LOWER GDP GROWTH
Britain’s economy isn’t seeing growth anywhere near India’s 7% GDP rise — this has caused fewer differences between the Conservatives and Labour: Jaideep Prabhu
The UK election landscape is marked by economic uncertainties post-Brexit, minimal policy distinctions between parties, and environmental concerns driving voter engagement. Influential figures like Farage, Johnson, and Sunak shape political narratives, while climate change discussions underscore the urgency for sustainable solutions amidst global warming threats.
Despite war and sanctions, Russia becomes a high-income economy
Despite Western sanctions over the Ukraine war, Russia has transitioned from an upper-middle to a high-income economy, according to the World Bank's latest rankings. Factors such as increased military activity, a rebound in trade and construction, and growth in the financial sector contributed to this shift. Consequently, Russia's Atlas GNI per capita rose by 11.2%.
RBI aims to get inflation down to 4%, don't expect any rate cut this year: Amitabh Chaudhry, MD, Axis Bank
Axis Bank aims for sustained growth through NIM enhancement, market share expansion, and compliance strengthening under CEO Amitabh Chaudhry's leadership.
Tough to sustain GDP growth above 7.5%; time-wise correction in market likely: Neelkanth Mishra
As mutual funds are sitting with Rs 1 lakh crore of cash, whenever there is a 4-5% drop from the peak, there is a spate of buying. So equities as an asset class are not seeing sharp drawdowns and in the short term make it safer to invest in and attract more funds. That is the cycle we are in, says Neelkanth Mishra.
Increase in exports, improvement in CAD, mnfg to help boost Indian economy: Goyal
India's merchandise exports show growth despite a widened trade deficit, reflecting a positive economic outlook. The Commerce Minister's participation in the gem and jewellery industry program signifies confidence in the country's economic trajectory.
India's entry into JPMorgan Bond Index set to benefit real estate & manufacturing: Abhishek Banerjee
Analyzing India's economic shifts from surplus to GDP growth projections, Abhishek Banerjee says the focus lies on potential impacts on export sectors and bond markets, indicating promising growth opportunities in the economy. While India's increased production and exports are positive, the shift necessitates careful sector allocation in the near term to manage potential impacts on export-oriented industries.
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UK economy grew 0.7% in first quarter of 2024
Britain's economy grew by 0.7% in the first quarter of this year compared to the previous quarter, surpassing an initial estimate of 0.6% growth, according to official figures released on Friday. This data arrives just days before a national election where opinion polls suggest Labour Party leader Keir Starmer may replace Conservative Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.
US weekly jobless claims drift lower
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 233,000 for the week ended June 22, the Labor Department said on Thursday. The claims data included last Wednesday's Juneteenth National Independence Day, a new holiday. Claims tend to be volatile around public holidays.
India can grow at 8 pc if inflation keeps falling: Ashima Goyal, an external member of MPC
Ashima Goyal, an external member of the Monetary Policy Committee, emphasized the potential for India's economy to grow at 8% if the nominal repo rate falls in line with declining inflation. The Reserve Bank of India has projected a GDP growth of 7.2% for the current fiscal year.
Get on the job of jobs
A thorough assessment of historical and current employment trends across sectors leads to a deeper dive into complexities of jobless growth. Mapping out the strengths and weaknesses of each sector is crucial for formulating strategies to enhance job-creating potential. In addition to understanding the employment-generation capacities of different sectors, India's low labour force participation rate (LFPR) poses a significant challenge.
Modi 3.0: Growth sequel starring jobs, investment
The full budget, likely to be presented early in July, will detail specific measures toward this end. "The focus would be to promote labour-intensive growth that will create jobs, with continued emphasis on macroeconomic stability," a top government official aware of the details told ET. A host of measures on startups and taxation - including inverted duty structure correction, along with GST rate rationalisation - is under discussion, said the person cited above.
RBI policy on expected lines, upgrading GDP growth estimate reposes confidence: Bankers
Bankers welcomed the Reserve Bank of India's decision to maintain interest rates, as it was in line with expectations, with an upward revision of the growth estimate. The move, including the unchanged repo rate, was seen as positive for the economy. The revised GDP growth forecast for FY25 instilled confidence in the central bank's outlook. Industry leaders praised the regulatory measures and highlighted the importance of collaboration for financial sector growth.
Upward GDP projection and no change in interest rates welcomed by industry and economists
Industry leaders and economists widely accepted RBI's monetary policy stand of no change in interest rates. Besides upward projection of GDP growth for FY25 from 7 per cent to 7.2 per cent is welcomed by the Industry.
Home loan borrowers may have to wait longer for lower EMIs but a rate cut likely this year; how to make the most of it
Home Loan Interest Rates: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its recent Monetary Policy Committee meeting decided to maintain the repo rate at 6.5%, prolonging the wait for home loan borrowers seeking relief from high interest rates and increased EMIs. Despite the current pause in repo rate the possibility of a rate reduction this year is still there.
