the merger, effective July 2023.
Growing at closer to 18% per annum very possible for Federal Bank: Shyam Srinivasan
Shyam Srinivasan, MD & CEO of Federal Bank, projects 15-18% bank growth, emphasizes NIMs importance, foresees sustained deposit growth, and anticipates potential rate cuts in the future based on inflation outcomes. He says: "We have a reasonable presence now in the south. We are looking at increasing our presence in the west, in particular the bigger metros like Mumbai and adjacent cities."
If rates stabilise, our NIMs should be fairly comfortable going forward: PN Vasudevan, Equitas SFB
Equitas Small Finance Bank's NPA increased from 2.21% to 2.39% in the third quarter due to a securitisation transaction. They expect slippages to reverse in the fourth quarter. The bank is comfortable on capital adequacy and well placed in the current interest rate scenario. Equitas SFB's MD & CEO says: "Our pre-Covid GNPA used to be in the range of 2.5% and we are fairly back to our pre-Covid level."
This is the time for us to grow the book faster and improve margins: Girish Kousgi, PNB Housing Finance
Girish Kousgi, MD & CEO of PNB Housing Finance, discusses the company's transformational journey of raising capital, improving asset quality, and reducing NPAs. He highlights the focus on growth in the affordable housing sector and expanding presence in tier II and III cities.
We raised Rs 575 crore in total, money to go towards growth of bank: Ajay Kanwal, Jana SFB
Jana SFB's ROA has been improving due to factors such as growth in good quality assets, reduction in COVID provisioning, and cost control through digitalization. The bank anticipates a continued improvement in ROA in the future. The September 23 NIM was also 7.8%, March was 7.7%. So, the bank maintained a flattish NIMs growth. There was a small rise in cost of funds but thanks to a product mix we are able to make sure the NIMs remain steady.
Will there be any tailwinds for Bandhan Bank on NIMs going forward? Chandra Shekhar Ghosh explains
But when I come to this, the balance 55% are coming to the November and December which is the average is coming Rs 380 crores per month and which have been shown because of this November and December drastically has come down of the slippage and again the January is also showing the better than the December. And, of course, it will be helped on that coming to the next couple of months, it will become to the line of that, lower than the last quarter.
Prefer non-financials; for NBFCs and banks, wait for rate cut: Gurmeet Chadha
Gurmeet Chadha says: "We are more constructive in non-financials. The way we are adding 25 lakh investors every month in capital markets. So the depository, the RTA agents, the AMCs are in my view better play and probably more structural and more asset light vis-a-vis some of the other financials. For NBFC and banks, you will possibly have to wait it out till the rate cut starts. In Paytm, we are seeing speculation. It is not investing because you do not know how deep the concern is."
PNB raising guidance of net profit for year to Rs 7,500 crore, will retain NIM guidance: Atul Kumar Goel
PNB CEO Atul Kumar Goel discusses the bank's improved financial performance. The bank has achieved a net profit of Rs 5,000 crore in the first nine months, with a target of Rs 7,500 crore for the whole year. The decline in slippages and improvement in asset quality have contributed to the bank's success. NIMs have also improved due to the recovery in gross and net NPAs. PNB has been successful in raising deposits, with a good CASA ratio, and aims to achieve a 1% ROA by 2024-2025.
There is a vertical growth in the capital market and money flow will become bigger as we go forward: Raamdeo Agrawal
Motilal Oswal Group's Chairman, Raamdeo Agrawal, discusses the strong performance of the capital market in October and November, with December being exceptionally high. He mentions the increase in returns, particularly in midcaps and smallcaps, which has attracted more people to the market. Agrawal highlights the vertical growth in the capital market, the influx of new investors, and the positive impact on the GDP growth of the country. He also talks about the expansion of the capital market business due to digital onboarding.
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