Commodity Watch
Hawkish Fed, other bearish factors hurting gold
The ten-year US yields at 4.38% were up 2.28% on the day and were up around 4% on the week. The two-year yields were up 0.20% on the week as they closed around 4.75%
Gold Price Today: Gold opens at Rs 71,446/10 gms, silver drops by Rs 4,400/kg in June
On Friday, Gold August futures contracts at MCX started trading at Rs 71,446 per 10 grams, marking a decline of Rs 126 or 0.18%. Meanwhile, MCX Silver July futures opened at Rs 87,180/kg, reflecting a drop of Rs 4,400 since the beginning of June. The previous day, both gold and silver prices had closed higher in both international and domestic markets.
Gold prices heads for quarterly rise; spotlight on inflation data
In the world of gold investment, tracking prices, inflation data, and the Federal Reserve's stance is key. Market dynamics shift based on factors like GDP estimates, equipment spending, and spot silver prices. Understanding these nuances is crucial for making informed investment decisions in a constantly evolving economic environment.
Oil prices edge higher as supply risks mount
Oil prices responded to geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions, with concerns over fuel demand dynamics. The market saw gains in Brent and WTI futures amidst heightened uncertainties, while attention remained on the impact of geopolitical conflicts on oil supply. Anticipation of increased gasoline consumption over the July 4th weekend offered some relief amid persisting demand challenges.
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Gold prices hover near two-week low on firm dollar, yields Oil prices slide on fears of slow US demand after surprise inventory build Oil edges higher on inventory drawdown outlook, Middle East risks Gold Price Today: Yellow metal opens at Rs 71,515/10 grams, silver down by Rs 2,000 this week Gold flat as dollar, yields firm; investors seek more US data Hedge funds rebuild oil position after OPEC⁺ round trip: Kemp Oil edges lower after industry group reports jump in US stockpiles
Gold Price Today: Yellow metal opens at Rs 70,977/10 grams, silver at Rs 88,743/kg
Gold futures show signs of weakness with a Bearish Engulfing pattern, signaling a possible downturn. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) points to negative divergence, reinforcing a potential decline.
Calendar Spread
(Far - Near month contract)
Premium = Futures Price > Spot Price
Discount = Futures Price < Spot Price
Hot/Cold Contract
The ten-year US yields at 4.38% were up 2.28% on the day and were up around 4% on the week. The two-year yields were up 0.20% on the week as they closed around 4.75%
Navigating through diverse commodities, my investment strategy adapted to changing market conditions. From crude oil to natural gas, I observed shifts in positions and prices, reflecting resilience and caution. The market's response to OPEC+ reassurance and high inventories showcased a dynamic landscape, with investors strategizing for potential opportunities and challenges ahead.
London copper prices hit a five-week low due to a strong dollar and weak physical demand, affecting LME and SHFE markets.
This price appreciation is basically due to the mismatch in demand and supply as tight supplies across the globe have engineered elevation in price levels.
Oil prices fell as demand concerns outweighed the prospect of tighter supply from global producers and investors remained sceptical that the US and Iran could strike a nuclear deal. However, there is both upside and downside pressure on prices, amid fears over tighter supply and expectations of higher demand as the US enters driving season being offset by worries over further US interest rate hikes and a slow pickup in China's fuel demand. For the week, both benchmark prices were on track for about 1% losses and for a second week of losses.
Leading shipping lines' decision to avoid the Suez Canal route amid Houthi attacks has also impacted sunflower oil imports from Russia and Ukraine. Sunflower oil prices in the local market are likely to go up by 3-4% as international prices have increased by $30 per tonne in the last one week to $940 per tonne, trade insiders said. Basmati exporters said the export market has become sluggish and the shipping cost to places like Jeddah, Yemen, Beirut, and Durban have shot up multiple times in some cases.
Castor seed, chana, kapas and jeera recorded gains on NCDEX
Commodity and currency expert Neha Qureshi, Senior Technical & Derivative Analyst at Anand Rathi said that mentha oil prices have seen a dramatic rise in the last couple of weeks as supply-side fundamentals are seen tightening amid an expected drop in output during the 2023-24 season. "Output of this oil is seen declining for a second straight year and thus carryover stocks will shrink further by the end of the season," Qureshi said.