RBI MPC meeting: India’s FY25 GDP forecast raised to 7.2% from 7%
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised the FY25 real GDP growth forecast to 7.2% from 7% due to improved rural and urban demand, bolstered by monsoon predictions. The Monetary Policy Committee kept the benchmark rate at 6.25%, noting domestic economic resilience. India's FY24 GDP growth accelerated to 8.2%, driven by a sharp decline in the GDP deflator.
RBI MPC Meeting: Das & Co may look at food bills to keep its stance, rate unchanged
RBI Policy Meeting: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to maintain the repo rate at 6.5% with a focus on withdrawing accommodation, marking the eighth consecutive time it remains unchanged. Economists predict the unchanged stance, citing persistent inflation in food prices and global commodity price risks. RBI Governor's decision is crucial post-elections.
Back to basics in uncertain times; quality to outperform momentum: Nilesh Shah
The election outcome defies market and exit polls estimates. Focus shifts to government formation, analysis of the election verdict, and policy recalibration. Support for bottom-of-the-pyramid consumption likely for inclusive growth.
Banks should still do quite well in long term: Prashant Jain
I think the markets have moved beyond that phase where they used to differentiate between PSUs and private. So, I think businesses are now getting discounted or they are trading as per the underlying fundamentals which I think is very good. So, I think while we still talk in terms of PSUs, non-PSUs, but markets are not differentiating between public and private enterprises anymore.
Strong growth, lower fiscal deficit may lead to India rating upgrade: Deutsche Bank
A German brokerage predicts a possible sovereign rating upgrade for India due to strong growth and improved fiscal deficit targets. S&P recently upgraded India's sovereign rating outlook to 'positive'. The real GDP growth for India has been resilient, with a notable increase in FY24.
Reality behind the 8.2% FY24 GDP growth is not as robust
The 8.2% FY24 GDP growth reflects a modest deceleration from 3QFY24 at 8.6%. Real gross value added growth slowed considerably in 4QFY24 to 6.3% from 8.3% in 1QFY24.
View: Whichever way you cut it, the economy’s booming and is a welcome gift for the incoming government
The Indian economy is booming with a GDP growth of 8.2% for 2023-24, surpassing estimates. The National Statistics Office data highlights this growth despite challenges in sectors like manufacturing and agriculture.
Govt may lower fiscal deficit target below 5.1 pc for FY25
For previous financial year ended March 2024, the fiscal deficit was better at 5.6 per cent of the GDP as against estimates of 5.8 per cent accounted in the interim Budget presented on February 1.
Economists project continued economic momentum and stability after India reports robust GDP growth in Q4
India's economy experienced a 7.8% growth rate in the January-March quarter, surpassing expectations due to strong performance in the manufacturing sector. The GDP growth in the fourth quarter of FY24 was slightly lower than the revised 8.6% growth in the previous quarter. Economists are optimistic about sustained momentum throughout the year, with the gap between GDP and gross value added (GVA) expected to normalize from the second quarter of FY25.
India's fast economic growth lays firm ground for next government
India's economy grew at a faster-than-expected 7.8% year-on-year in the first three months of 2024, driven by strong performance in the manufacturing sector. This growth pace is expected to support Prime Minister Narendra Modi's economic record, who is hoping to win a rare third term in the national election. The Reserve Bank of India's record surplus transfer of 2.11 trillion rupees ($25.3 billion) will help the next government increase state spending to boost growth.
India's GDP grows 7.8 per cent in Q4, FY24 growth pegged at 8.2 per cent
India Q4 GDP: The analysts were anticipating a better-than-expected growth for the January to March quarter this time around. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) estimated Q4FY24 real GDP growth to be 7 per cent while ET Poll suggested the growth rate of 6.8 per cent. As per a Reuters poll, the Indian economy was expected to grow at 6.7 per cent in the January-March quarter on a year-on-year basis, owing to weak demand.
Modi is first PM to lower dignity of public discourse, he indulged in most vicious form of hate speeches: Manmohan Singh to voters
In anticipation of Punjab's voting in the final phase of the 18th Lok Sabha polls on June 1st, former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh penned a letter directed to the state's voters. In the letter, Singh expressed concerns regarding the divisive nature of the hate speeches delivered by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, labeling them as the epitome of divisiveness.
India's growth outlook: Economy to get a blockbuster release this Friday? But that's too late to stream in poll campaigns
GDP Q4: As the country buzzes with election excitement, India is set to release its GDP growth numbers for the fourth quarter of FY24 this Friday, alongside the full fiscal year figures. Analysts are eagerly awaiting to see if the January to March quarter numbers surpass expectations, fueling hopes of a surprising uptick in growth.
Banks' credit growth in FY25 to slow down to 14% on lower GDP uptick, RBI measures: Crisil
Crisil forecasts a 2 percentage point drop in the banking system's credit growth to 14% for the fiscal year 2024-25, citing factors such as lower GDP growth, RBI measures like higher risk weights on unsecured loans, and a high base effect. Slower deposit growth is expected to temper credit expansion, though the fundamental drivers of credit demand remain intact. While corporate segment growth is projected to maintain at 13%, retail growth will slow to 16%.
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